$134 Billion in a Suitcase, and Other Extremely Large Numbers

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We've heard a lot of big numbers over the past year. A $700 billion bank rescue. A trillion-dollar deficit. A $50 billion Ponzi scheme. A quadrillion-dollar Zimbabwean personal check.

But this story might top them all, if only for sheer originality. Details are extremely vague, but Bloomberg reports two Japanese men were detained in Italy after trying to smuggle $134 billion of U.S. Treasury bonds into Switzerland.

You read that right: Two men. $134 billion. They had it all stuffed in a suitcase -- a suitcase worth more than Wells Fargo (NYSE: WFC), Google (Nasdaq: GOOG), or Coca-Cola (NYSE: KO). The denominations were as high as $1 billion each, so smuggling this much dough didn't require as much storage as you'd think. Pocket change, really.

Now, one of two scenarios seems likely here: Either this is a counterfeit operation of biblical proportions, or it's a disturbingly ominous stealth transfer by a single foreign nation. Why? Only a few countries actually own over $134 billion of Treasury securities. Have a look:

Country

Total Amount of Treasuries Owned

China

$764 billion

Japan

$686 billion

United Kingdom

$153 billion

Russia

$137 billion

Source: U.S. Treasury, April 2009.

Other top holders include Caribbean banking centers ($205 billion) and oil exporting nations ($190 billion). So if we assume these Treasuries came from a single, foreign source, there are literally only a handful of potential owners. Moreover, that single source had to be moving a huge portion, if not all, of its bonds at once. Sketchy? Mmm-hmm.

Assuming the Treasuries are real (which, honestly, I'd say is rather improbable), the question then becomes why a country was in the middle of illicitly moving such an enormous amount of capital. Under-the-table bailouts? A stealth run on the dollar? Oh! Buying a congressional seat from Rod Blagojevich? Gotta pay to play, baby.

I'll go out on a limb: Until this story gets solved, the conspiracy theorists will be tripping over themselves with ideas. Have your own theory? Let's hear it, Fools. Fire away in the comment section below.

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Fool contributor Morgan Housel doesn’t own shares in any of the companies mentioned in this article. Google is a Motley Fool Rule Breakers selection. Coca-Cola is a Motley Fool Inside Value and Motley Fool Income Investor pick. The Fool has a disclosure policy.

Comments from our Foolish Readers

Help us keep this a respectfully Foolish area! This is a place for our readers to discuss, debate, and learn more about the Foolish investing topic you read about above. Help us keep it clean and safe. If you believe a comment is abusive or otherwise violates our Fool's Rules, please report it via the Report this Comment Report this Comment icon found on every comment.

  • Report this Comment On June 18, 2009, at 12:36 PM, jmt587 wrote:
  • Report this Comment On June 18, 2009, at 12:36 PM, bigcat1969 wrote:

    The US is saying the bonds are fakes. Bearer bonds haven't been issued since the mid 80s and there isn't anywhere close to 130 billion in bearer bonds still extant.

  • Report this Comment On June 18, 2009, at 12:38 PM, caltex1nomad wrote:

    Maybe Switzerland was just a stopover before heading to the IKEA OUTLET in Sweden. $ 134 Billion would buy a lot of uncomfortable furniture.

  • Report this Comment On June 18, 2009, at 12:40 PM, ctstone wrote:

    If it were a country smuggling real bonds, officials could use a diplomatic pouch and easily avoid customs inspectors' prying eyes.

  • Report this Comment On June 18, 2009, at 12:40 PM, Melaschasm wrote:

    There are no reasonable answers.

    Who would buy a $1 billion dollar T-Bill without making sure it is not counterfeit?

    If these were stolen from a country, how would you sell $1 billion dollar T-Bills considering how easy it is to track money transfers of that size?

    If a country (Japan?) is making a stealth transfer, what are they trading that needs to be hidden?

  • Report this Comment On June 18, 2009, at 12:43 PM, TMFHousel wrote:

    Well, bad timing on my part. Looks like this case has been solved ... they're fake.

    http://online.wsj.com/article/BT-CO-20090618-707082.html

  • Report this Comment On June 18, 2009, at 12:47 PM, angusthermopylae wrote:

    "indicated" they are fake. (Huh?)

    Either they are fake, or they are not. (True, some might be fake and others aren't, but that makes even less sense.)

  • Report this Comment On June 18, 2009, at 1:25 PM, brwn8484 wrote:

    What if the someone leaves an idea on this web site and it is dangerously close to the truth and it threatens to expose someone high in US govt... say the President or Treasury.... What happens next .... Boom goes your car! Sounds like the a brief with name like a bird from a supposedly fictional plot to a ........ Oh well... time to wake up and get some more popcorn and coke!

  • Report this Comment On June 18, 2009, at 1:26 PM, slakk wrote:

    haha! take that mafia drug kingpins! lol. we got your dope and you got duped...

  • Report this Comment On June 18, 2009, at 1:29 PM, BMFPitt wrote:

    I thought Gietner carried that much on him all the time? I think he tips his waitstaff in billion dollar T-bills.

  • Report this Comment On June 18, 2009, at 1:37 PM, brwn8484 wrote:

    You can tip like that when you dont have to pay any taxes!

  • Report this Comment On June 18, 2009, at 1:51 PM, catoismymotor wrote:

    This really ticks me off! What did I ask them to do? Huh? Don't get caught. That was my only request. Is that too much to ask?! My God! I already broke down the printing press and sent the ink to the recycling center. Crap! All that work for nothing! I'm so upset I could just spit!

  • Report this Comment On June 18, 2009, at 9:08 PM, rbenesh wrote:

    There goes my lunch money!

  • Report this Comment On June 19, 2009, at 11:21 AM, LattePup wrote:

    Four years of evil medical school and this is the kind of frickin' help I get.

  • Report this Comment On June 19, 2009, at 12:25 PM, textmike wrote:

    Sounds like a good way to control currency & reduce the deficit to me! If a country tries to unload in secret, clam its fake….

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