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Unhelpful Statistics That Could Trip You Up

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I run into a bunch of data as I'm reading about investments. For instance, the newest issue of one financial magazine I read regularly arrived the other day. Each issue features a page of usually interesting statistics near the end of the magazine. These include:

  • The most widely held stocks -- such as ExxonMobil, General Electric, and AT&T (NYSE: T  ) .
  • Recent and long-term returns for various indexes, such as the S&P 500, the Russell 2000 (which focuses on the small-cap universe), and the Morgan Stanley EAFE (which reflects markets in Europe, Australasia, and the Far East).
  • The highest-yielding Dow stocks, which included Bank of America (NYSE: BAC  ) , Pfizer (NYSE: PFE  ) , and DuPont (NYSE: DD  ) .

As I read through the statistics, though, I worried that some people might think that the highest-yielding Dow stocks are all good investments -- because they're Dow stocks and sport high yields. They might not realize that Dow companies can run into trouble and be replaced. Eastman Kodak, AIG, and Goodyear Tire (NYSE: GT  ) , for example, were once Dow stocks, while Kraft (NYSE: KFT  ) didn't become one until last year.

Also, steep dividend yields are often a byproduct of stock prices that have imploded for good reason. Bank of America, for example, faces considerable uncertainty as a major financial services enterprise in today's economic environment. Many of its peers have reduced or eliminated their dividends.

A top stock?
Here's another worry -- the page lists 10 "top-performing stocks," with returns for the last month and the last year. Yikes! Even a one-year performance offers little to draw any conclusions from. Lots of below-average stocks have good years, and lots of great stocks have so-so or crummy years. And why anyone would bother to list top performers over a one-month period is beyond me.

I hope no one thinks the list features rockets that will keep on rewarding investors. One company on it, RadioShack (NYSE: RSH  ) , illustrates my point. As much fondness as I have for the company, remembering shopping there in my childhood, and as much as I may want it to succeed, the truth is that it's struggling. Sure, it's up 50% from its November lows, but the stock has dropped 20% over the past year. Even worse, it has lost an average of nearly 6% annually over the past decade. A visit to its page at our free CAPS stock-rating service shows that most investors are bearish on the company, though it does have its supporters. Still, I think there are lots of more promising investments.

So as you face financial fare, be a critical reader -- and look beyond the first statistics an article gives you.

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Longtime Fool contributor Selena Maranjian owns shares of General Electric. Pfizer and Kraft Foods are current Motley Fool Income Investor selections, while Bank of America is a former one. Pfizer is a Motley Fool Inside Value pick. The Fool owns shares of Pfizer. Try our investing newsletters free for 30 days. The Motley Fool is Fools writing for Fools.


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Related Tickers

5/25/2012 4:00 PM
PFE $22.13 Down -0.01 -0.05%
Pfizer, Inc. CAPS Rating: ****
RSH $4.97 Up +0.14 +2.90%
RadioShack Corp CAPS Rating: **
T $33.69 Up +0.05 +0.15%
AT&T CAPS Rating: ***
KFT $38.57 Down -0.12 -0.31%
Kraft Foods, Inc. CAPS Rating: *****
BAC $7.15 Up +0.01 +0.14%
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DD $48.40 Down -0.26 -0.53%
E.I. du Pont de Ne… CAPS Rating: ****
GT $10.59 Up +0.17 +1.63%
The Goodyear Tire… CAPS Rating: **

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