5 Stocks Approaching Greatness

3 Recommendations

Some companies are obviously great investments -- in hindsight. Yet for every stock out there screaming "buy me," others simply give us a nudge and a nod. How can we tell tomorrow's obviously great investments from the thousands of pretenders?

The stars' walk of fame
The data shows that stocks achieving five-star ratings on Motley Fool CAPS have outperformed the market by 12 percentage points and that newly minted five-star stocks represent your best opportunity to capture those returns. So let's sift through the proprietary ratings system and find those stocks heading toward superstardom. Here are a handful of four-star companies approaching greatness.

  • Intrepid Potash (NYSE: IPI)
  • MF Global (NYSE: MF)
  • Hecla Mining (NYSE: HL)
  • Minefinders (NYSE: MFN)
  • NorthStar Realty Finance (NYSE: NRF)

Some of these names might surprise you. Silversmith Hecla Mining, for example, has been a premier name in mining for some time. Almost great? Even familiar names can still offer some of the best opportunities. Perhaps we've just forgotten the potential they still hold. However, the 115,000-plus CAPS investors chose these companies as less obvious sources for tomorrow's great buys, so let's see why they might merit your attention.

In the presence of greatness
The boom in potash production caused Foolish wag Toby Shute to call it a "Potashapalooza" earlier this summer, when he predicted that even at its IPO, Intrepid Potash was an overpriced play. With the market since straightening the mispricing out -- Intrepid shares are some 27% below the IPO, and Mosaic (NYSE: MOS) sits 40% under its 52-week highs -- CAPS member msidemrader thinks the pendulum has swung too far in the other direction for the innovative potash producer, particularly because demand for fertilizer, which makes up almost two thirds of Intrepid's revenue, isn't dissipating anytime soon: "Farmers still need potash, prices are lower, but they are still going to make significant earnings."

Considering the meltdown in the financial markets, it's not surprising that shares of MF Global seem to closely resemble one of Salvador Dali's melting clocks. The derivatives broker has suffered through its share of earnings issues and personnel problems at a time when the markets haven't been kind to the type of exotica the Motley Fool Global Gains recommendation typically deals in. That doesn't deter some CAPS members, though: colonelnelson finds the business operations stable, regardless of what the shares are doing.

Despite the broker scandal, regulatory issues, and skeptical analysts, MF is not losing clients and is cutting costs. MF is on track to earn [$0.95] per share in fiscal 2008, and the shares are worth approximately 85% of MF's tangible book value.

A stabilized balance sheet and high level management should mean a [turnaround]. Outperform, over the next year. Hoping for 30% appreciation in share price.

The turnabout in the price of gold is a hopeful signal for Minefinders, where protests over the development of its Dolores mine in Mexico have delayed production schedules. Yet a number of mining companies have surmounted similar problems this year: Southern Copper (NYSE: PCU), for one, suffered from protests over its operations in Peru. CAPS member contrariankiwi sees the problems in Mexico as only a temporary setback for this well-run mining company.

While there has been a slight delay in the start of production, this is a good company with great management. At this price it is a steal as they will be producing a lot of gold and silver at low cost [because of] their location in Mexico. Given that the fundamentals are still strong for the precious metals [Minefinders] will be making a lot of money in the coming years.

A great opportunity for you
These four-star investments are on their way to five-star greatness, and it pays to start your own research on these stocks on Motley Fool CAPS. Read a company's financial reports, scrutinize key data and charts, and examine the comments your fellow investors have made -- all from a stock's CAPS page.

Sign up today for the completely free service, and let's us hear what you have to say about the great -- and almost great -- companies that interest you.

What do the unfolding financial crisis and ongoing market volatility mean for your money? The Fool's here with answers. Get the best of our daily commentary and analysis in your inbox simply by entering your email address in the box below.

MF Global is a Motley Fool Global Gains recommendation. Try any of our Foolish newsletter services free for 30 days.

Fool contributor Rich Duprey has no financial position in any of the stocks mentioned in this article. You can see his holdings. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy.

Comments from our Foolish Readers

Help us keep this a respectfully Foolish area! This is a place for our readers to discuss, debate, and learn more about the Foolish investing topic you read about above. Help us keep it clean and safe. If you believe a comment is abusive or otherwise violates our Fool's Rules, please report it via the Report this Comment Report this Comment icon found on every comment.

  • On September 23, 2008, at 4:05 PM, dcrednek wrote: Report this Comment

    Do any of the five companies mentioned hold a durable, competitive advantage over their competitors which will outlast the current bull market in commodities? Is it that the companies are special or just a case where the rising tide (of commodity prices) is liftin all ships, even those with weak hulls?

  • On September 25, 2008, at 4:11 PM, mzalbatross wrote: Report this Comment

    They are clearly not ebforcing the new "market maker naked short ban" rule on this one - although the short side's respite will be short-lived.

    (And Yes, we DO know who the main offenders are.)

    Twice in ten days or so, "secret" short-covering spike to over 8 overnight.

    Will there be a third one tonight?

    Market is a-changing, dear ones.

    Can't away with bad behavior much longer.

    Love and kisses.

  • On September 26, 2008, at 12:59 PM, DARTLINE wrote: Report this Comment

    Beat the Dart justed posted this ... 12:27pm ... BUY The Mosaic Company (MOS) - last $75.43. MOS engages in the production and marketing of concentrated phosphate and potash crop nutrients for the agriculture industry worldwide underthree segments: Phosphates, Potash, and Offshore. More efficient manufacturing and supply chain processing to reduce product development cost and increase speed to market has started to enhance bottom line warrant immediate consideration. VALLEY Formation completed for near term advance. DECLINING LOWS completed trading pattern to attract new buyers. Near term support held to warrant PORTAL POINT within Subjective Probability model (SPM). With SPM+77 LONG rating, set EXIT POINT at $107.

  • On October 09, 2008, at 11:40 AM, mytown wrote: Report this Comment

    Hi,

    This looks real good NOW!

    http://biz.yahoo.com/prnews/081008/nyw130n.html?.v=1

    NEW YORK, Oct. 8 /PRNewswire-FirstCall/ -- NorthStar Realty Finance Corp. (NYSE: NRF - News) today announced that its Board of Directors has declared a cash dividend of $0.36 per share of common stock, payable with respect to the quarter ended September 30, 2008. The dividend is expected to be paid on November 14, 2008 to shareholders of record as of the close of business on November 4, 2008. The Company's common shares will begin trading ex-dividend on October 31, 2008.

    Based on the closing price of $4.15 per share on October 8, 2008, this distribution represents an annualized dividend yield of approximately 34.7%.

    Additionally, the Company's Board of Directors has authorized a share repurchase program of up to 10,000,000 shares of the Company's outstanding common stock, or approximately 16% of the Company's outstanding common stock. The Company currently has in excess of $250 million of cash liquidity.

    Stock repurchases under this program will be made from time to time through the open market or in privately negotiated transactions. The timing and actual number of shares repurchased will depend on a variety of factors including price, corporate and regulatory requirements, market conditions, and other corporate liquidity requirements and priorities.

    Peace,

    Dan

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