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7 Reasons Not to Worry This Week

Investors probably didn't need last week's trouncing to remind them that things aren't perfect out there. The S&P 500 may have fallen 7% -- and the Nasdaq Composite plummeted 8% -- but signs of a weak economy are everywhere.

I went over several companies going the wrong way on Friday, projected to post lower quarterly earnings this week than they did a year ago.

Thankfully, they're the exceptions and not the rule. Let's go over some publicly traded companies that are expected to stand tall this week by posting year-over-year improvement on the bottom line.

Company

Latest Quarter EPS (Estimated)

Year-Ago Quarter EPS

My Watchlist

GA Interactive (NYSE: GA  ) $0.15 $0.12 Add
Universal Display (Nasdaq: PANL  ) ($0.07) ($0.12) Add
Ebix (Nasdaq: EBIX  ) $0.37 $0.36 Add
Nuance Communications (Nasdaq: NUAN  ) $0.34 $0.30 Add
Disney (NYSE: DIS  ) $0.73 $0.67 Add
NVIDIA (Nasdaq: NVDA  ) $0.25 $0.03 Add
Sara Lee (NYSE: SLE  ) $0.20 $0.09 Add

Source: Thomson Reuters.

Clearing the table
Let's start at the top with GA Interactive.

Giant Interactive reports tonight. One of China's leading web-based gaming companies has taken the success of ZT Online and grown it into a portfolio of Internet diversions. GA Interactive has had its ups and downs since going public four years ago. It may be on its way back up again, but its stock has spent the past three years trading in the single digits.

Universal Display is the patent-rich provider of organic light emitting device -- or OLED -- technologies. Universal Display is expected to post a loss later today, but it should be a narrower deficit.

Ebix is a leader in cloud-based enterprise solutions for the insurance industry. CEO Robin Raina recently addressed some of the short-seller knocks that have dinged the stock this year. At least the bottom line continues to move in the right direction, though barely at this point.

Nuance provides the voice-recognition technology that many companies use to provide phone support. Yes, I find those "please say what you need" prompts frustrating at times, too. It isn't all frustrating, though. Mac news site 9to5Mac reported over the weekend that Nuance will be powering the speech-to-text feature available in the iPhone's upcoming iOS update.

Disney may have slipped in its latest quarter, but we're now a good quarter away from its Mars Needs Moms cinematic dud. Cars 2 may not have been a critical success, but it was huge at the box office. Disney also has its steady ESPN business that is probably breathing a whole lot easier now that pro football is back.

NVIDIA makes graphic chips for computers, but it has successfully expanded into providing solutions for faster selling smartphones and tablets. Wall Street sees big things out of NVIDIA when it reports on Thursday, expecting earnings of $0.25 a share after mustering a profit of only $0.03 a share a year earlier.

Finally, we have Sara Lee on the table. We're not just talking about signature desserts here. Sara Lee is also the company behind State Fair corndogs, Hillshire Farms deli meats, and Ball Park franks. Some brand-name behemoths have suffered from cash-strapped grocery store shoppers gravitating to cheaper house brands, but the pros see Sara Lee's earnings more than doubling despite a double-digit top-line decline.

Cross those fingers, but know the fundamentals
Investors in these seven stocks have a right to be excited. They are all improving their financial situations. They are worthy of the gains that the market rally has bestowed upon them over the past year.

I wouldn't be uncomfortable owning any of these companies. They're doing the right thing, regardless of Mr. Market's mood swings.

The expectations may be high, but these seven stocks wouldn't have it any other way.

Are you a buyer or a seller of stocks these days? Share your strategy in the comment box below.

The Steve Jobs Betrayal
You may already know that in the final year of his life, Jobs revealed a stunning betrayal — and told his biographer, "I will spend my last dying breath... and every penny of Apple's $40 billion in the bank to right this wrong." What was it that made Jobs so irate — and why could it make a few in-the-know investors some major profits over the coming months and years?

Enter your email address below to find out what made Jobs so enraged!

The Motley Fool owns shares of Ebix. Motley Fool newsletter services have recommended buying shares of Nuance Communications, Ebix, Universal Display, NVIDIA, and Walt Disney, as well as writing puts in NVIDIA. Try any of our Foolish newsletter services free for 30 days. We Fools may not all hold the same opinions, but we all believe that considering a diverse range of insights makes us better investors. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy.

