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Here's How Nokia May Be Failing You

Margins matter. The more Nokia (NYSE: NOK  ) keeps of each buck it earns in revenue, the more money it has to invest in growth, fund new strategic plans, or (gasp!) distribute to shareholders. Healthy margins often separate pretenders from the best stocks in the market.  That's why I check on my holdings' margins at least once a quarter. I'm looking for the absolute numbers, comparisons to sector peers and competitors, and any trend that may tell me how strong Nokia's competitive position could be.

Here's the current margin snapshot for Nokia and some of its sector and industry peers and direct competitors.

Company

TTM Gross Margin

TTM Operating Margin

TTM Net Margin

 Nokia

30.6%

5.5%

4.4%

 Garmin (Nasdaq: GRMN  )

50.1%

23.7%

21.7%

 LM Ericsson Telephone (Nasdaq: ERIC  )

38.2%

12.4%

5.5%

 Alcatel-Lucent (NYSE: ALU  )

34.8%

0%

(2.1%)

Source: Capital IQ, a division of Standard & Poor's. TTM = trailing 12 months.

Unfortunately, that table doesn't tell us much about where Nokia has been, or where it's going. A company with rising gross and operating margins often fuels its growth by increasing demand for its products. If it sells more units while keeping costs in check, its profitability increases. Conversely, a company with gross margins that inch downward over time is often losing out to competition, and possibly engaging in a race to the bottom on prices. If it can't make up for this problem by cutting costs -- and most companies can't -- then both the business and its shares face a decidedly bleak outlook.

Of course, over the short term, the kind of economic shocks we recently experienced can drastically affect a company's profitability. That's why I like to look at five fiscal years' worth of margins, along with the results for the trailing 12 months, the last fiscal year, and last fiscal quarter. You can't always reach a hard conclusion about your company's health, but you can better understand what to expect, and what to watch.

Here's the margin picture for Nokia over the past few years.

anImage

Source: Capital IQ, a division of Standard & Poor's. Dollar amounts in millions. FY= fiscal year. TTM = trailing 12 months.

Here's how the stats break down:

  • Over the past five years, gross margin peaked at 35.1% and averaged 33.1%. Operating margin peaked at 17.6% and averaged 10.9%. Net margin peaked at 14.1% and averaged 7.8%.
  • TTM gross margin is 30.6%, 250 basis points worse than the five-year average. TTM operating margin is 5.5%, 540 basis points worse than the five-year average. TTM net margin is 4.4%, 340 basis points worse than the five-year average.

With recent TTM margins all significantly below historical averages, Nokia has some work to do.

If you take the time to read past the headlines and crack a filing now and then, you're probably ahead of 95% of the market's individual investors. To stay ahead, learn more about how I use analysis like this to help me uncover the best returns in the stock market.  Got an opinion on the margins at Nokia? Let us know in the comments below.

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Seth Jayson had no position in any company mentioned here at the time of publication. You can view his stock holdings here. He is co-advisor of Motley Fool Hidden Gems, which provides new small-cap ideas every month, backed by a real-money portfolio. Try any of our Foolish newsletter services free for 30 days. We Fools may not all hold the same opinions, but we all believe that considering a diverse range of insights makes us better investors. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy.


Comments from our Foolish Readers

Help us keep this a respectfully Foolish area! This is a place for our readers to discuss, debate, and learn more about the Foolish investing topic you read about above. Help us keep it clean and safe. If you believe a comment is abusive or otherwise violates our Fool's Rules, please report it via the Report this Comment Report this Comment icon found on every comment.

  • Report this Comment On March 24, 2011, at 10:44 AM, techy46 wrote:

    Yes, Nokia does have some work to do and their stock prices reflects that fact. So, one objective of investing can be to buy beaten down stocks that have tremendous upside potential rather than buying those obvious picks the have already recovered from similiar beaten down situations (Apple).

  • Report this Comment On March 24, 2011, at 2:49 PM, FoolishMeyer wrote:

    Is this a rerun of the same article that was posted a week or two ago?

    I am still curious which digit will be in front of the nine zeroes for restructuring charges in the next 18 months. Excluding that, margins should improve as the Symbian staff move onward to more productive careers.

  • Report this Comment On March 24, 2011, at 7:19 PM, DZPM wrote:

    Nokia Corp (NOK) shares are trading at $8.45. Nokia is a leading mobile phone company. It announced a deal with Microsoft (MSFT), which apparently disappointed the market, and shares dropped from about $11 to about $8.50. The 50 day moving average is about $9.55 and the 200 day moving average is about $9.68. Earnings estimates for NOK are just over 70 cents per share in 2011, and 80 cents for 2012 so the PE ratio is about 12 on these shares. Nokia pays a dividend of about 46 cents per share, equivalent to a yield of 5.4%.

    Why investors seem to hate this stock: When you are competing with Apple (AAPL), it's easy to be hated. Apple has exerted tremendous dominance over the smart phone market, and this has led most to believe that other smart phone makers will be left in the dust. Nokia makes high quality phones. I know someone who has had a Nokia phone for about 8 years, and it still worked even after it was dropped (completely submerged) in a pool of water. Aside from their durability, they are very functional and not everyone has a need or the income level for an Apple Iphone, especially in emerging markets. Expectations are very low for Nokia, so if the partnership with Microsoft to produce Windows-based smartphones goes better than expected, these shares could rise significantly. Nokia's balance sheet is very strong, with many billions in cash. While you wait, the dividend is a solid incentive to hold the stock.

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Related Tickers

5/25/2012 4:01 PM
NOK $2.82 Up +0.08 +2.92%
Nokia CAPS Rating: ***
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ERIC $8.58 Down -0.04 -0.46%
Telefonaktiebolage… CAPS Rating: ****
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