Individual stocks can surge 10%, 25%, or even higher in a short period of time. And they can fall just as far, just as quickly. For example, shares of Patriot Coal were slaughtered for a nearly 17% loss one day recently after it decided to close one of its mines due to geologic conditions.
Big drops in share price can sometimes signal material defects or new risks. But at other times, they're simply pullbacks along with the larger pessimism facing the market today. Fortunately, we have Motley Fool CAPS, a great resource to help us understand the larger picture behind big price drops.
Is the sky falling?
CAPS contains more than just the crowd's opinions. Its best-performing members' votes count more in shaping each company's rating than do the picks of their poorer-performing peers. That way, investors can intelligently use the collective wisdom of more than 165,000 CAPS members to make better decisions.
We'll use CAPS' handy stock screening tool to quickly zero in on companies with three factors: their prices have fallen at least 15% in the last four weeks, and they have a market cap greater than $100 million and a beta of less than 3.
Company |
CAPS Rating
|
4-Week |
---|---|---|
Affymax |
** |
(75.8%) |
USG |
*** |
(26.7%) |
Dynegy |
**** |
(28.3%) |
Source: Motley Fool CAPS. Price return June 11 through July 6.
Affymax
Affymax has been hoping that a once-a-month dosage of its anemia drug candidate Hematide would have an edge over Amgen's
USG
Unsurprisingly, it's been tough for wallboard maker USG's shares to gain any ground with the continued weakness in the housing market. Following the end of the ill-conceived first-time homebuyers' tax credit in April, new home sales fell to a record low in May, prompting homebuilders like Lennar
Dynegy
While Dynegy swung to a first-quarter profit and sees the potential for more favorable power pricing in the future, its first quarter results still showed lower demand for power with revenue falling 5%. Shares have continued their downward fall as investors have been concerned about weak power prices and the continued weakness in prices for natural gas. While it can be a double-edged sword, some analysts see peer AES'
Ultimately, whether or not you believe a fall in any stock is warranted, your own research is more important than collective opinions. CAPS can help you quickly focus your due diligence, and even point out potential pitfalls you may not have seen.
Add your take on these or any of the 5,400 stocks that 165,000-plus members have covered in Motley Fool CAPS. It's totally free to be a part of the community, and the payback is more than worth it.