This Week's 5 Smartest Stock Moves

Recs

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Feeling down? Cheer up -- the news isn't all layoffs, missed earnings, and guidance knockdowns. Let's go over some of this week's more uplifting headlines.

1. Start wearing purple, Carol
Yahoo! (Nasdaq: YHOO) finally named a new CEO, and it isn't co-founder David Filo. Carol Bartz will step in for the departing Jerry Yang, faced with the serious challenge of getting the troubled dot-com back on track -- or at least emerging as a shrewd negotiator with Microsoft (Nasdaq: MSFT)

The stock initially rallied on the move, but pulled back after Bartz indicated that her gut impulse is to keep Yahoo! independent. What did investors think she'd say? If all Yahoo! needs is someone who will nod when Microsoft CEO Steve Ballmer speaks, it could have just hired a Jim Cramer bobblehead doll.

Yahoo! has so much potential on its own. Getting its margins within spitting distance of its industry's leader would nearly double its earnings! Bartz is not a Web guru, but she's a Silicon Valley vet when it comes to running a business. That is what Yahoo! is, right?

2. You should have that growth looked at
How do widening margins and 20% revenue growth sound to you? You're not dreaming -- Celgene (Nasdaq: CELG) provided that rosy prognosis on Monday. The drugmaker expects to post adjusted earnings per share in the $2.05 to $2.15 range in 2009, on 20% top-line growth.

That translates into 35% earnings growth, at the midpoint of the company's guidance. Not too shabby, even if greedy investors wanted more. More? In this environment? Eat Celgene and like it, Wall Street. It's good for you.

3. Paying its debt to society
No one knows the daunting debt-refinancing demons that Sirius XM Radio (Nasdaq: SIRI) is facing this year better than the satellite radio provider itself. The company is once again attacking a Sirius convertible note due next month.

The satellite radio provider will shell out 100 million shares to retire $13 million in debt. Sure, that move is dilutive, but the $300 million that Sirius XM had to repay next month has now been whittled down to $174.6 million. Now it just needs to get some good news flowing to pick up the stock price, if only so it doesn't max out on its authorized stock count of 8 billion shares at crummy price points.

4. Two streaming services are better than one?
Can two wrongs make a right? Blockbuster's (NYSE: BBI) Movielink and Sonic Solutions' (Nasdaq: SNIC) CinemaNow are two longstanding yet weak-kneed digital movie-viewing services, each acquired for peanuts. Now the two companies will team up, uniting resources and digital libraries for a Blockbuster-branded product.

The new service could be the best of both worlds, if Blockbuster's ability to reach the masses through its fleet of DVD rental stores and Sonic's platform-distribution deals come together nicely. Now, if only Mr. Market would see it that way. Shares of Blockbuster and Sonic Solutions trade within pennies of one another, at $1.35 and $1.38, respectively.

5. Grounded for too long
President-elect Obama may have to give up his BlackBerry, but he's not yielding his access to information. salesforce.com (NYSE: CRM) scored a presidential nod when it announced that its CRM Ideas would power the suggestion-collecting aspect of Obama's Change.gov website.

The company's CRM Ideas uses cloud computing and "wisdom of crowds" vetting to make sure that the more popular ideas bubble to the top. In that light, I guess my idea of placing a printout of this weekly column of percolating optimism on every porch won't fly.

“Make Big Money With Options” Motley Fool CFO Ollen Douglass recently made over $100,000 buying options on 6 well known stocks. Now we’re committed to turning his small fortune into a massive one! And we want you to join us! Enter your email address to hear more:

Amazon.com, Berkshire Hathaway, and Charles Schwab are Motley Fool Stock Advisor selections. The Fool owns shares of Berkshire Hathaway, which is a Motley Fool Inside Value recommendation. Try any of our Foolish newsletter services, free for 30 days

Longtime Fool contributor Rick Munarriz is an optimist at every turn. Hdoes not own shares in any of the stocks in this story. Rick is also part of the Rule Breakers newsletter research team, seeking out tomorrow's ultimate growth stocks a day early. The Fool has a disclosure policy.

