Drink In These 5 Top Stocks

Recs

17

Whether it's the corporate lunchroom, your cubicle, or the local watering hole after work, there are regular places we gather to discuss news, sports or -- if you're like us -- stocks. Here at Motley Fool CAPS, we gather around the virtual water cooler daily to rate stocks and delve into their merits as investments.

Our 120,000-person-strong CAPS community -- where members give the thumbs-up or thumbs-down to some 5,400 stocks -- has shown a propensity for making prescient market calls. Our data indicates that newly minted five-star stocks offer some of the best opportunities to investors, while the lowest-rated companies fare worst. Below we'll take a look at some of the top stocks in the CAPS universe that you're talking about the most and whether you think they will outperform or underperform the market.

Stock

CAPS Rating (5 max)

No. of Opinions

% Outperform

Baidu.com (Nasdaq: BIDU)

***

3,461

86%

DryShips (Nasdaq: DRYS)

**

2,509

85%

PotashCorp (NYSE: POT)

****

4,138

95%

Visa (NYSE: V)

****

4,150

94%

Yamana Gold (NYSE: AUY)

*****

3,324

97%

A tall drink of water
Even though DryShips increased its long-term charters in the second and third quarters to take advantage of contract rates that were at all-time highs, plummeting prices have been exerting pressure on the dry-bulk shipper. It then filed a prospectus regarding a shelf registration that could significantly dilute current shareholders, and used language that spooked some analysts into thinking DryShips might not be able to meet its debt covenants. Needless to say, a stock whose shares were already in free fall from their nosebleed heights dropped even further.

While global trade is down and credit markets tight, hopes for shipping in general and DryShips in particular seem to rest with China breaking free of the economic fog. The country's massive stimulus package is seen by some as a reason for hope, but spot-rate exposure may still consume too large a portion of operations for DryShips and fellow shippers like Excel Maritime (NYSE: EXM).

CAPS member cmanasco acknowledges the difficult straits DryShips has sailed into, but with higher rates locked in for an average of five years, thinks it still has a solid guaranteed stream of revenue:

[DryShips] is too low for it's value right now, yes it does have some high debt issues but they foresaw the slowdown and booked their ships accordingly virtually assuring their revenue stream would continue through these recessionary times. With a p/e well below 1 right now, this is a no brain trade.

Life after debt
As the credit crisis leapfrogs from housing to mortgages to financials, many are expecting it to next make the jump to credit card issuers. With the economy worsening, credit card processors Visa and MasterCard (NYSE: MA) may take reduced credit transaction volumes on the chin as people opt to pay cash.

Yet Visa might not be as bad off as its rivals. For example, it processed three times as many debit card transactions as MasterCard did last year. A debit transaction is every bit as much a cash transaction as using dollar bills. You can still live within your means and Visa will still prosper. CAPS member KokueiOTD figures that whatever changes consumers make in their spending habits, credit card usage, like rock 'n' roll, is here to stay:

Visa's business model is powerful, it lacks the vulnerabilities of American Express and [Discover Financial Services], and it commands a huge amount of the credit card market share. The current economic downturn has beaten the stock down (to attractive buying levels) and will undoubtedly effect earnings in the short term, but I believe Visa has a lot of potential in the long term. Credit crisis or not, I don't think that credit cards will be going away anytime soon.

Gather 'round
The CAPS community offers so many good opinions about today's top companies. Why not grab a pointy paper cup from the dispenser and join us at the Motley Fool CAPS water cooler, where your input can help guide other investors to stocks with bright prospects for growth? Read a company's financial reports, scrutinize key data and charts, and examine the comments your fellow investors have made -- all from a stock's CAPS page. It's free.

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Discover Financial Services and American Express are Motley Fool Inside Value recommendations. Baidu.com is a Rule Breakers selection. The Fool owns shares of American Express. Try any of our Foolish newsletters today, free for 30 days.

Fool contributor Rich Duprey does not have a financial position in any of the stocks mentioned in this article. You can see his holdings here. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy.

Comments from our Foolish Readers

Help us keep this a respectfully Foolish area! This is a place for our readers to discuss, debate, and learn more about the Foolish investing topic you read about above. Help us keep it clean and safe. If you believe a comment is abusive or otherwise violates our Fool's Rules, please report it via the Report this Comment Report this Comment icon found on every comment.

  • Report this Comment On December 04, 2008, at 4:05 PM, tacitus52 wrote:

    One very important upside of DRYS that isn't discussed here is the planned spinoff next spring of Primelead (currently called Ocean Rig), a deep-sea drilling unit valued by the company at $30 to $31 per share. The unit generates more than $2 million per day of revenue and DRYS will continue to own 75% of it after the spin-off. This unit, plus their already ample reserves of combined cash and credit lines and a relatively young fleet, place them in a better position than most other dry bulk shippers to survive the downturn and gain market share when shipping snaps back. This is both a good short (due to the spin-off) and long-term buy.

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Related Tickers

12/1/2009 4:02 PM
EXM $7.44 Up +0.53 +7.67%
Excel Maritime Car… CAPS Rating: *****
MA $242.99 Up +2.13 +0.88%
MasterCard, Inc. CAPS Rating: **
BIDU $435.55 Up +1.81 +0.42%
Baidu.com, Inc. (A… CAPS Rating: **
V $82.97 Up +1.97 +2.43%
Visa, Inc. CAPS Rating: ***
DRYS $6.32 Up +0.20 +3.27%
DryShips, Inc. CAPS Rating: ***
AUY $13.86 Up +0.53 +3.98%
Yamana Gold, Inc.… CAPS Rating: ****
POT $116.59 Up +4.17 +3.71%
Potash Corp./Saska… CAPS Rating: ****

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