Selling Anadigics? Here's What You Need to Know First

Should you sell Anadigics (Nasdaq: ANAD  ) today?

The decision to sell a stock you've researched and followed for months or years is never easy. If you fall in love with your stock holdings, you risk becoming vulnerable to confirmation bias -- listening only to information that supports your theories, and rejecting any contradictions.

In 2004, longtime Fool Bill Mann called confirmation bias one of the most dangerous components of investing. This warning has helped my own personal investing throughout the Great Recession and the recent volatility throughout early August. In this series, I want to help you identify potential sell signs on popular stocks within our 4 million-strong Fool.com community.

Today I'm laser-focused on Anadigics, ready to evaluate its price, valuation, margins, and liquidity. Let's get started!

Don't sell on price
Over the past 12 months, Anadigics is down 32.3% versus an S&P 500 return of 9.1%. Investors in Anadigics are no doubt disappointed with their returns, but is now the time to cut and run? Not necessarily. Short-term underperformance alone is not a sell sign. The market may be missing the critical element of your Anadigics investing thesis. For historical context, let's compare Anadigics' recent price to its 52-week and five-year highs. I've also included a few other businesses in the same or related industries:

Company

Recent Price

52-Week High

5-Year High

Anadigics $2.51 $8.20 $19.50
Avago Technologies Limited (Nasdaq: AVGO  ) $31.04 $39.45 $39.50
RF Micro Devices (Nasdaq: RFMD  ) $5.68 $8.48 $8.60
Skyworks Solutions (Nasdaq: SWKS  ) $22.07 $37.82 $37.80

Source: Capital IQ, a division of Standard & Poor's.

As you can see, Anadigics is down from its 52-week high. If you bought near the peak, now's the time to think back to why you bought it in the first place. If your reasons still hold true, you shouldn't sell based on this information alone.

Potential sell signs
First, let's look at the gross margins trend, which represents the amount of profit a company makes for each $1 in sales, after deducting all costs directly related to that sale. A deteriorating gross margin over time can indicate that competition has forced the company to lower prices, that it can't control costs, or that its whole industry's facing tough times. Here is Anadigics' gross margin over the past five years:

Source: Capital IQ, a division of Standard & Poor's.

Given the volatility, Anadigics has clearly had issues maintaining its gross margin, which tends to dictate a company's overall profitability. Anadigics investors need to keep an eye on this troubling trend over the coming quarters.

Next, let's explore what other investors think about Anadigics. We love the contrarian view here at Fool.com, but we don't mind cheating off of our neighbors every once in a while. For this, we'll examine two metrics: Motley Fool CAPS ratings and short interest. The former tells us how Fool.com's 170,000-strong community of individual analysts rate the stock. The latter shows what proportion of investors are betting that the stock will fall. I'm including other peer companies once again for context.

Company

CAPS Rating (out of 5)

Short Interest (% of float)

Anadigics **** 6.6
Avago Technologies Limited *** 1.7
RF Micro Devices **** 7.7
Skyworks Solutions **** 3.4

Source: Capital IQ, a division of Standard & Poor's.

The Fool community is rather bullish on Anadigics. We typically like to see our stocks rated at four or five stars. Anything below that is a less-than-bullish indicator. I highly recommend you visit Anadigics' stock pitch page to see the verbatim reasons behind the ratings.

Here, short interest is at a high 6.6%. This typically indicates that large institutional investors are betting against the stock.

Now, let's study Anadigics' debt situation, with a little help from the debt-to-equity ratio. This metric tells us how much debt the company's taken on, relative to its overall capital structure.

Source: Capital IQ, a division of Standard & Poor's.

Anadigics has done a great job of wiping out its debt over the past five years. I consider a debt-to-equity ratio below 50% to be healthy, though it varies by industry.  Anadigics is obviously below this level, at 0%.

The last metric I like to look at is the current ratio, which lets investors judge a company's short-term liquidity. If Anadigics had to convert its current assets to cash in one year, how many times over could the company cover its current liabilities? As of the last filing, Anadigics has a current ratio of 7.22. This is a healthy sign. I like to see companies with current ratios equal to or greater than 1.5.

Finally, it's highly beneficial to determine whether Anadigics belongs in your portfolio -- and to know how many similar businesses already occupy your stable of investments. If you haven't already, be sure to put your tickers into Fool.com's free portfolio tracker, My Watchlist. You can get started right away by clicking here to add Anadigics.

The final recap

Anadigics has failed only two of the quick tests that would make it a sell. This is great, but does it mean you should hold your Anadigics shares? Not necessarily. Just keep your eye on these trends over the coming quarters.

In order to do that, I strongly recommend clicking here to add Anadigics to My Watchlist  to help you keep track of all of our ongoing coverage of the company.

Jeremy Phillips does not own shares of the companies mentioned. Try any of our Foolish newsletter services free for 30 days. We Fools may not all hold the same opinions, but we all believe that considering a diverse range of insights makes us better investors. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy.


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