Wall Street's Buy List

Actions speak louder than words, as the old saying goes. So why does the media focus so much attention on what Wall Street says about companies, instead of what it does with them?

Luckily for Wall Street watchers, the Internet brings us MSN Money's list of which companies the institutions are buying. True, we should be as skeptical of Wall Street's actions as we are of its words. But when the 105,000-plus lay and professional investors on Motley Fool CAPS agree with Wall Street's opinions, it just might be time for some buying.

Here's the latest edition of Wall Street's Buy List, alongside our investors' opinions of the companies involved:

 

Recent Price

CAPS Rating

(5 max):

Chemical & Mining Co. of Chile  (NYSE: SQM)

$42.73

*****

SatCon Technology  (Nasdaq: SATC)

$3.02

***

AVANT Immunotherapeutics (Nasdaq: AVAN)

$17.43

***

Particle Drilling Technologies (Nasdaq: PDRT)

$3.10

**

Cytori Therapeutics (Nasdaq: CYTX)

$7.92

***

Companies are selected from the "Institutional Ownership Up Last Month" list published on MSN Money on the Saturday following close of trading last week. Recent price provided by Yahoo! Finance for the same date. CAPS ratings from Motley Fool CAPS.

Wall Street vs. Main Street
Main Street seems less than impressed with Wall Street's top picks this week. CAPS players give three of them a bare pass, while actually panning another. There is, however, one company on which the opinions of Wall & Main intersect: They both love fertilizer producer Chemical & Mining Co. of Chile (SQM using its Spanish initials).

The company's products -- potassium nitrate, iodine, and lithium carbonate -- may be as yawn-inducing as its name, but that hasn't prevented the similarly uninspiringly monikered Potash Corp. of Saskatchewan (NYSE: POT) or the slightly more imaginative Mosaic Co. (NYSE: MOS) from riding the agriculture wave to profit. Let's find out why investors see similar prospects south of the border … way south. In Chile.

The bull case for SQM
Ordinarily, I like to use this section of the column to survey a handful of differing viewpoints from CAPS players. Today, I'm going to focus on just one player's opinion. (But don't worry. It's a good one.)

Top-rated pitcher and CAPS All-Star LEGMAKER wrote the book on "Sociedad Quimica y Minera de Chile S.A." -- and I'm exaggerating only a bit. LEGMAKER's pitch stretches to nearly two pages. Single-spaced. It's well worth reading in full, as I think you'll agree from the abridged version here: 

SQM seems to be very well suited in today's [agriculture] environment. They are an $8 billion market cap company that has 49% of their revenues from fertilizer and a 49% market share in that category. They also produce iodine and have a 29% market share while receiving 18% of their revenues from this group. Lastly, they produce lithium and have a 31% market share. 15% of their revenue comes from lithium. 18% of revenue comes from trading derivatives with respect to chemical and fertilizer markets. ...

SQM is a world wide leader and exports its goods to over 100 countries ... This diversification protects them from any regional downturn ... Their fertilizer business is great and the majority of their production. Their iodine is a very steady market that focuses on biocides ... Lastly, lithium ion batteries were developed because they do not have a memory, which means that you can recharge at anytime without worrying about damaging the holding capacity of the battery ...

Their business has seen consistent growth with respect to revenue, over the last five years they have grown at 17% a year. ... Net income is growing at 35% a year.

Valuation check
That's just a small excerpt from a truly great piece of analysis. And truth be told, I'm halfway convinced, except for one thing: valuation. It appears that only three analysts follow this stock, and neither Yahoo! Finance nor Reuters provides any estimate of how fast they think it will grow. But working off of LEGMAKER's estimate of 35% growth (earnings have "only" managed 26% compounded over the last five years), the stock's 61 P/E suggests this one is "priced for perfection."

Now, that may be appropriate. LEGMAKER makes a strong case that SQM operates in the midst of a perfect storm of profit potential. But if anything less than that actually results, this stock could sink right quick.

Time to chime in
Of course, the aim of this column isn't just to tell you what I think about Chemical & Mining Co. of Chile, or even what other CAPS players are saying. We really want to hear your thoughts. Click on over to Motley Fool CAPS and tell us what you think.

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Fool contributor Rich Smith does not own shares of any company named above. You can find him on CAPS, publicly pontificating under the handle TMFDitty, where he's currently ranked No. 1,955 out of more than 105,000 players. The Fool has a disclosure policy.

Comment (2)
Recommended (4)

Comments from our Foolish Readers

Help us keep this a respectfully Foolish area! This is a place for our readers to discuss, debate, and learn more about the Foolish investing topic you read about above. Help us keep it clean and safe. If you believe a comment is abusive or otherwise violates our Fool's Rules, please report it via the Report this Comment Report this Comment icon found on every comment.

  • On June 10, 2008, at 2:17 PM, ciro04 wrote: Report this Comment

    taking the current news on this co into consideration --- it sounds like a winner to me;---- but i'm just an old fool at heart.--- anyway.

  • On June 11, 2008, at 5:44 PM, longandstrong23 wrote: Report this Comment

    I think the SatCon SATC pick above needs some additional commentary. We have a business in reorg mode, with top line revenue growing at record pace. Yes, the business has historically had profitability problems, but it is being corrected rapidly.

    Recent developments:

    1. Tontine and Jeffrey Gendell have bolstered their position in this stock to 8.8%.

    2. Huge order from Spain on their inverters - more to come.

    3. Hired a new CEO, and have been cutting out much of the fat in the business. Take a look at recent SEC filings.

    4. Are at the right place at the right time. Great things to come.

    Objection 1: We don't have any details on the Spain order. First, here is a link to affordable-Solar.com with a few SATCON price sheets. http://www.affordable-solar.com/satcon.a...

    Each 500kw units sell for around $275,000 dollars through a reseller. I think the units sold to spain are the latest and greatest, so they probably cost more. However, let's take this price. Cost for hardware for the 20 units is about $5,435,900.

    I have not idea what the costs of the additional array combiner boxes and combiner software, plus engineering services would be, but that is probably a nice chunk of change too.

    I would guess the overall price Tag probably $6 - $7 million.

    Considering this company did $56 million roughly last year, $15 million first quarter this year, I would say this gives them a pretty strong running head start at this quarters number, and the year in general.

    One would think that it would not be unreasonable to have many more orders just like this coming in the months ahead not only from Spain, but from many others preparing for the future of Solar and Wind.

    So cut unneeded expenses - which is already happening as we can see in recent SEC filings, and grow top line revenue, and you get what? Oh yeah, a very profitable business. Take a look who just acquired over 8% - Jeffrey Gendell his tortine investment groups (will he buy more....). Not a bad person to have on the long side of this stock. Look what happened with XIDE and BWEN and the many others.

    Gotta love where SATC is sitting right now.

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Sociedad Quimica y Minera (ADR)

SQM Down! $13.96 -2.05 (-12.80%) 2:47 PM
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