Why Now Is the Right Time to Buy Ebix

One of the great maxims of traders and Wall Street pros is to follow the "smart money."

I'm not much for the thesis that institutional shoppers tend to make smarter investing decisions, but many of you who've read my ruminations on insider buying say you'd also like to know how the Big Money is betting. Your wish is my command.

Next up: Ebix (Nasdaq: EBIX  ) . Are institutions bullish or bearish when it comes to this supplier of software to the insurance industry?

Foolish facts

Metric

Ebix

CAPS stars (out of 5) *****
Total ratings 1,214
Percent bulls 97.9%
Percent bears 2.1%
Bullish pitches 140 out of 144
Highest rated peers ClickSoftware, Actuate, Net 1 UEPS Technologies

Data current as of Dec. 16.

Badly in need of an efficiency overhaul, Ebix is helping the insurance industry remake itself. The company's software allows brokers, carriers, underwriters, and reinsurers to share information and streamline byzantine processes.

But there's more to Ebix than record-keeping software. In a recent interview with our Rule Breakers team, CEO Robin Raina said exchanges now account for 71% of the business. (Exchanges are online marketplaces for clearing transactions.)

If that sounds like a ripe business, it is. Revenue is up 40.3% annually over the past five years. Normalized profits are up 73.7% over the same period, according to Capital IQ. Competitors haven't been able to offer a comprehensive enough offering to stunt growth.

"Honest, aggressive and driven. Snapping up any and all competitors that make sense for the long-term. The moat gets wider and deeper. Plowing profits back into the company --who could possibly want a dividend when that money will be returned many times over," wrote Foolish investor oldpbass earlier this week.

Institutional ownership history

Top Owners

2007*

2008*

2009*

Latest*

Rennes Foundation Endowment 3,129,507 3,174,093 3,174,093 3,474,093
Fidelity Investments 640,314 690,408 4,159,983 2,701,329
BlackRock - 49,500 1,865,364 2,114,880
EPIC Investment Partners 2,000,007 2,000,007 2,000,007 2,000,007
The Vanguard Group 60,912 191,160 1,029,162 1,742,408
TOP 25 TOTAL 14,412,105 17,098,419 23,609,895 25,434,384

Source: Capital IQ, a division of Standard & Poor's.
*Indicates the number of shares owned.

Big Returns seems to be exactly what Big Money investors are betting on. The top 25 have nearly doubled their investment in Ebix since 2007. Some institutions took profits in the first quarter of this year -- Fidelity, notably -- but buying is up nicely in the months since.

They've got good reason to like the stock at present levels, even if the Street calls it expensive. Why? Analysts have underestimated Ebix's earnings in all but one quarter over the past two years. And the gulf is getting wider. According to earnings.com, Wall Street's consensus was $0.11 per share lower than what Ebix reported in the third quarter.

Competitor and peer checkup

Company

Institutional Ownership

Insider Ownership

Computer Sciences (NYSE: CSC  ) 88.07% 0.15%
Delphi Financial Group (NYSE: DFG  ) 88.54% 3.42%
Ebix 91.44% 15.15%
Healthways (Nasdaq: HWAY  ) 96.34% 2.92%
Lawson Software 74.54% 14.87%
Oracle (Nasdaq: ORCL  ) 62.67% 22.06%
Towers & Watson 59.86% 2.11%
Ultimate Software (Nasdaq: ULTI  ) 107.15% 3.85%
WebMD Health (Nasdaq: WBMD  ) 57.15% 5.34%

Source: Capital IQ. Data current as of Dec. 16.

When measured against peers, Ebix has a good but not great ownership profile. WebMD Health and Lawson Software both look better because of lower institutional ownership. They've left room for Big Money buyers to move in and buy shares.

Yet I'd still take Ebix over either of these two -- or any other stock in this table, save for Oracle. (I've owned shares of the database king since 2004.) Why? Raina is not only CEO; he's a longtime Ebix employee and the company's largest shareholder.

A big market opportunity. An engaged owner. Outrageous growth. Ebix is about as close to the perfect stock as it gets, and I believe it still has room to run. That's why I've rated the stock to outperform in my CAPS portfolio.

Do you agree? Disagree? Let me know you would rate Ebix using the comments box below. You can also recommend other stocks for me to evaluate by sending me an email, or replying to me on Twitter.

Interested in more info on Ebix? Add it to your watchlist by clicking here.

BlackRock is a Motley Fool Inside Value pick. Ebix and Net 1 UEPS are Motley Fool Rule Breakers recommendations. Net 1 UEPS is also a Motley Fool Global Gains recommendation. Healthways is a Motley Fool Stock Advisor selection. Motley Fool Options has recommended subscribers write Ebix puts. Try any of our Foolish newsletter services free for 30 days.

Fool contributor Tim Beyers is a member of the Motley Fool Rule Breakers stock-picking team. He owned shares of Oracle at the time of publication. Check out Tim's portfolio holdings and Foolish writings, or connect with him on Twitter as @milehighfool. You can also get his insights delivered directly to your RSS reader. We Fools may not all hold the same opinions, but we all believe that considering a diverse range of insights makes us better investors. The Motley Fool owns shares of Ebix and Oracle and is also on Twitter as @TheMotleyFool. Its disclosure policy is smarter than the average bear.


Read/Post Comments (6) | Recommend This Article (4)

Comments from our Foolish Readers

Help us keep this a respectfully Foolish area! This is a place for our readers to discuss, debate, and learn more about the Foolish investing topic you read about above. Help us keep it clean and safe. If you believe a comment is abusive or otherwise violates our Fool's Rules, please report it via the Report this Comment Report this Comment icon found on every comment.

  • Report this Comment On December 17, 2010, at 10:29 AM, Slider5150 wrote:

    Uh, the ticker is EBIX, not MGM... Love the stock though!

  • Report this Comment On December 17, 2010, at 11:25 AM, drsteve10 wrote:

    Maybe he meant to put the ticker as OMG!

  • Report this Comment On December 17, 2010, at 11:28 AM, drsteve10 wrote:

    Additional thought makes me wonder how "institutional investors" are tallied. Since the number is greater than 100% there has to be some double counting. Since my shares are held by my broker(but in my name) are they "institutional" ? How do you separate them from ETF/mutual fund holdings?

  • Report this Comment On December 17, 2010, at 11:48 AM, griderX wrote:

    I have slightly different ownership numbers: Insiders 15.2 Instituitional 68.48, I believe the above number may double counting the Rennes Foundation which is considered an insider.

  • Report this Comment On December 17, 2010, at 5:26 PM, burmamonster wrote:

    How can you have over 100% Institutional ownership for (ULTI)?

  • Report this Comment On January 04, 2011, at 3:06 PM, MoolaMonster wrote:

    Over 100% institutional ownership is common. The denominator is shares outstanding. The numerator is a sum of the most recent reported positions from institutions. There are often timing mismatches that can distort the calculated institutional ownership percentage.

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