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Does Pfizer Pass Buffett's Test?

We'd all like to invest like the legendary Warren Buffett, watching our initial thousands of dollars multiply into millions or more. Buffett analyzes companies by calculating return on invested capital (ROIC) in order to help determine whether a company can earn more from its money than it cost to make that money in the first place.

ROIC may be value investing's most important metric. By determining a company's ROIC, you can see how well it's using the cash you entrust to it, and whether it's actually creating value for you. Simply put, ROIC divides a company's operating profit by how much investment it took to get that profit:

ROIC = Net operating profit after taxes / Invested capital

If you need it, here's a more detailed explanation. This one-size-fits-all calculation eliminates excessive debt and many of the other legal accounting tricks that managers use to boost earnings numbers, and provides you with an apples-to-apples way to evaluate businesses, even across industries. The higher the ROIC, the more efficiently the company uses capital.

Ultimately, we're looking for companies that can invest their money at rates exceeding their cost of capital, which for most businesses lands between 8% and 12%. Ideally, we want to see ROIC above 12%, at a minimum. We also seek a history of increasing, or at least steady, returns, which indicate some durability to the company's economic moat.

Let's take a look at Pfizer (NYSE: PFE  ) and two of its industry peers, to see how efficiently they use cash. Here are the ROIC figures for each company over a few periods.

Company

TTM

1 year ago

3 years ago

5 years ago

Pfizer 11% 8.5% 17.6% 13.2%
Merck (NYSE: MRK  ) 6.9% 6.1% 20.5% 20.4%
Celgene (Nasdaq: CELG  ) 15.6% 35.3% 29% 15.9%
Genzyme (Nasdaq: GENZ  ) 3.3%* 11.2% 8.2% 7.4%

Source: Capital IQ, a division of Standard & Poor's.
* Assumes 30% tax rate for comparison purposes.

Pfizer has shown fluctuating ROIC numbers, but it's solidly down from five years ago. The same holds true for Merck, which formerly had quite high ROIC. Celgene's also off substantially from a year ago, while Genzyme never quite surpassed our 12% threshold for attractiveness in the periods measured here.

Businesses with consistently high ROIC prove that they're efficiently using capital. They also have the ability to treat shareholders well, because they can use their extra cash to pay dividends, buy back shares, or further invest in their franchises. And anyone who knows Warren Buffett knows he loves healthy and growing dividends.

To find more successful investments, dig deeper than the earnings headlines, and unearth the company's ROIC. If you'd like to add these companies to your watchlist, or set up a new one, just click here .

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Jim Royal, Ph.D., does not own shares of any company mentioned. Pfizer is a Motley Fool Inside Value selection. Try any of our Foolish newsletter services free for 30 days. We Fools may not all hold the same opinions, but we all believe that considering a diverse range of insights makes us better investors. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy.


Comments from our Foolish Readers

Help us keep this a respectfully Foolish area! This is a place for our readers to discuss, debate, and learn more about the Foolish investing topic you read about above. Help us keep it clean and safe. If you believe a comment is abusive or otherwise violates our Fool's Rules, please report it via the Report this Comment Report this Comment icon found on every comment.

  • Report this Comment On March 31, 2011, at 1:27 PM, ionthemarket wrote:

    Although I think this article is informative I've grown a little tired with people dropping Buffet's name to draw attention to their articles.

    High ROIC is a good measure of the performance of a company. From a technical standpoint CELG looks promising in the short term, just be watching for a pull back.

    Here is a chart that supports that position:

    http://www.moneyshow.com/image.asp?imgSrc=DailyCharts/charts...

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Related Tickers

5/25/2012 4:00 PM
MRK $37.55 Down -0.05 -0.13%
Merck & Co., Inc. CAPS Rating: ****
PFE $22.13 Down -0.01 -0.05%
Pfizer, Inc. CAPS Rating: ****
CELG $68.90 Down -1.01 -1.44%
Celgene Corp CAPS Rating: ****
GENZ.DL $76.25 Down +0.00 +0.00%
Genzyme Corp CAPS Rating: ****

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