Keep This Mess From Ever Happening Again

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As my colleague Bill Mann pointed out, it takes a special kind of stupid to destroy the world's financial system -- it takes Harvard stupid. It takes people who are book- and model-smart when it comes to finances, but who completely lack common sense when it comes to the way the world and money work.

Even so, not even Harvard-stupid people could destroy the world's financial system on their own. For them to succeed, they needed to operate in an environment where nearly everyone else viewed money and finance as being too complicated to entrust to ordinary people. In other words, it took Harvard-stupid oversight, on top of Harvard-stupid activities, to lead us to the mess we find ourselves in today.

You can do better!
In reality, the most important rules of successful financial management are simple enough for anyone with a high school education to grasp:

  • Spend less than you earn.
  • Keep some money socked away for a rainy day.
  • Borrow sparingly, at reasonable terms, and only for things that will retain value once the debt has been repaid.
  • Invest with a long-term time horizon in mind.

Those rules hold true whether you're trying to manage your family's household budget, or whether you're leading a multibillion-dollar investment company. Had either the whiz kids running the trading desks at those investment banks, or their asleep-at-the-switch financiers, followed those rules, this mess would not have gotten out of control.

After all, it took more than a few borrowers defaulting on their subprime mortgages to cause the entire financial system to collapse. It took entire companies that borrowed to bet more than they had, on the presumption that housing prices wouldn't fall before they flipped the loans, to cause that level of catastrophe. The entire industry spent more than it had to buy worthless assets for a quick turnaround, and it didn't have enough socked away to cover the bill when it came due.

The consequences are just beginning
Thanks to the meltdown they've precipitated, we're rapidly heading toward a world where virtually nobody can get a loan for any purpose or any amount of collateral. Even cash flow-positive companies with proven track records and real assets are having difficulty rolling over existing loans, much less getting capital to expand.

If this keeps up, the only companies with a chance of surviving are the ones like these, which have tons of cash, carry no significant debt, and are already seriously profitable:

Company

Cash & Equivalents
(in Millions)

Trailing-12-Month Profits
(in Millions)

Google (Nasdaq: GOOG)

$8,370.5

$5,050.9

SAP (NYSE: SAP)

$2,091.3

$2,519.2

Stryker (NYSE: SYK)

$668.0

$1,146.2

Forest Laboratories (NYSE: FRX)

$1,069.8

$961.5

Texas Instruments (NYSE: TXN)

$1,715.0

$2,568.0

eBay (Nasdaq: EBAY)

$3,342.7

$1,943.2

T Rowe Price (Nasdaq: TROW)

$852.7

$657.2

Source: Capital IQ, a division of Standard and Poor's.

Not long ago, Google and eBay were themselves cash-hungry startup companies. The world is arguably a better place thanks to the services they provide. Yet without a functioning capital market to support and reward such disruptive innovations, where will the next generation of Googles and eBays come from?

To have long-run economic growth and prosperity, we need healthy capital markets. To have healthy capital markets, we need people with financial common sense minding those markets.

Prevent the next generation's tragedy
If common-sense financial education were the general rule, the overcredentialed, book-smart buffoons would never have gotten complete control in the first place. And even if they had, their complex weapons of mass financial destruction would never have passed the sniff test on the scale needed to take down the global economy.

That's why this year's Foolanthropy partner DonorsChoose.org is so important. Through this charity, The Motley Fool community is sponsoring programs aimed directly at teaching critical, basic financial literacy to at-risk school children around the country. Even better, you can pick the specific project you deem worthy of your cash and donate directly to it. That way, you can be sure the money you contribute is being used for exactly the program you want to see funded.

To get started, click here to see the projects currently falling under the Foolanthropy umbrella. Whatever little bit you can give today will go a long way toward preparing the leaders of tomorrow to successfully battle the type of Harvard stupid that can destroy an entire economy. Isn't that worth the few bucks you can donate now?

Closed for 15 months – opening 10 days only! Get notified ahead of time as our expert portfolio manager invests $1 MILLION in the best opportunities from across The Motley Fool’s premium investment services. This is the first open since August 2008, by invitation only. Enter email below.

At the time of publication, Fool contributor Chuck Saletta did not own shares of any company mentioned in this article. Google is a Motley Fool Rule Breakers selection. eBay is a Motley Fool Stock Advisor recommendation. The Fool owns shares of Stryker. Try any of our Foolish newsletter services free for 30 days. The Fool's disclosure policy graduated with honors from the School of Hard Knocks.

Comments from our Foolish Readers

Help us keep this a respectfully Foolish area! This is a place for our readers to discuss, debate, and learn more about the Foolish investing topic you read about above. Help us keep it clean and safe. If you believe a comment is abusive or otherwise violates our Fool's Rules, please report it via the Report this Comment Report this Comment icon found on every comment.

  • Report this Comment On December 02, 2008, at 1:07 PM, Richard233 wrote:

    The only surprise in all this was the degree it was allowed to go. I thought housing was going up at too high a rate back in 2004. I do plead ignorance about the credit default swaps since I was not monitoring the industry the way those who are in charge are supposed to be doing.

    What it all comes down to is simple greed with too many people seeing opportunity to pass on the problem to others after "they" get out. A classic Ponzi scheme if I ever saw one, but with reverberations far beyond what I could have ever conceived as possible.

    Housing goes up so people build more housing to meet the "demand". This means jobs in certain sectors grow and money get diverted to that area. As the transactions occur, government takes what it does and spends it like it will continue that way forever.

    All well and good, except the demand is not 100% real. Much of it is coming from people who want to sell it to someone else as well as people who do not have the real resouces needed to buy the property. This came from both government "encouragement" as well as the perception that as long as the borrowers did not default before a certain point, that it became someone else's problem. Fannie and Freddie. Who basically owned the politicos who were getting "contributions". Too many people skipping out on the bill makes a business collapse.

    Eventually you ran out of buyers who could last even that long , so people were given houses with interest only or worse with no down payments. This was done by people who needed the transactions to continue to keep "their" job.

    Well, you give someone a house for less than rent with no down payments they have nothing real invested so if the house drops in price, they have no need to stick around once the payments become higher than rent.

    So the house of cards eventually tumbles. This would have been bad before, but the credit default swaps, really trillions in unbacked insurance, leverged it into a bigger mess.

    Too many people have their hands out and too many palms are getting greased and nothing is going to change until it gets even worse.

    The fix? Cut spending to fit actual real revenue and not "projected" revenue. If you cut budgets back to what it was only 4-5 years ago, most states would have a surplus instead of a deficeit. It might help if stop spending money on services for illegal aliens and actually enforce the law and send them home as well as fine/jail ceo's who allow their company to do this. One CEO in jail will cause things to change fast. This might actually get done now, since state workers will eventually see where the money is going and try to divert as much as they can to their own interests. Given a choice to cut their own paycheck or the other guys they will choose the other guys every time.

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Foolanthropy 2008

We would like to extend a warm "thank you" to everyone who donated to our Foolanthropy 2008 partner, DonorsChoose.org. The campaign generated more than $25,000 that will go to support financial literacy in classrooms across the nation.

We enjoy and appreciate watching the Foolanthropy campaign affect lives each year with the help of the Fool community. To learn more, visit: www.foolanthropy.com.

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