Q. How could a company have a price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio of 77 and a projected P/E of 22? How is it expected to change so quickly?
A. Imagine the Three-Legged Chair Company (ticker: OOOPS). If its stock currently trades at $77 per share and has $1 per share in annual earnings, its P/E is 77 (the price of the stock divided by the earnings per share of the previous four quarters).
Let's say it's growing rapidly, though, and is expected to earn $3.50 per share next year. If so, the projected P/E for that year is 22 ($77 divided by $3.50 is 22).
With a firm that's growing briskly, if the earnings grow more quickly than the stock price, the P/E ratio for future years will decrease noticeably.
To see this phenomenon in action with an actual company, take a gander at some data for online marketplace eBay (Nasdaq: EBAY) below (as of March of this year):
- Stock price: $89
- Current year's estimated earnings per share (EPS): $1.33
- P/E ratio on current year EPS: 66.9
- Next fiscal year's estimated EPS: $1.87
- P/E ratio on next fiscal year's EPS: 47.6
Here's an article covering the basics of P/E ratios, and a two-part series explaining why investors shouldn't put too much stock in P/Es (part 1 and part 2).
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This question and answer is adapted from The Motley Fool Money Guide: Answers to Your Questions About Saving, Spending and Investing. For answers to this and 499 other common money questions, check it out -- it's a handy resource.