By
Brian D. Pacampara
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August 16, 2011
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Although we don't believe in timing the market or panicking over market movements, we do like to keep an eye on big changes -- just in case they're material to our investing thesis.
What: Shares of retailer Urban Outfitters (Nasdaq: URBN ) sank as much as 13% on Tuesday after its current-quarter guidance disappointed Wall Street.
So what: Urban Outfitters' second-quarter profit managed to top expectations, but disappointing sales in the first half of August indicate some strong short-term tailwinds. Investors seem particularly concerned that demand for its highest-priced brand, Anthropologie, will remain weak amid continued economic and political uncertainty.
Now what: I wouldn't be so quick to pounce on today's plunge. Teen fashion is notoriously fickle, but with a much higher price-to-sales ratio than rivals like bebe stores (Nasdaq: BEBE ) and Gap (NYSE: GPS ) , the shares seem extra-vulnerable to a consumer pullback. While Urban Outfitters is certainly worth following given its historically strong returns on equity and debtless balance sheet, I'd require a much bigger margin of safety before pulling the trigger.
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