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Omnicare Shares Dropped: What You Need to Know

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Although we don't believe in timing the market or panicking over market movements, we do like to keep an eye on big changes -- just in case they're material to our investing thesis.

What: Shares of Omnicare (NYSE: OCR  ) cost as little as $27.45 per share this morning, precisely 10% lower than they closed at the end of trading on Friday.

So what: So what did happen? It wasn't earnings -- those actually happened last week, when Omnicare slipped into a second-quarter loss on litigation costs. What's more, when Omnicare did report last week, it reported numbers that arguably "beat earnings." But for the costs of fighting allegations by Michigan and Massachusetts that Omnicare overcharged the states on Medicaid drug prices, Omnicare would have earned $0.50 per share last quarter, and beat earnings by a penny.

Now what: My best guess then is that the reason Omnicare slumped this morning has something to do with one (or several) of the numbers contained in a series of earnings restatements the company filed with the SEC on Friday. Something in there someone on Wall Street didn't like.

Personally, the number that jumped out at me was contained in this document. If you include Omnicare's cost of rolling up smaller businesses as part of the drain on its annual free cash flow, the document shows that Omnicare last year generated only about $233 million in such cash profits. This gives the stock a P/FCF ratio of about 14, which seems a bit expensive for the 10% long-term growth rate Wall Street has assigned Omnicare.

It might not be the precise reason for today's sell-off, but to my Foolish eye, it's a good enough reason to sell Omnicare.

Want more info on Omnicare? Add the stock to your Fool watchlist.

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Fool contributor Rich Smith does not own (or short) shares of Omnicare. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. Fools may not all hold the same opinions, but we all believe that considering a diverse range of insights makes us better investors.


Comments from our Foolish Readers

Help us keep this a respectfully Foolish area! This is a place for our readers to discuss, debate, and learn more about the Foolish investing topic you read about above. Help us keep it clean and safe. If you believe a comment is abusive or otherwise violates our Fool's Rules, please report it via the Report this Comment Report this Comment icon found on every comment.

  • Report this Comment On August 03, 2011, at 7:57 AM, scrface828 wrote:

    I think it has more to do with Medicaid announcing it will be cutting its reimbursement rates rather than anything that was in the financials.

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Related Tickers

5/25/2012 4:02 PM
OCR $32.26 Up +0.39 +1.22%
Omnicare, Inc. CAPS Rating: ****

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