Time to Buy Middleby?

Recs

12

Be A Motley Fool Millionaire!

David Gardner's top pick took an epic run of 1,334%! See what he’s recommending that you buy NEXT.

If you own shares of oven maker and Motley Fool Hidden Gems recommendation Middleby (Nasdaq: MIDD), you may have noticed that they're not worth quite as much as they were before earnings. And if so, you're probably wondering whether the news was bad, and whether it was sufficiently bad as to justify a sell-off.

I'm here to tell you that yes, it was bad -- but no, it wasn't that bad. Not by half:

  • Sales slipped nearly 9% in the fiscal second quarter, to $158.6 million.
  • Profits took even more of a beating, dropping 25% to $0.74 per share.
  • And as you can guess, profit margins declined as well. So far this year, the company's running on a 17% operating margin, so a full 170 basis points lower than last year.

Yet that 17% operating margin beats out rival restaurant equipment maker Illinois Tool Works (NYSE: ITW) by 710 basis points. Why, even John Bean Technologies (NYSE: JBT), of whom I spoke so highly last week, only pulls down a 10.3% operating margin, or less than two-thirds of what Middleby gets.

Perhaps the most astounding factoid contained in Middleby's report: Since acquiring TurboChef, Middleby hasn't just turned around its historically unprofitable rival, but boosted operating margin there to nearly 20%! We've come a long way from fears that TurboChef would drag down profits at Middleby. With things looking less bleak at Starbucks (Nasdaq: SBUX) and even looking up for Whole Foods (Nasdaq: WFMI) -- two of TurboChef's marquee customers -- it may actually become a profit driver.

Self-cleaning debt oven
Last but not least, Middleby tackled my main reservation about the stock -- its rapid buildup of debt post-TurboChef. Despite spending $11.4 million on two acquisitions in Q2, Middleby knocked $25 million off its debt load last quarter, dropping it to $321 million. And here's where Middleby's prodigious prowess in generating cash comes into play. Free cash flow for the past 12 months amounts to nearly $84 million. Were it to cease acquiring competitors, and focus exclusively on debt elimination, Middleby could pay off its debt in relatively short order.

But is the price right?
Fools know that valuation matters. Right now, Middleby's stock sells for a near 13 P/E. Factor in the debt, and its enterprise value comes to about 15.5 times free cash flow. Relative to Wall Street predictions of 16% long-term growth, the stock looks attractively priced. Based on my usual metrics for picking investments, I'd be a buyer here.

Just how hot is Middleby? Read on and find out:

“Make Big Money With Options” Motley Fool CFO Ollen Douglass recently made over $100,000 buying options on 7 well known stocks. Now we’re committed to turning his small fortune into a massive one! And we want you to join us! Enter your email address to hear more:

Fool contributor Rich Smith owns shares of Middleby. He intends to buy more thanks to today's price break, but per The Motley Fool's disclosure policy, will not do so for at least 10 days after publication of this column.

Starbucks and Whole Foods Market are Motley Fool Stock Advisor recommendations. Starbucks is a Motley Fool Inside Value recommendation. Middleby is a Motley Fool Hidden Gems pick. The Fool owns shares of Middleby and Starbucks.

Comments from our Foolish Readers

Help us keep this a respectfully Foolish area! This is a place for our readers to discuss, debate, and learn more about the Foolish investing topic you read about above. Help us keep it clean and safe. If you believe a comment is abusive or otherwise violates our Fool's Rules, please report it via the Report this Comment Report this Comment icon found on every comment.

Be the first one to comment on this article.

Compare Brokers

TD AMERITRADE
more info
ShareBuilder
more info
Power E*Trade

more info
Scottrade
more info
Fool Disclosure

DocumentId: 965516, ~/Articles/ArticleHandler.aspx, 12/4/2009 4:45:02 PM

Report This Comment

Use this area to report a comment that you believe is in violation of the community guidelines. Our team will review the entry and take any appropriate action.

Sending report...

The Must-Read Story on Fool.com
The Dumbest Stimulus Plan to Date

Related Tickers

12/4/2009 4:01 PM
ITW $48.49 Up +0.19 +0.39%
Illinois Tool Work… CAPS Rating: ****
MIDD $47.14 Up +2.41 +5.39%
The Middleby Corp CAPS Rating: *****
SBUX $21.60 Up +0.48 +2.27%
Starbucks Corp CAPS Rating: **
WFMI $26.20 Up +0.51 +1.99%
Whole Foods Market… CAPS Rating: ***

Community: Investing Wiki

Term Of The Hour

Market order: A market order is a type of brokerage order that guarantees execution but doesn't guarantee the price you get for your buy/sell. If you place a market order you will continue to buy or sell shares until your order is filled regardless of price.

Want to learn more or edit this definition?
Click here to read more!