1-Star Stocks Poised to Plunge: Continental Airlines?

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Based on the aggregated intelligence of 140,000-plus investors participating in Motley Fool CAPS, the Fool's free investing community, Continental Airlines (NYSE: CAL) has received the dreaded one-star ranking.

With that in mind, let's take a closer look at Continental's business and see what CAPS investors are saying about the stock right now.

Continental facts

Headquarters (Founded)

Houston (1934)

Market Cap

$2.2 billion

Industry

Airlines

Trailing-12-Month Revenue

$13.7 billion

Management

Chairman/CEO Lawrence Kellner (since 2004)

CFO Zane Rowe (since 2008)

Return on Capital (Average, Past 3 Years)

2.2%

3-Month Return

69%

Competitors

Southwest Airlines (NYSE: LUV)

AMR (NYSE: AMR)

CAPS Members Bearish on CAL Also Bearish on

UAL (Nasdaq: UAUA)

Delta Air Lines (NYSE: DAL)

CAPS Members Bullish on CAL Also Bullish on

Apple (Nasdaq: AAPL)

Google (Nasdaq: GOOG)

Sources: Capital IQ (a division of Standard & Poor's) and Motley Fool CAPS.

On CAPS, 44% of the 627 members who have rated Continental believe the stock will underperform the S&P 500 going forward. These bears include CharlieBombay and DarthMaul09.

Less than two months ago, CharlieBombay touched on the turbulent winds working against Continental: "High oil prices. Reduced capacity utilization. Low fares this summer. Lower traffic this coming winter."

In a pitch from two weeks ago, DarthMaul09 warned that the stock was flying at dangerously high altitudes:

An almost straight climb higher over the last three months seems a bit unusual for a company which has struggled along with its peers to maintain a profit. The stock market rally since March may have floated all the boats higher, but if the current correction lasts for more than a few weeks, will the potential passengers delay or cancel travel plans? Will this be a repeat of Fall/Winter 2008? There appears to be more downside risk than upside potential to warrant investing in the airlines at this time.

What do you think about Continental, or any other stock for that matter? Make your voice heard on Motley Fool CAPS today. The CAPS community is waiting to hear your opinions. CAPS is 100% free, so get started!  

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Fool contributor Brian Pacampara owns no position in any of the companies mentioned. Apple is a Motley Fool Stock Advisor pick, and Google is a recommendation of Rule Breakers. The Fool's disclosure policy always gets a perfect score.

Comments from our Foolish Readers

Help us keep this a respectfully Foolish area! This is a place for our readers to discuss, debate, and learn more about the Foolish investing topic you read about above. Help us keep it clean and safe. If you believe a comment is abusive or otherwise violates our Fool's Rules, please report it via the Report this Comment Report this Comment icon found on every comment.

  • Report this Comment On October 08, 2009, at 1:04 PM, jsamans wrote:

    From what I can tell, excepting Alaska Airlines, Continental is the strongest-positioned of U.S. domestic legacy (full-service) carriers. To suggest that it is overvalued is simply to suggest that the entire domestic airline industry is overvalued -- which may well be true, but is not because of anything specific involving Continental.

  • Report this Comment On October 08, 2009, at 1:06 PM, jsamans wrote:

    Incidentally, to trade-focused investors (versus long-term investors), I'd offer a word of caution: even if the mid-term prospects of domestic airlines do suggest some sort of pullback, this is a very volatile industry in which large-scale movement can occur with little warning. Always remember that any short positions should be held to tight stops; 2% is a best practice but find and stick to your own level of comfort.

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11/23/2009 4:01 PM
CAL $13.32 Up +0.46 +3.58%
Continental Airlin… CAPS Rating: *
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Delta Air Lines, I… CAPS Rating: *

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