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This Week's 5 Smartest Stock Moves

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If you're feeling good about the market, you're not alone. Take my hand as we go over some of this week's more uplifting headlines.

1. As the rally bell tolls
The housing industry may finally be hitting the floorboards. Toll Brothers (NYSE: TOL  ) posted its preliminary fiscal results for the third quarter. The numbers aren't spectacular, but there are three juicy nuggets in the numbers.

  • This is the first time in four years that net signed contracts have clocked in ahead of the past year.
  • The order cancellation rate was the lowest in three years.  
  • This is usually a seasonally sleepy quarter, as Toll's prime selling season is the fiscal second quarter. Well, this is only the fourth time since 1986 that the third quarter showed sequential improvement in net contracts.

Developers still have a long way to go in resuming their profitable past. However, Toll's turnaround is encouraging. As the class of the industry, the luxury homebuilder is a bellwether that the market has been eyeing closely.

Turning the corner is relative, of course, but it's refreshing to see the industry move out of its dead-end cul-de-sac.

2. Cisco's strong song
Record companies aren't as dumb as you think. Warner Music Group (NYSE: WMG  ) is teaming up with Cisco Systems (Nasdaq: CSCO  ) to launch Cisco EOS social-networking sites around Warner's roster of musical acts.

This is a great move. CD sales are falling, and high-margin digital sales aren't enough to offset the carnage. Labels need new ways to cash in on their artists, and generating sticky sites that can be easily monetized with ads or premium subscriptions is a no-brainer.

Well played, Warner.

3. We're in Sirius debt
Sirius XM Radio (Nasdaq: SIRI  ) is making the most of its improving cash flows and buoyant share price. The satellite-radio provider locked into a reasonable 9.75% interest rate when it priced $257 million in senior secured notes last night.

Remember when Sirius XM was so desperate that it was paying as much as 15% in interest and handing over 40% of the company? That was just six months ago. Now it can use cheaper financing to pay down its higher-rate debt.

4. LOL, Yahoo!
It's not all subtraction at Yahoo! (Nasdaq: YHOO  ) these days. The online portal is paying $80,000 for the OMG.com domain name.

This isn't going to be the birth of a Bing-esque search engine. Yahoo! already runs a celebrity paparazzi site at omg.yahoo.com. The new domain is likely to make for an easier-to-remember URL.

Why do the search heavies do this? Why do they put so much muscle behind sites when they don't initially own the corresponding dot-coms? Mr. Softy did it with Soapbox. Yahoo! has done it with subdomains such as OMG and Mash.

It usually translates into overpaying for a domain, but Yahoo! is getting off easy here. Paying $80,000 for a hot three-letter combination's dot-com domain is a steal. But let's hope the online heavies become more thorough planners in the future. If you're going to launch a site, make sure you own the appropriate type-in domains before going public.

5. Rings around the Target
Target (NYSE: TGT  ) is growing up in cyberspace. It will be dumping Amazon.com (Nasdaq: AMZN  ) when its online contract runs out in 2011.

Amazon has been doing the dirty work at Target.com for years. It has been manning the virtual checkout process, warehousing the merchandise, and shipping items out as ordered. Amazon has done a great job, but it's time for Target to spread its wings and try to fly.

It may not be easy, but Target has no choice but to wean itself off Amazon's seasoned services. Target's relationship with Amazon was essentially fattening up one of its bigger rivals in e-commerce. The prolonged break-up process should give Target plenty of time to make sure that its own platform is solid beyond 2011.

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Longtime Fool contributor Rick Munarriz is an optimist at every turn. He's the inspiration for The Killers' "Mr. Brightside" song. Rick owns no shares in any of the stocks in this story and is also part of the Rule Breakers newsletter research team, seeking out tomorrow's ultimate growth stocks a day early. The Fool has a disclosure policy.


Comments from our Foolish Readers

Help us keep this a respectfully Foolish area! This is a place for our readers to discuss, debate, and learn more about the Foolish investing topic you read about above. Help us keep it clean and safe. If you believe a comment is abusive or otherwise violates our Fool's Rules, please report it via the Report this Comment Report this Comment icon found on every comment.

  • Report this Comment On August 14, 2009, at 4:54 PM, RAF22 wrote:

    With the auto industry ramping up production to meet replacement demand for the ageing fleet of cars in the U.S., satellite radio will be one of the core options of added value all buyers will consider. This will definitely benefit revenues into the future and the turnaround in the share price of SIRI is now reflecting this expectation. The ability of Sirius XM to refinance a substantial portion of outstanding debt under much improved terms demonstrates the confidence that is returning to this company. A share price below 1.00 was purely based upon fears of bankruptcy - which are now definitely refuted and off the table. Upside momentum should continue for SIRI over the near to intermediate term, with a price target of .75 projected into the release of 3rd Qtr. earnings and guidance in November. Longer term potential is projected toward 1.00+ over the next six months to one year - and considerably higher longer term. Risk/reward favors long positions around current levels, with upside potential considerably greater than downside risk. For all these reasons, shorts are now scrambling to cover while fighting a tide of improving fundamentals and technicals for SIRI.

  • Report this Comment On August 14, 2009, at 6:13 PM, DiscoFinance wrote:

    There is a DVD movie out about the whole Sirius XM/Mel K. story called: Stock Shock.

    Very good flick and explains stock market manipulation as well. Stock Shock is at amazon.com and stockshockmovie.com

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Related Tickers

2/14/2012 4:00 PM
TOL $23.71 Down -0.26 -1.08%
Toll Brothers, Inc… CAPS Rating: **
WMG $8.25 Down +0.00 +0.00%
Warner Music Group… CAPS Rating: *
YHOO $15.37 Down -0.76 -4.68%
Yahoo! CAPS Rating: **
TGT $52.27 Down -0.09 -0.17%
Target CAPS Rating: ***
AMZN $191.30 Down -0.29 -0.15%
Amazon.com CAPS Rating: ***
CSCO $20.07 Up +0.04 +0.20%
Cisco Systems, Inc… CAPS Rating: ****
SIRI $2.15 Down -0.01 -0.23%
Sirius XM Radio CAPS Rating: **

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