Longtime Fool contributor Rick Munarriz prefers to look at the bright side of life -- and strife. He does not own shares in any of the companies in this story, except for Ebix and Disney. He is also part of the Rule Breakers newsletter research team, seeking out tomorrow's ultimate growth stocks a day early. The Fool has a disclosure policy.


Comments from our Foolish Readers

Help us keep this a respectfully Foolish area! This is a place for our readers to discuss, debate, and learn more about the Foolish investing topic you read about above. Help us keep it clean and safe. If you believe a comment is abusive or otherwise violates our Fool's Rules, please report it via the Report this Comment Report this Comment icon found on every comment.

  • Report this Comment On August 08, 2011, at 1:36 PM, sidneyleejohnson wrote:

    Rick,

    Your Year ago Quarter EPS for PANL of -.12.

    This figure includes a $-2,582,428.

    Which translates into ~-.07 out of the -.12 reported.

    This coming quarter due to the stock price falling, one should expect that the warrant offset amount will be significantly positive. The anticipated offset may swing over $6 million depending on whether the warrant holders acted on their warrants during the quarter. If all the warrants remained it at the end of the Q it will be closer to the $6 million figure. Bottom line is that the offset adjustment required for remaining warrants have the potential of being significant and push panl positive. The -.07 also includes an erroneous copying and pasting of the prior quarters warrant offset by one of the analysts which skews the consensus estimate downward to -.07. The analysts have not adequately estimated the shift in the warrant offset to the positive. PANL will beat estimates soundly barring any other unexpected losses or unexpected drops in revenue. Now we could talk ex-warrant offset adjustments but your -.12/share included them so we have to treat them fairly on both sides.

  • Report this Comment On August 08, 2011, at 1:37 PM, sidneyleejohnson wrote:

    My apologies. The comment "This figure includes a $-2,582,428." should have said

    "This figure includes a $-2,582,428 warrant offset".

  • Report this Comment On August 08, 2011, at 1:41 PM, sidneyleejohnson wrote:

    one final note a positive warrant offset adjustment > $6 million puts this in the 11-13 cent per share area which is obviously significant when compared to an estimated loss of -.07.

    Its as if an analysts never heard of a Black Scholes model to calculate estimated values of options given input variables. And a considerably simplified one at that, considering the warrants were deep deep in the money. So deep that estimates of risk free rates of return and volatility didn't even matter.

    http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Black%E2%80%93Scholes

  • Report this Comment On August 08, 2011, at 5:06 PM, David369 wrote:

    Of course if NIVIDIA comes in at .24 profit per share instead of the analyst expected number it will probably drop instead of going up. I realize the penny is probably big bucks but the correct solution is to fire the analyst for being wrong.

  • Report this Comment On August 08, 2011, at 7:51 PM, sidneyleejohnson wrote:

    Have to say this is the first quarter panl reported basic vs diluted earnings and I'm confused as to what they did. Was Diluted "without warrants?" the math works well for this idea but then they didn't apply said math to last year's data so I'm left confused. Why would you exclude warrant offsets in your diluted number instead of exclude them in your basic number. I'm wondering if they got their numbers reversed. Should they have reported -.03 as basic and .07 as diluted given the positive warrant offset (~4 million ; sorry I was off with my 6 million idea but it as better than zero or -8 million some analysts were using)?

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Related Tickers

5/25/2012 4:00 PM
NVDA $12.40 Up +0.29 +2.39%
NVIDIA Corporation CAPS Rating: ****
PANL $29.87 Up +0.07 +0.23%
Universal Display CAPS Rating: ***
SLE $21.19 Up +0.36 +1.73%
Sara Lee Corp. CAPS Rating: **
NUAN $20.71 Down -0.12 -0.58%
Nuance Communicati… CAPS Rating: ****
DIS $44.50 Up +0.06 +0.14%
Walt Disney CAPS Rating: *****
EBIX $17.93 Down -0.04 -0.22%
Ebix CAPS Rating: *****
GA $5.06 Down -0.02 -0.39%
Giant Interactive… CAPS Rating: ***

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