By
Dan Dzombak
|
More Articles
October 30, 2011
|
Dividend investors know that it pays to follow how much of a company's money goes toward funding its payouts. A nice yield now won't matter much if the company can't keep making those payments going forward.
Here, we'll highlight a given company and its closest competitors to see just how safe their dividends are, with a little help from three crucial tools:
- The interest coverage ratio, or earnings before interest and taxes, divided by interest expense. The interest coverage ratio measures a company's ability to pay the interest on its debt. An interest coverage ratio less than 1.5 is questionable; a number less than 1 means that the company is not bringing in enough money to cover its interest expenses.
- The FCF payout ratio, or dividends per share divided by free cash flow per share. Earnings alone don't always paint a complete picture of a business' health. The FCF payout ratio measures the percentage of free cash flow devoted toward paying the dividend. Again, a ratio greater than 80% could be a red flag.
Each of these ratios reflect dividends paid in the trailing 12 months; yields are the expected forward yield. Let's examine McGraw-Hill (NYSE: MHP ) and three of its peers.
|
Company
|
Yield
|
Interest Coverage
|
EPS Payout Ratio
|
FCF Payout Ratio
|
| McGraw-Hill |
2.3% |
18.9 |
35.7% |
24.5% |
| R.R. Donnelley & Sons (NYSE: RRD ) |
6.4% |
3.0 |
169.8% |
56.4% |
| Avery Dennison (NYSE: AVY ) |
3.6% |
6.0 |
7.6% |
40.8% |
| Gannett (NYSE: GCI ) |
2.6% |
5.6 |
9.4% |
NA |
Source: S&P Capital IQ.
With an interest coverage of 18.9, McGraw-Hill covers every $1 in interest expenses with $19 in operating earnings. Given that its EPS payout ratio and FCF payout ratio are at or below 35%, you shouldn't have to worry that McGraw-Hill will need to cut its dividend anytime soon.
Another tool for better investing
Most investors don't keep tabs on their companies. That's a mistake. If you take the time to read past the headlines and crack a filing now and then, you're in a much better position to spot potential trouble early. We can help you keep tabs on your companies with My Watchlist, our free, personalized stock-tracking service.