Seagate Sunk

Recs

0

Seagate Technology (NYSE: STX) shares were down more than 22% to under $16 this morning following yesterday's disappointing Q2 earnings report. In addition to worse-than-expected quarterly results, high inventories and intense price competition led the hard-drive manufacturer to also warn on third-quarter and full-year earnings.

For the second quarter, Seagate saw revenue grow 1.5% year over year to $1.76 billion. But while net income increased 3.5% to $205 million, it fell from $0.43 to $0.41 on a per-share basis, reflecting the company's higher share count. Analysts had been expecting earnings of $0.45 per share.

The company shipped a record 21.7 million disk drives, up 18% from last year's quarter. But here's the key: It shipped a mere 1.02 million units for use in consumer applications. That's down from the 2.25 million units it shipped in the first quarter and the 1.98 million units shipped in the second quarter of last year.

Seagate said that its "decision not to sell certain products at unacceptable market prices" to the company's original equipment manufacturer (OEM) base led to a 1.4 million unit shortfall from its shipment targets. That left Seagate more susceptible to spot market pricing.

Worse, Seagate said that the personal storage device market grew only 3% sequentially, lower than the 8%-10% growth the industry was planning for. As a result, excess inventory led to further price pressure in a space where the company competes with Maxtor (NYSE: MXO) and Western Digital (NYSE: WDC).

With that in mind, Seagate lowered its third-quarter earnings expectation to between $0.20 and $0.30 per share, down from its October forecast of $0.45 to $0.47 per share. The company also said that it won't reach its full-year earnings goal of $1.55 to $1.60 per share.

While some investors may be tempted to snap up a stock that's been cut in half from its October high, Fools know better than to chase companies whose pricing power is vulnerable to intense competition. Given that fact, Seagate is a pretty easy company to steer clear of.

For more reasons why, check out Tom Jacobs' 4 Reasons Seagate Sinks. W.D. Crotty also took a look at Maxtor last month.

Check out the Seagate Technology discussion board.

Jeff Hwang can be reached here.

Comments from our Foolish Readers

Help us keep this a respectfully Foolish area! This is a place for our readers to discuss, debate, and learn more about the Foolish investing topic you read about above. Help us keep it clean and safe. If you believe a comment is abusive or otherwise violates our Fool's Rules, please report it via the Report this Comment Report this Comment icon found on every comment.

Be the first one to comment on this article.

Compare Brokers

TD AMERITRADE
more info
ShareBuilder
more info
Power E*Trade

more info
Scottrade
more info
Fool Disclosure

DocumentId: 505128, ~/Articles/ArticleHandler.aspx, 11/9/2009 3:16:39 PM

Report This Comment

Use this area to report a comment that you believe is in violation of the community guidelines. Our team will review the entry and take any appropriate action.

Sending report...

The Must-Read Story on Fool.com
Warren Buffett's Biggest Weakness

Related Tickers

11/9/2009 2:30 PM
WDC $37.41 Up +0.97 +2.65%
Western Digital Co… CAPS Rating: ****
STX $15.81 Up +0.50 +3.23%
Seagate Technology CAPS Rating: ***

Community: Investing Wiki

Term Of The Hour

Bull market: A bull market is a period in which the prices in a market rise overall. Any asset class, including stocks, bonds, or commodities, can experience a bull market. Historically, bull markets tend to last longer than bear markets.

Want to learn more or edit this definition?
Click here to read more!