Comments from our Foolish Readers

Help us keep this a respectfully Foolish area! This is a place for our readers to discuss, debate, and learn more about the Foolish investing topic you read about above. Help us keep it clean and safe. If you believe a comment is abusive or otherwise violates our Fool's Rules, please report it via the Report this Comment Report this Comment icon found on every comment.

  • Report this Comment On November 06, 2009, at 12:01 PM, RAF22 wrote:

    Nice article, Rick. Sirius XM is definitely in the early stages of a most impressive recovery, benefitting from the strong combination of superb CONTENT and innovative delivery methodology. In addition, the business model is based upon trials becoming paid subscriptions, and this appears to be going exceedingly well. As Mel mentioned in the CNBC interview yesterday, conversion rates within satellite capable autos are now running at 50%, which is really off the charts in terms of usual trial to subscription rates in other products and industries. These two major components of the Sirius XM business model - (coupling proprietary content with proprietary delivery and converting free trials into long term paying subscriptions) - are definitely going to carry Sirius XM to a dominant position within the radio industry over the longer term.

  • Report this Comment On November 06, 2009, at 12:12 PM, hotkarlito wrote:

    Agreed, great content about the LONG term of Sirius, not the constant bashing about the short term that some negative people keep rambling on about. Rome wasn't built in a day and no company has ever rebounded from the brink of bankruptcy to profitability in one quarter. The groundwork has been set, so if anyone is in for the long haul, getting in between 60 and 65 cents is still a good deal.

  • Report this Comment On November 06, 2009, at 1:37 PM, SIRIDoom wrote:

    Steer clear of Sirius

    From heavy debt to an outdated business model, the company is still in serious trouble.

    When a loss of $11 million is applauded as a "great quarter," you know a company is in bad shape.

    Last Trade: 0.6350

    investors should steer clear of Sirius' stock as the company has a long way to go before it can post sustainable earnings.

    Sirius' stock has fallen nearly hand in hand with retained earnings over the past three years. The company is in the hole for more than $10 billion and living off debt. The stock drop -- 84% during the past three years -- is the direct result of past performance. While that trend may (or may not) be turning around, the ravages to the company's financial statements won't be undone quickly.

    Sirius took steps to hold its own financially by refinancing at lower interest rates and pushing its earliest refinancing need to 2011. But the debt load is overwhelming, and the threat of a massively dilutive Liberty Media equity conversion should make stock holders quake.

    REV-SPLIT 25 for 1 is the future of SIRI stock...

  • Report this Comment On November 06, 2009, at 2:00 PM, hotkarlito wrote:

    Nobody cares about the reverse split other than SIRIDink. If you're in LONG, what's the big deal? No one is arguing the short here.

  • Report this Comment On November 06, 2009, at 2:12 PM, SIRIDoom wrote:

    Day's Range: 0.6001 - 0.6370

    If I was wrong in being a bear on SIRI, it would be on the rise. You had your little bounce on the 3Q report on Thursday. The blue dog is on life support...

    Rev-split was always the plan. SIRI is a controlled and manipulated stock. AVOID...

    ZERO SIRI and No Short....

  • Report this Comment On November 06, 2009, at 2:15 PM, SonnyZ wrote:

    SIRIDoom wrote: "Steer clear of Sirius

    From heavy debt to an outdated business model, the company is still in serious trouble."

    ------------

    Pun intended?

  • Report this Comment On November 06, 2009, at 2:17 PM, wtmdx82 wrote:

    TOO FUNNY... SIRIDOOM basically copies and pastes other peoples articles on SIRI threads.... check

    http://finance.yahoo.com/news/Satellite-Radio-You-Cant-Be-ts...

    i don't mind the bashing, but at least be original, or give credit where credits due...

  • Report this Comment On November 06, 2009, at 2:26 PM, SIRIDoom wrote:

    Very good article full of correct information about SIRI.

    http://finance.yahoo.com/news/Satellite-Radio-You-Cant-Be-ts...

    Funny how Mel can turn down side information into up beat propaganda for the unsafisticated.

  • Report this Comment On November 06, 2009, at 2:38 PM, SIRIDoom wrote:

    If you SIRI paid advertisers would stop pumping SIRI on every board maybe Goldman Sachs would be able to drop SIRI to 41 cents and collect all its shorts. Then we could get the rev-split done and start over… LOL

  • Report this Comment On November 06, 2009, at 2:52 PM, Fredlee009 wrote:

    Rick, I challenge you to keep the facts honest and unbiasedly reported. This is a good first step for you. I appreciate you not bashing, when others have. You take is honest, and fair. Thank you again.

