TiVo: Are We Not Zen?

Recs

0

You can't blame TiVo (Nasdaq: TIVO) for trying. The company posted better-than-expected fiscal second-quarter results last night. The period's loss widened to $0.09 a share, with net revenues clocking in 50.4% higher at $59.4 million.

Analysts were expecting the company to post a loss of $0.14 a share on only $51.3 million in revenues.

Investors in the DVR, or digital video recorder, pioneer weren't immediately rewarded for the good news. The stock traded mostly flat last night. What held back the gains? It could be that the red ink will flow even more freely in the current period. It could be the problematic churn, as the company landed 74,000 gross TiVo-owned additions for the period but only had 30,000 net new additions.

However, no one is buying into TiVo for immediate gratification. Even the most optimistic analyst doesn't expect the company to turn an annual profit for another two years.

For now, TiVo is all about growing its user base, and that doesn't come cheap. During the quarter, the company generated $16 million in hardware revenue, but had to spit $10 million of that back in the form of consumer rebates and revenue-sharing with its partners. Then you have to subtract $21 million in hardware-related costs. Ouch. The TiVo service revenue offers a higher-margin respite, but we can't get to that point if TiVo stops selling, and sadly subsidizing, the boxes.

The Motley Fool Stock Advisor newsletter recommendation is still in a good place. TiVo is the only brand that matters in this space. It has amassed 4.4 million subscribers, is prying its way into more retail channels like RadioShack (NYSE: RSH), and also apparently has a defensible patent, given its legal victory over EchoStar (Nasdaq: DISH). TiVo also factors to be an ironic force in television advertising, a point hammered home in last night's report with ad revenues doubling.

Yes, TiVo's report isn't perfection. At this price, it doesn't have to be. All TiVo can do at this point is feed hope for the future, and right now that particular cupboard is loaded with dining possibilities.

Longtime Fool contributor Rick Munarriz does have a TiVo, but he does not own shares in the company. He is also part of theRule Breakersnewsletter research team, seeking out tomorrow's ultimate growth stocks a day early.The Fool has a disclosure policy.

Comments from our Foolish Readers

Help us keep this a respectfully Foolish area! This is a place for our readers to discuss, debate, and learn more about the Foolish investing topic you read about above. Help us keep it clean and safe. If you believe a comment is abusive or otherwise violates our Fool's Rules, please report it via the Report this Comment Report this Comment icon found on every comment.

Be the first one to comment on this article.

Compare Brokers

TD AMERITRADE
more info
ShareBuilder
more info
Power E*Trade

more info
Scottrade
more info
Fool Disclosure

DocumentId: 515708, ~/Articles/ArticleHandler.aspx, 11/22/2009 7:42:01 PM

Report This Comment

Use this area to report a comment that you believe is in violation of the community guidelines. Our team will review the entry and take any appropriate action.

Sending report...

The Must-Read Story on Fool.com
An Open Letter to the Federal Reserve

Related Tickers

11/20/2009 4:00 PM
RSH $19.11 Up +0.31 +1.65%
RadioShack Corp CAPS Rating: *
DISH $19.99 Up +0.13 +0.65%
Dish Networks CAPS Rating: **
TIVO $10.66 Down -0.17 -1.57%
TiVo, Inc. CAPS Rating: **

Community: Investing Wiki

Term Of The Hour

Stop order: A stop order is a specialty brokerage order that triggers an action when the stock hits a specified price.

Want to learn more or edit this definition?
Click here to read more!