2-Star Stocks Poised to Plunge: Iron Mountain?

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Based on the aggregated intelligence of 140,000-plus investors participating in Motley Fool CAPS, the Fool's free investing community, document protection and storage specialist Iron Mountain (NYSE: IRM) has received a distressing two-star ranking.

With that in mind, let's take a closer look at Iron Mountain's business and see what CAPS investors are saying about the stock right now.

Iron Mountain facts

Headquarters (Founded)

Boston, Mass. (1951)

Market Cap

$5.71 billion

Industry

Diversified support services

Trailing-12-Month Revenue

$3.01 billion

Management

CEO Robert Brennan

CFO Brian McKeon

Return on Capital (Average, Past 3 Years)

6.0%

Cash / Debt

$316.1 million / $3.24 billion

Trailing-12-Month P/E

44.4

Competitors

Cintas (Nasdaq: CTAS)

CAPS Members Bearish on IRM Also Bearish on

Bank of America (NYSE: BAC)
AIG (NYSE: AIG)
Citigroup (NYSE: C)

CAPS Members Bullish on IRM Also Bullish on

General Electric (NYSE: GE)
Johnson & Johnson (NYSE: JNJ)

Sources: Capital IQ (a division of Standard & Poor's) and Motley Fool CAPS.

On CAPS, 13% of the 219 members who have rated Iron Mountain believe the stock will underperform the S&P 500 going forward. These bears include SwampBull and All-Star mrindependent, who is ranked in the top 2% of our community.

Late last month, SwampBull helped shred the Iron Mountain bull case:

Overpaying a company to haul off your documents will be recognized as such by clever corporate management looking to reduce costs. As a hedge, try Office Depot -- they sell something called "a shredder". Expect a slowdown in the growth rate and the profitability here.

In a pitch from one day earlier, mrindependent also urged Fools to climb off Iron Mountain:

Although Iron Mountain generates impressive sales growth, its income generation is not equally impressive. The company's average [Return on Equity] for the past 5 years is only 7.5%. In addition, the company's debt level is out of control. I estimate that its net debt is equal to 20 years of profit. Accordingly, I recommend that we rename this company "Debt Mountain". At 2.9 times book value and 30 times estimated 2009 earnings, this company is significantly overvalued. One major insider seems to agree with me. He is selling millions of dollars worth of stock in the $28 to $30 range.

What do you think about Iron Mountain, or any other stock for that matter? Make your voice heard on Motley Fool CAPS today. The CAPS community is waiting to hear your opinions. CAPS is 100% free, so get started!  

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Fool contributor Brian Pacampara owns no position in any of the companies mentioned. Cintas is a choice of Motley Fool Stock Advisor and an Inside Value. Johnson & Johnson is a Motley Fool Income Investor pick. The Fool's disclosure policy always gets a perfect score.

Comments from our Foolish Readers

Help us keep this a respectfully Foolish area! This is a place for our readers to discuss, debate, and learn more about the Foolish investing topic you read about above. Help us keep it clean and safe. If you believe a comment is abusive or otherwise violates our Fool's Rules, please report it via the Report this Comment Report this Comment icon found on every comment.

  • Report this Comment On September 10, 2009, at 12:00 AM, SwampBull wrote:

    Minor note - that pitch is from a year ago. My thoughts on Iron Mountain remain the same nonetheless, though I flippantly focused on their paper document processing business. On the digital side, they will face headwinds from online secure storage backup companies, stronger IT infrastructures (essentially better firewalls), and possibly reductions in security needs due to better server/workstation hardware and firmware. So, still not an interesting investment to me.

    I am glad to see that my pitch was quoted - thanks Brian!

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