Stock Smackdown: Cramer vs. CAPS

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There's no denying that Mad Money host Jim Cramer is entertaining, popular, and passionate. On many occasions, he's even right. So he's smart, funny, and the closest thing to a stock market rock star -- but is he smarter than you?

Cramming for Cramer
The Fool's free investing community, Motley Fool CAPS, aggregates the opinion of more than 130,000 members to assign ratings for each stock's likelihood of outperforming or underperforming the market.

Below, we look at some top stocks that Cramer picked and panned during last week's "lightning rounds," and we compare them with how the CAPS community sees their future.

Stock

Lightning Round Show Date

Cramer's Rating 

CAPS Rating (Out of 5)

Isis Pharmaceuticals

Monday

Bullish

***

Cracker Barrel

Monday

Bullish

**

GameStop (NYSE: GME)

Tuesday

Bearish

***

Smith & Wesson Holdings

Tuesday

Bearish

***

Eagle Bulk Shipping (Nasdaq: EGLE)

Wednesday

Bearish

***

NYSE Euronext (NYSE: NYX)

Wednesday

Bullish

*****

Corning (NYSE: GLW)

Thursday

Bearish

*****

Rambus

Thursday

Bearish

***

Cliffs Natural Resources

Friday

Bullish

****

Commercial Metals

Friday

Bullish

****

Cramer says …
There's retail, and then there are retailers, and it seems foolish to lump them all together as a single entity. Yet Jim Cramer seems to do just that when he recommends that viewers sell GameStop, by suggesting there are better retailers to invest in.

I actually think the GME sales have not been that good ... sell, sell, sell. ... I do not like GME. I've got a ton of retailers that I like more. I think the GME is a played-out name ...

The game retailer's investors were delivered a one-two punch with an earnings report that offered less-than-gangbusters growth guidance and the news that Wal-Mart (NYSE: WMT) was, er, getting in the game by installing used-game buying kiosks. Yet we've heard this story before. Netflix (Nasdaq: NFLX) was supposed to be dead and buried by now because Wal-Mart had gotten into the movie-rental business. Of course, it didn't take long before Wally World bailed out on the niche market and handed over its customer base to Netflix, which remains as strong as ever.

There are indeed things that Wal-Mart excels at, and few retailers have been able to come close to its performance in this recession. But that doesn't mean it can do everything exceptionally, and the typical game-buying demographic is not necessarily the type that will be attracted to Wal-Mart.

CAPS says …
With 95% believing GameStop will outperform the market, the CAPS community thinks the Mad Money host doesn't have game. Believing that the threat of retailer competition is just one of many concerns that have been overstated, CAPS All-Star Har1en says the game specialist's quantity of titles serves as a competitive moat against the more limited inventory of Wal-Mart or even Best Buy (NYSE: BBY).

Yes, digital downloads are coming, but there is always going to be a place for physical stores because of the blockbuster nature of the industry. Waiting for downloads is inconvenient, slow, and subject to catastrophic hard-drive failure. Also, children do not have credit cards. After the recent credit card legislation, many college students won't have them either.

The Walmart/Best Buy competition is overblown. Those stores do not have the proper culture and brand to handle used titles in bulk. The draw of a Gamestop store is the sheer quantity of good titles that they carry, even used. I would be surprised if other non-specialty stores could compete.

Finally, Gamestop has great service: from a great industry magazine that both encourages sales and teaches customers about the industry to the knowledgeable people in their stores who actually play the games, they make gaming cool. Good luck getting that service from Walmart.

Your say
While CAPS members may stand with Jim Cramer or on opposite sides of the field, the investor-intelligence community is more than what some All-Stars think, even if they are TV personalities. But what do you think? Is Cramer right or off his rocker? Why not head off right now to CAPS and sound off with your thoughts on whether GameStop is still in the game?

Motley Fool CAPS is a great place to start your own research on these stocks. Read a company's financial reports, scrutinize key data and charts, and examine the comments your fellow investors have made -- all from a stock's CAPS page. Best of all, it's free!

Closed for 15 months – opening 10 days only! Get notified ahead of time as our expert portfolio manager invests $1 MILLION in the best opportunities from across The Motley Fool’s premium investment services. This is the first open since August 2008, by invitation only. Enter email below.

NYSE Euronext is a Motley Fool Rule Breakers pick. Best Buy, GameStop, and Netflix are Motley Fool Stock Advisor recommendations. Best Buy and Wal-Mart Stores are Motley Fool Inside Value picks. The Fool owns shares of Best Buy. Try any of our Foolish newsletter services free for 30 days.

Fool contributor Rich Duprey owns shares of Wal-Mart but has no financial position in any of the other stocks mentioned in this article. You can see his holdings. The Motley Fool has an undiluted disclosure policy.

Comments from our Foolish Readers

Help us keep this a respectfully Foolish area! This is a place for our readers to discuss, debate, and learn more about the Foolish investing topic you read about above. Help us keep it clean and safe. If you believe a comment is abusive or otherwise violates our Fool's Rules, please report it via the Report this Comment Report this Comment icon found on every comment.

  • Report this Comment On May 27, 2009, at 3:40 PM, SekouMurphy wrote:

    To quote the wise Obi-Wan Kenobi, "Who's more foolish, the fool or the fool who follows him?"

    That's exactly what I think about Cramer. He gives only superficial reasons (at best) for "loving" and "hating" a stock. Maybe he's done some basic analyses, but I've never heard him talk about it.

    What's more fascinating is that people think the world of this guy for his "investment advice". I was so glad that Jon Stewart called out Cramer for his lack of professionalism and objectivity.

    Who's more foolish?

    Here's the url for the The Daily Show

    http://www.thedailyshow.com/video/index.jhtml?videoId=221516...

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11/9/2009 4:00 PM
NFLX $57.20 Up +1.34 +2.40%
Netflix, Inc. CAPS Rating: ***
GLW $15.80 Up +0.50 +3.27%
Corning, Inc. CAPS Rating: *****
GME $25.50 Up +0.87 +3.53%
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NYX $27.80 Up +0.93 +3.46%
NYSE Euronext CAPS Rating: *****
EGLE $4.95 Up +0.26 +5.54%
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BBY $41.78 Up +1.54 +3.83%
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WMT $52.00 Up +0.75 +1.46%
Wal-Mart Stores, I… CAPS Rating: ***

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