  • Report this Comment On November 06, 2009, at 3:09 PM, SIRIDoom wrote:

    Last Trade: 0.6127 The day after the 3q and SIRI sits and spins. This is funny as...... I could not have called this any better. I said a small bounce and then a back slide. I love this stock.

  • Report this Comment On November 06, 2009, at 3:21 PM, WoodyDog1400 wrote:

    SIRIDoom or is it SIRIDUMB?

    Can you remind me again how much SIRI stock is up last 52-65 weeks? Nevermind, I will just check my Ameritrade account. Ahhh.... that's what I though. Happy days for me.

    Good luck w your bashing, you will need it. Did you read the article above. Make sure you reference it when you copy/paste into you nex forum.

    LONG SIRI!

  • Report this Comment On November 06, 2009, at 3:30 PM, mmz08 wrote:

    I keep hearing about all freebis availlable on gagets to the public.However no one is factoring in cost required to get this free service?Once and for all there is no free luch. You get what you pay for that includes SIRI. mz

  • Report this Comment On November 06, 2009, at 3:48 PM, wtmdx82 wrote:

    i get the feeling SIRIDOOM tried shorting SIRI when it was $.30, and SIRI went the other way for him. take your losses now, and buy LONG now while it's still a great grab. "take the pop in the chin now, instead of a stiff kick to the groin later..."

  • Report this Comment On November 06, 2009, at 3:53 PM, dedmunds wrote:

    SIRIDick is back after crying the blue last two days. Won't be long before his next drunkin stupid!! Someday SIRIDick will be gone until then everybody will have to see his crying CRAP!!!

    GO SIRI !!!!!!!

  • Report this Comment On November 06, 2009, at 3:57 PM, SIRIDoom wrote:

    Scot, why don’t you please just sell your long in SIRI. Take the loses like the rest of us.

    You can recover in better stocks. The DOW is swing heaven. Why sit and spin in SIRI. Your aggravating yourself and the direct attack on other opinions make you look very small.

    SIRI has a long way to go. The rev-split is Mel’s plan. No need to argue with me about Mel’s plan. Call the man yourself and argue with him about his penny scam to sell new issue to pay debt and then rev-split. All stock holders fought him on the plan but he got it voted in with reserve stock default vote. Love a crook.

    Goldman Sachs controls SIRI with a large hedge short that they got from Mel in the original Merger loan. Goldman can take SIRI in any direction at any time with a phone call from Mel. So, when Mel is ready for the split, things will start happening. Until then, you’re just getting milked by Goldman Sacks.

    That is just the way thing are, and according the SEC, it is all "within the law"...

  • Report this Comment On November 06, 2009, at 4:29 PM, wtmdx82 wrote:

    ok, what if the rev-split happens???? definitely not the end of the world for SIRI. as a matter of fact, it may be better if they take it now, and let further GREAT performance carry the stock forward after the split...

  • Report this Comment On November 06, 2009, at 4:39 PM, SIRIDoom wrote:

    Yep, I agree.

    But with Goldman Sachs Hedge for the Merger quick and dirty deal, the shorting will start all over again. Mel needs to get the Lean on shares back from Goldman Sachs to stop the short control GS has on this stock.

    Then, we need to motivate the SEC to stop High Speed Computer trading that is sucking the life out of SIRI and many other stocks...

    -----------

    Manipulation

    32 M shares traded 0.6001 - 0.6370 today. That amounts to 15M buys and 15M sells for a gain of about 1.5 cents.

    The High Speed Computer traders (The Trading Houses, IE, Goldman Sachs) is making a killing on SIRI. But the SEC says they have looked into the issue and it is to “Complicated” to stop.

    What is “complicated” about understanding that this is not fair because trading houses pay NO Commission on trades. How much would it cost you to buy and sell 1M shares for a 1.5 cent gain?

  • Report this Comment On November 06, 2009, at 4:53 PM, king4life wrote:

    Fine assesment Rick of SIRI.

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