Recs

5

Better Buy: Harley-Davidson or Polaris Industries?

In a new Motley Fool series, we pit two stocks against each other on five criteria to determine the better buy.

Today's matchup is Harley-Davidson (NYSE: HOG  ) vs. Polaris Industries (NYSE: PII  ) . Using five short-of-scientific-but-carefully chosen criteria, let's determine which is the better buy according to the numbers:

 

Factor

Harley-Davidson

Polaris Industries

Cheapness

(P/E ratio)

26.7

15.6

Growth

(5-year growth rate)

-7.0%

.0%

Operations

(net margin %)

4.97%

5.77%

Balance Sheet

(debt/equity ratio)

2.26

1.13

CAPS Rating

(scale of 1 to 5 stars)

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Round 1: Cheapness

Advantage: Polaris Industries. Cheapness is determined by P/E ratio. The lower the better. Be careful of earnings near zero that skew the ratio, one-time gains and losses, and pasts that aren’t indicative of futures (the more dynamic the industry, the more this is true).

Round 2: Growth

Advantage: Polaris Industries. Growth here is the trailing 5-year EPS growth rate. This trailing earnings growth helps put notoriously-optimistic Wall Street projections in perspective.

Round 3: Operations

Advantage: Polaris Industries. Net margin percentage shows how efficiently a company turns revenue into profit. The more similar the business models, the more relevant the comparison.

Round 4: Balance sheet

Advantage: Polaris Industries. As with net margins, the debt to capital ratio is most relevant in comparing companies in similar industries. In this battle we give the nod to the lower-debt company, but attention should also be paid to the cost of debt, interest coverage ratios, and the stability of the business (the more stable a company’s operations, the more debt it can safely carry).

Round 5: CAPS rating

Advantage: Harley-Davidson. A company’s CAPS rating is our community’s opinion of the stock. Harley-Davidson has a slightly greater numerical CAPS rating than Polaris Industries's (even though they have the same number of stars). You can get more information on your stocks -- and our community’s opinions of those stocks -- by clicking over to CAPS area.

Each of these five rankings need more context -- like, how these companies stack up against key competitors such as Arctic Cat (Nasdaq: ACAT  ) and Kandi Technologies (Nasdaq: KNDI  ) . But these basic numbers suggest that Polaris Industries is a better buy. What do you think? Let us know in the comments section below.

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No individual person selected the stocks in this article, so there is no author to disclose an interest in them. Since this article was automatically generated by identifying the stocks loved both by the CAPS community and by buyers in today’s market, it is possible that Motley Fool personnel (and even The Motley Fool itself, through our Million Dollar Portfolio, Motley Fool Pro, and Ready Made Millionaire services), have positions in these stocks. We thought you'd like to know that. You can learn more about The Motley Fool’s disclosure policy here.


Comments from our Foolish Readers

Help us keep this a respectfully Foolish area! This is a place for our readers to discuss, debate, and learn more about the Foolish investing topic you read about above. Help us keep it clean and safe. If you believe a comment is abusive or otherwise violates our Fool's Rules, please report it via the Report this Comment Report this Comment icon found on every comment.

  • Report this Comment On December 10, 2009, at 11:19 AM, corstrat wrote:

    Its nice to see that KNDI is finally starting to show up on radar screens and be used in a comparison with likes of Harley Davidson and Polaris. But even though KNDI was China's largest exporter of Dune Buggies the last few years, it is now also big time into mini Electric Cars, both for export to the US with a big tax credit here, and Internal sales in China (Just got a contract with the Postal Service to deliver electric Postal delivery cars). With KNDI's little $100 million market cap, and new production facilities that the Company say on their website that they can now logistically produce up to 300,000 electric vehicles per year, KNDI may soon be a legitimate comparison to HOG and PII.

  • Report this Comment On December 10, 2009, at 11:55 AM, JDeanHD wrote:

    In the past I have been up an down with respect to Harley-Davidson. I have also heard how Polaris was going to eat Harley's lunch with their products.

    However, when I went to a fairly large bike rally this summer I saw that Harley is still the eight hundred pound gorilla in the room that you just can't ignore. People want and continue to want to own a Harley. I love mine. The Harley dealers have always treated me far better than any car dealer.

    At that point I bought Harley stock. Along with Warren Buffett I intend to hold onto it for the long haul. I may buy another foreign sport bike but that will be to park in the garage next to the Harley.

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Related Tickers

2/10/2012 4:03 PM
PII $68.25 Up +0.09 +0.13%
Polaris Industries… CAPS Rating: ***
HOG $46.09 Down -0.47 -1.01%
Harley-Davidson, I… CAPS Rating: **
ACAT $34.72 Up +0.60 +1.76%
Arctic Cat, Inc. CAPS Rating: **

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