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These Stocks Aren't as Good as They Look

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It's easy to get carried away when you start investing. Upon learning to calculate my first few ratios, I began making spreadsheets and comparing companies based on very few measures, drawing rather uninformed conclusions. A handful of measures alone, however appealing they may seem, can often disguise deeper problems with a stock. In the rogues' gallery of such metrics, return on equity (ROE) stands out as a particularly tricky customer.

ROE shows you how much in net income a company is making per dollar of shareholder equity. To calculate it, take net income for a period (such as a year) and divide it by average shareholder equity over the same period. The higher the number, the better -- generally.

For instance, check out these companies with high returns on equity:

Company

Recent return on equity

Diageo (NYSE: DEO  )

48%

Heinz (NYSE: HNZ  )

52%

Kellogg (NYSE: K  )

52%

Hershey

65%

Western Union (NYSE: WU  )

728%

Yum! Brands (NYSE: YUM  )

167%

Altria (NYSE: MO  )

80%

Data: Capital IQ, a division of Standard and Poor's. ROE is for trailing 12 months.

They sure look high, don't they? And they are. Respected, high-performing Amazon.com (Nasdaq: AMZN  ) has an ROE of just 24%.

A naive investor might get overly excited at this list of companies, without truly understanding how ROE is calculated. You see, high debt can inflate an ROE figure. You calculate shareholder equity it by subtracting liabilities from assets. If your liabilities (such as debt) are high, your shareholder equity will be low, thus making ROE steeper than it would have been with lower debt. Here -- check out the long-term debt-to-equity ratios for the companies above (in general, the lower the better, and numbers well below 1.0 are preferred):

Company

Long-term debt-to-equity

Diageo

2.39

Heinz

2.51

Kellogg

2.38

Hershey

2.52

Western Union

9.32

Yum! Brands

3.61

Altria

3.01

Data: Capital IQ, a division of Standard and Poor's.

See? High debt. Yum! Brands recently sported $434 million in cash and cash equivalents, and around $3.3 billion in debt. That much debt can sink some companies, if they're not able to service it. Yum! doesn't look that shaky, but still, you'll want to know its debt load before its 80% return on equity lures you into buying shares.

Be thorough when you study companies. The more you look at, the better an idea you'll have of whether a stock truly is a great investment.

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Longtime Fool contributor Selena Maranjian owns shares of Yum! Brands. Amazon.com and Western Union are Motley Fool Stock Advisor picks. Western Union is a Motley Fool Inside Value pick. Diageo and Heinz are Motley Fool Income Investor recommendations. Motley Fool Options formerly recommended writing puts on Western Union. Try any of our investing newsletters free for 30 days. The Motley Fool is Fools writing for Fools.


Comments from our Foolish Readers

Help us keep this a respectfully Foolish area! This is a place for our readers to discuss, debate, and learn more about the Foolish investing topic you read about above. Help us keep it clean and safe. If you believe a comment is abusive or otherwise violates our Fool's Rules, please report it via the Report this Comment Report this Comment icon found on every comment.

  • Report this Comment On December 04, 2009, at 11:33 AM, jigar34 wrote:

    Debt is great................as long as the company has sufficient AND predictable cashflow to service it. I would argue DEO, PM, and MO fall into that category. People don't give up smoking and drinking easily.

    At the end of the day investing in equities is risky.....I do own DEO and PM based on the above premise....so lets see what the future holds!

  • Report this Comment On December 04, 2009, at 6:14 PM, FoolOptionMember wrote:

    This story is in direct conflict to Motley Fool's paid Option Members. That is very inconsiderate and, in general, a bad business practice.

  • Report this Comment On December 09, 2009, at 2:58 AM, ajner wrote:

    FoolOptionMember:

    TMF is a democratic company in a country founded on democracy. Opinions of one employee can and should be challenged by another, or members would not benefit from seeing all sides of a potential investment. It is the most distinctly valuable asset of membership at TMF, that debate is the party line, not consensus. Bad business practice is a bunch of corporate drones afraid expressing themselves because it would "rock the boat". If you can't stand to hear the bear case on an investment of yours, you shouldn't risk your money in the first place.

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Related Tickers

2/9/2012 4:00 PM
MO $29.30 Up +0.46 +1.60%
Altria Group, Inc. CAPS Rating: ****
WU $17.74 Up +0.01 +0.06%
Western Union CAPS Rating: *****
YUM $64.91 Up +0.47 +0.73%
Yum! Brands CAPS Rating: ****
K $50.21 Down -0.13 -0.26%
Kellogg Company CAPS Rating: ****
AMZN $184.98 Down -0.50 -0.27%
Amazon.com CAPS Rating: ***
DEO $93.02 Up +0.36 +0.39%
Diageo plc (ADR) CAPS Rating: ****
HNZ $52.10 Up +0.23 +0.44%
H.J. Heinz Company CAPS Rating: ****

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