1-Star Stocks Poised to Plunge: Kodak?

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Based on the aggregated intelligence of 125,000-plus investors participating in Motley Fool CAPS, the Fool's free investing community, photography products maker Eastman Kodak (NYSE: EK) has received the dreaded one-star ranking.

With that in mind, let's take a closer look at Kodak's business and see what CAPS investors are saying about the stock right now.

Kodak facts

Headquarters (founded)

Rochester, New York (1880)

Market Cap

$874 million

Industry

Photographic Products

TTM Revenue

$9.42 billion

Management

Chairman/CEO Antonio Perez

President/COO Philip Faraci

Return on Equity (average, last three years)

(16.9%)

Competitors

Canon (NYSE: CAJ)

Sony (NYSE: SNE)

Hewlett-Packard (NYSE: HPQ)

CAPS members bearish on EK also bearish on

Ford Motor (NYSE: F)

General Motors (NYSE: GM)

CAPS members bullish on EK also bullish on

Bank of America (NYSE: BAC)

Sources: Capital IQ, a division of Standard & Poor's, and Motley Fool CAPS. TTM = trailing 12 months.

Over on CAPS, fully 89 of the 149 All-Star members who have rated Kodak -- some 60% -- believe the stock will underperform the S&P 500 going forward. These bears include srk85 and Option1307, both of whom are ranked in the top 15% of our community.

Three weeks ago, srk85 predicted that the long-term picture would turn out ugly for shareholders: "Down a lot but still with a long way to go. No significant earnings on the horizon for years."

In a pitch from two weeks later, Option1307 expands on that bearish reasoning:

When was the last time you had camera film developed? Ya, that's what I thought. And for those < 20 yrs. old, you have likely never experienced that old school way of technology.

We live in a digital world and things are only rapidly accelerating farther down that past. Traditional photogrpahy is dead.

Yes Kodak makes some good products, and they have a large exposure to digital technology as well, but that doesn't matter currently.

What do you think about Kodak, or any other stock for that matter? Make your voice heard on Motley Fool CAPS today. More than 125,000 investors are waiting to hear what you have to say. CAPS is 100% free, so simply click here to get started.

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Fool contributor Brian Pacampara owns no position in any of the companies mentioned. Bank of America is a former Motley Fool Income Investor recommendation. The Fool's disclosure policy always gets a perfect score.

Comments from our Foolish Readers

Help us keep this a respectfully Foolish area! This is a place for our readers to discuss, debate, and learn more about the Foolish investing topic you read about above. Help us keep it clean and safe. If you believe a comment is abusive or otherwise violates our Fool's Rules, please report it via the Report this Comment Report this Comment icon found on every comment.

  • Report this Comment On March 05, 2009, at 12:11 AM, YinzFool wrote:

    I find it ironic that those bearish on Kodak are using references to having film developed as their reasoning. This is like claiming IBM will fail by asking "when was the last time you replaced the ribbon on your typewriter?"

    It just shows that the market has not bothered to pay any attention to what it is that Kodak actually does. It is really sad that these are the same people determining the direction of our economy.

    From the Q4 2008 Results:

    * Consumer Digital Imaging Group full-year sales were $3.088 billion, a 5% decline from 2007. Sales for the fourth quarter were $958 million, a 30% decrease from $1.372 billion in the prior-year quarter. Fourth-quarter loss from operations for the segment was $40 million, compared with earnings of $91 million in the year-ago quarter. The fourth-quarter loss was driven primarily by lower volume and price/mix impacts, particularly in Digital Capture and Devices, including lower intellectual property licensing royalties, and unfavorable foreign exchange, partially offset by cost improvements.

    * Graphic Communications Group full-year sales were $3.334 billion, a 2% decline from 2007. Sales for the fourth quarter were $821 million, a 14% decrease from $953 million in the year-ago quarter. Fourth-quarter loss from operations for the segment totaled $4 million, compared with earnings of $30 million in the year-ago quarter. This earnings decline was primarily driven by lower volume and price/mix across several product lines, along with a negative impact from foreign exchange, partially offset by reductions in selling, general and administrative cost.

    * Film, Photofinishing and Entertainment Group full-year sales were $2.987 billion, an 18% decline from 2007. Fourth-quarter revenue was $652 million, down from $894 million in the year-ago quarter, representing a decrease of 27%, attributable to reduced sales volume of Film Capture and Traditional Photofinishing products and services. Fourth-quarter earnings from operations for the segment increased to $39 million from $17 million in the year-ago quarter. These earnings results were driven by significant cost reductions, and reflect the impact of previously announced changes in post-employment benefits, and lower depreciation expense related to the company’s previously announced change in useful life assumptions. These were partially offset by the effects of lower consumer film sales volumes, price/mix across several product lines, increased commodity costs, and foreign exchange impacts.

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