Fool readers should know by now that I am a big fan of superinvestor Prem Watsa.
In November, I noted that the "Canadian Buffett" had turned bullish, and caused both Fairfax Financial
Despite this investing masterstroke by Watsa and his team, which partly motivated my nomination for the Overall Most Foolish award, both Fairfax and Odyssey were trading below book value in late February. I felt then like I'd died and gone to jockey heaven. I picked up some Fairfax shares in early March, but sold (way too soon) to help pay for a recent significant life event. The gal's worth it.
After the close on Friday, Fairfax announced a bid for the remaining 27.4% of Odyssey shares that it doesn't already own. The latter used to be a wholly owned subsidiary, but it was partially spun out in 2001 to help its parent raise capital at a time when Fairfax had some problems.
I imagine it has been a long-standing goal to fully bring Odyssey back under the Fairfax umbrella. This bid follows a similar move to reacquire all the shares of Northbridge Financial in late 2008. As with the Northbridge offer, this bid offers a significant premium over recent prices. This is also the highest price that Odyssey shares have ever attained, so no investors should feel cheated. At the same time, Fairfax has to pay only a modest multiple of book value (1.16 times as of June 30) to achieve this consolidation.
Interestingly, Odyssey shares trade at a premium to Fairfax's $60-per-share cash offer, indicating that some folks expect the reinsurer to be able to negotiate a somewhat higher takeout. I closed out my outperform call in Motley Fool CAPS today, but if you're an Odyssey shareholder, I'd consider holding on for a while longer.