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BP's Headed for India's Deepwater

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You may recall that last month BP (NYSE: BP  ) signed on with Russia's giant oil company OAO Rosneft to jointly explore the promising Russian Arctic.

Beyond that, you may also realize that ExxonMobil (NYSE: XOM  ) has a new deal with Rosneft to work together in the Black Sea. And just over four years after Royal Dutch Shell (NYSE: RDS-A  ) was manhandled by Russian authorities overseeing its efforts on Sakhalin Island, the Netherlands-based company and Russia's massive Gazprom have somewhat surprisingly agreed to live in harmony.

But some things never change. It took only a week for BP's group of billionaire partners in its 50-50 Russian joint venture TNK-BP to get their backs up over the prospect of their British partner joining forces with their competitor. Now, because of the partners' heartburn, the BP and Rosneft agreement is on hold, pending an arbitration hearing next month.

It's worth mentioning, then, that The Wall Street Journal included an article Tuesday that was based on an interview with Igo Sechin, who just happens to wear two hats (Russia can be frigid, you know): one as chairman of Rosneft and another as deputy prime minister -- energy czar to us. Those who read the piece will likely emerge with the notion that the BP and Rosneft venture will eventually get done, perhaps with some structural changes.

But BP, which in some quarters in the U.S. remains something of a pariah, following its massive and deadly Gulf of Mexico tragedy aboard Transocean's (NYSE: RIG  ) Deepwater Horizon rig in April, is hardly standing still. Indeed, the company has hit upon another huge partnership. It's potentially a $9 billion combination with Reliance Industries, India's largest company, which is controlled by super-wealthy Mukesh Ambani.

Should the deal go through, despite India's unpredictable regulatory backdrop, BP will pay Reliance $7.2 billion for a share of 23 blocks, primarily off India's east coast. Another $1.8 billion of BP's money will be held aside, to be forked over in the event the companies are sufficiently successful. Most of the drilling is planned for water depths of 1,320 to 9,900 feet.

Also part of the agreement will be the formation of a joint venture to market natural gas. And according to BP, if the deal is wildly successful, its total payments could hit $20 billion. BP is already involved in India, where it's part of Tata BP Solar, a maker of solar panels. Its partner is the diverse Tata Group, which many Americans know through its automobile manufacturer, Tata Motors (NYSE: TTM  ) .

Should BP encounter smooth sailing in India, rather than the difficulties that have plagued it in Russia, its deal with Reliance could provide it with more leverage for hastening a recovery from its turbulent 2010.

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We Fools may not all hold the same opinions, but we all believe that considering a diverse range of insights makes us better investors. Fool contributor David Lee Smith thought Tata meant goodnight. He doesn't own shares in any of the companies mentioned above. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy.


Comments from our Foolish Readers

Help us keep this a respectfully Foolish area! This is a place for our readers to discuss, debate, and learn more about the Foolish investing topic you read about above. Help us keep it clean and safe. If you believe a comment is abusive or otherwise violates our Fool's Rules, please report it via the Report this Comment Report this Comment icon found on every comment.

  • Report this Comment On February 23, 2011, at 3:13 PM, lvanlaer wrote:

    BP's recovery may be hastened even more as it becomes increasingly apparent that the oil spill in the Gulf did relatively little lasting environmental damage, despite all the rabid emotion that was put on display during the incident.

    This is because the microbial biota of the Gulf have uniquely evolved over millions of years to digest hydrocarbons present in natural petroleum leaks from the ocean floor. The oil spill, in other words, may well have provided an unexpected supplement at the bottom of the food chain, rather than damaging it.

    Furthermore, in what could prove to be the supreme irony, fishing stocks may turn out to be be healthier this year than they were last year, for the simple reason that the relentless pressure put on them by commercial fisherman for decades (pressure that has, by the way, impacted fish stocks thousands of times more than any conceivable oil spill ever could) was temporarily relieved, allowing for a minor--but potentially meaningful-- rebound.

    So far, there is little evidence that the disaster was anywhere near as expensive

    (aside from the tragic loss of human life) as hypothetical calculations would have us believe.

    The environmental disaster, in other words, was far more of a media disaster than an actual disaster. Sooner or later, the market will wake up to this, and BP will recover 100% of its former value.

  • Report this Comment On February 23, 2011, at 6:17 PM, pfvll wrote:

    Interesting - a rational analysis, rare indeed!

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