Mrs. Freakonomics Is Right

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When it comes to basic financial advice, ideas like investing in stocks for the long term and diversifying among different types of investments gather a wide consensus. So that's why I was so surprised when I heard about this advice from Freakonomics author Steven Levitt: Don't save too much.

According to Levitt, the rationale was that in his career, he could count on earning more and more each year, and therefore wouldn't need to stockpile money for the future, for hard times. However, he notes that he doesn't actually follow his own advice, because his wife makes sure that they put some money aside.

Why saving is good
It was surprising to see anyone advised to save less. Why? Well, because we should all be prepared for bumps in the road, for hard times. Even professors with tenure can end up wishing they'd saved more. They may find themselves with some massive, unexpected expenses, for example -- anything from a costly medical emergency to gymnastics training for a daughter with Olympic dreams. Or they might decide they'd rather do something else that pays less income. You just never know. If they're used to a comfy lifestyle based on two incomes, it's tougher to react to a financial crisis.

It's critical to have emergency savings, or at least an emergency spending plan. If you find yourself in need of considerable money, where will you find it? (Learn more about emergency funds.)

You also want to save and invest for retirement. And if you ask me, the earlier you start, the better. That's because the younger you are, the longer you have for your money to grow. Consider the impact of having started investing 10 years earlier for some typical stocks:

Stock

Current Value of $5,000 Invested in 1988

Current Value of $10,000 Invested in 1998

Walgreen (NYSE: WAG)

$118,421

$18,471

Target (NYSE: TGT)

$114,667

$29,978

Nike (NYSE: NKE)

$270,708

$41,875

IBM (NYSE: IBM)

$30,069

$21,217

JPMorgan Chase (NYSE: JPM)

$40,530

$16,770

Caterpillar (NYSE: CAT)

$75,912

$38,984

Schlumberger (NYSE: SLB)

$85,019

$48,608

Source: Yahoo! Finance.

Notice how even by investing just half as much money, you ended up with a lot more by starting to invest earlier. The extra 10 years gave you more time for your returns to compound. What that means is that you won't have to save and invest as much over your whole lifetime -- if you engage in a lot of front-loading, by starting early.

Regardless, when it comes to Steven Levitt's advice, I think I'll stick with Mrs. Freakonomics.

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Longtime Fool contributor Selena Maranjian does not own shares of any companies mentioned in this article. Try our investing newsletters free for 30 days. The Motley Fool is Fools writing for Fools.

Comments from our Foolish Readers

Help us keep this a respectfully Foolish area! This is a place for our readers to discuss, debate, and learn more about the Foolish investing topic you read about above. Help us keep it clean and safe. If you believe a comment is abusive or otherwise violates our Fool's Rules, please report it via the Report this Comment Report this Comment icon found on every comment.

  • Report this Comment On September 27, 2008, at 5:19 PM, jcsmdpc wrote:

    Ms. Selena Maranjian is right! Dr. Steven Levitt's: "Don't save too much," is wrong. Obvously, Mr. Levitt is accomplished in all but history.

    Ignoring that the "arrow of time" moves in only one direction, should soften a callous-unemotional view of life.

    Ms. Maranjian notes that, "Even professors with tenure can end up wishing they'd saved more." But in a 2001 article in the Journal of Political Economy, Dr. Levitt's scholastic sophistry led him to soberly elaborate the "hidden richness in the

    information contained in two-car crashes.":

    "More police are associated with drinking drivers’ appearing less risky, but do not systematically influence the number of drinking drivers." JCS

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