Ford's Good News Won't Last

Recs

0

Shares of Ford Motor (NYSE: F) finished flat yesterday despite the company announcing a brighter outlook for the second quarter. This is the second such increase this year for the No. 2 U.S. automaker.

After the close on Wednesday, Ford raised its second-quarter earnings expectations to $0.45 to $0.50 per share. Previous estimates were placing per-share earnings in a range of $0.30 to $0.35. However, the company remains cautious about the second half of the year. As a result, despite the anticipated strong second-quarter performance, investors were unimpressed.

Are investors simply not giving Ford its deserved kudos? I don't think so. You may remember that Ford was the only major automobile manufacturer to report a year-over-year decrease in sales for May. Also, despite the significant increase in expectations for the second quarter, Ford was unwilling to budge on its forecast for the second half of the year. Current projections are calling for earnings of $0.24 to $0.29, which is a huge drop from last year's earnings per share of $0.46.

Ford will have to continue to battle the U.S. leader, General Motors (NYSE: GM) as well as a plethora of foreign competition, including powerhouses Honda (NYSE: HMC) and Toyota (NYSE: TM), which continue to chip away at its business.

Additionally, Ford's strong second quarter was, in large part, the result of a better-than-anticipated performance in its financial services business. The company will most likely not be able to count on similar results in coming quarters as interest rates are expected to rise.

Will the new hybrid Escape propel electric profits for the company? There's no doubt that Ford has a good head start on its competitors. But, it remains to be seen how much profitability the SUV will generate. And you can guarantee the competition won't sit idly by for much longer.

Based upon increasing interest rates, increasing competition, and its anticipated annual performance, I would have to agree with investors' non-reaction to the superficial good news. Overall, I would expect little movement in Ford's price in the near term.

Fools are talking about Ford's prospects in the hybrid market on our Ford discussion board. Join in the conversation.

Fool contributor Mike Cianciolo welcomes feedback and doesn't own any of the companies in this article.

Comments from our Foolish Readers

Help us keep this a respectfully Foolish area! This is a place for our readers to discuss, debate, and learn more about the Foolish investing topic you read about above. Help us keep it clean and safe. If you believe a comment is abusive or otherwise violates our Fool's Rules, please report it via the Report this Comment Report this Comment icon found on every comment.

Be the first one to comment on this article.

Compare Brokers

TD AMERITRADE
more info
ShareBuilder
more info
Power E*Trade

more info
Scottrade
more info
Fool Disclosure

DocumentId: 508550, ~/Articles/ArticleHandler.aspx, 11/8/2009 7:51:21 PM

Report This Comment

Use this area to report a comment that you believe is in violation of the community guidelines. Our team will review the entry and take any appropriate action.

Sending report...

The Must-Read Story on Fool.com
Which Companies Can Buy It Like Buffett?

Related Tickers

11/6/2009 4:01 PM
F $7.75 Up +0.30 +4.03%
Ford Motor Company CAPS Rating: **
GM $0.75 Down +0.00 +0.00%
General Motors Cor… CAPS Rating: *
HMC $31.16 Down -0.16 -0.51%
Honda Motor Co., L… CAPS Rating: *****
TM $78.16 Down -2.42 -3.00%
Toyota Motor Corp… CAPS Rating: ***

Community: Investing Wiki

Term Of The Hour

Rate base: The rate base is the amount of assets a utility is allowed to include in the calculation of the rates charged to users. Rate increases must be approved by a state utility board. The approved rate is normally based on a target return on the allowed rate base.

Want to learn more or edit this definition?
Click here to read more!