Based on the aggregated intelligence of 180,000-plus investors participating in Motley Fool CAPS, the Fool's free investing community, the iShares Barclays 20+ Year Treasury Bond Fund
With that in mind, let's take a closer look at TLT and see what CAPS investors are saying about the ETF right now.
TLT facts
| Inception | July 2002 |
| Total Net Assets | $3.5 billion |
| Investment Approach | Seeks to approximate the total rate of return of the long-term sector of the United States Treasury market as defined by the Barclays U.S. 20+ Year Treasury Bond Index. |
| Expense Ratio | 0.15% |
| 1-Year / 3-Year / 5-Year Annualized Returns | 21% / 13.5% / 11.6% |
| Alternatives |
SPDR Barclays Capital Long Term Treasury Vanguard Extended Duration Treasury Index ETF iShares Lehman Aggregate Bond |
Sources: S&P Capital IQ and Motley Fool CAPS.
On CAPS, 93% of the 184 All-Star members who have rated the iShares fund believe the ETF will underperform the S&P 500 going forward.
Earlier this month, one of those Fools, fellow colleague John Divine (TMFDivine), succinctly summed up the bear case for our community:
Insanely low rates must return to levels a little closer to normal. Some sort of deviation to the mean will happen within the next 5 years, and when that happens, TLT will suffer vs. the S&P. Underperform.
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Want to see how well (or not so well) the stocks in this series are performing? Follow the TrackPoisedTo CAPS account.
