Is Barclays the Big Bank to Own?

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Barclays(NYSE: BCS) first-half earnings provide some vindication of the strength of the “universal bank” model, in which investment and commercial banking are housed under one roof (think Citigroup (NYSE: C) and JPMorgan Chase (NYSE: JPM)), over the pure-play investment bank (Goldman Sachs (NYSE: GS), Lehman Brothers (NYSE: LEH)).

In U.K. retail banking, for example, Barclays actually expanded its mortgage lending business during the first half. That spells increased market share (more than one-fourth of all net new mortgage lending in the first half!), with many lenders pulling back in this area. Apparently, Barclays isn’t capital-constrained and can act opportunistically in this market -- job well done!

There is the small matter of a £2.4 billion charge
Under normal circumstances, £2.4 billion ($4.7 billion) in impairments and provisions -- almost half of which was due to collateralized debt obligations (CDOs) and other credit exposures -- would be considered disastrous, but these are anything but normal circumstances. In fact, Barclays is more on top of its problems than some of its competitors.

Indeed, Barclays sold £6.3 billion ($12.1 billion) in distressed loans/securities at prices consistent with their carrying value on the bank’s balance sheet and without providing any financing. That suggests the bank has a pretty good handle on the value of its assets.

Compare that to Merrill Lynch (NYSE: MER), for example, which is taking a $4.4 billion writedown in the third quarter, linked to the sale of $30.6 billion in CDOs. (Worse, Merrill provided 75% of the financing for the sale – it still has a degree of exposure to further losses.)

Barclays: what you need to know
If you want to own one of the universal banks, there are certainly worse options than Barclays. It has a number of attractive franchises (U.K. banking, exchange-traded funds) and appears relatively well-managed. In addition, the universal banks look well-positioned to compete with securities firms in the post-credit-crisis environment (commercial banking provides a cheap and stable source of funding).

All the same, I think any firm that is involved in investment banking is subject to regulatory risk right now. As such, there are more attractive opportunities for risk-averse investors (like me!) in other segments of the financial services industry -- U.S. regional banks, for example.

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Alex Dumortier, CFA, has no beneficial interest in any of the stocks mentioned in this article. JPMorgan Chase is a Motley Fool Income Investor recommendation. Try any of our Foolish newsletters today, free for 30 days.The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy.

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  • Report this Comment On August 09, 2008, at 7:30 AM, weiwentg wrote:

    I would add that the fact that Barclays tried to bid for ABN Amro at the top of the bubble is another strike against them. They were pretty determined to get ABN, and they only backed down when RBS upped their bid into the stratosphere. They might do the same thing again. They are not in such a strong financial position that they can have their pick of firms to buy right now.

  • Report this Comment On August 09, 2008, at 9:32 AM, TMFMarathonMan wrote:

    weiwentg,

    Thanks for your comment. I agree with your assessment -- Barclays was lucky that they came up against a competitor that was even more foolhardy than they were in the tussle over ABN. As for RBS and its partners in the transaction, they are now struggling with a case of "winner's curse".

    Alex Dumortier (XMFMarathonMan)

  • Report this Comment On August 15, 2008, at 4:36 PM, gooner69 wrote:

    watch out! The GOONER will get you, even on shitty small stocks like MER and Barclay's

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