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7 Reasons to Worry About Next Week

The investing universe feels a little emptier without Steve Jobs at the helm of the tech world's most valuable company.

I'd feel better about it if there weren't so many other companies with even bigger problems than transitioning to a new CEO.

There are still plenty of companies posting lower earnings than they did a year ago. Let's go over a few of the names that are expected to go the wrong way on the bottom line next week.

Company

Latest Quarter EPS (estimated)

Year-Ago Quarter EPS

My Watchlist

CNinsure (Nasdaq: CISG  ) $0.29 $0.37 Add
Winn-Dixie (Nasdaq: WINN  ) $0.12 $0.25 Add
Immunomedics (Nasdaq: IMMU  ) ($0.06) $0.01 Add
SAIC (NYSE: SAI  ) $0.35 $0.42 Add
Shanda Interactive (Nasdaq: SNDA  ) $0.26 $0.40 Add
Finisar (Nasdaq: FNSR  ) $0.18 $0.31 Add
Zale (NYSE: ZLC  ) ($1.15) ($1.13) Add

Source: Thomson Reuters.

Clearing the table
There will likely be more companies posting lower earnings next week, but these are just a few of the names that really jump out at me.

CNinsure is a Chinese provider of life insurance. Given the nature of China's booming economy and the steady performance of actuary tables, this would seem like a growing industry. Sadly, it's not. It's not just CNinsure. China's largest life insurance player hit a new 52-week low this week after posting disappointing quarterly results.

Winn-Dixie is the supermarket operator with 484 retail grocery stores throughout the Southeast. This should be a stable industry, especially for a company that cleaned up its balance sheet after emerging from bankruptcy reorganization five years ago, but earnings are going the wrong way.

Immunomedics is an upstart biotech, trying to push its epratuzumab treatment through stringent clinical trials. Biotechs can be lottery tickets during the drug development phase, so it isn't really a surprise to see Immunomedics burning through more of its cash.

SAIC is a military contractor. Sure, it's easy to see defense budgets getting whacked as government spending is cut. However, SAIC continues to land new contracts -- including a $45 million Navy deal that was announced yesterday.

All five of the pure online gaming plays in China have delivered reasonable growth this earnings season, but pioneer Shanda Interactive -- which spun off one of those five companies a couple of years ago -- isn't doing so well. Analysts see earnings falling sharply this time around. The silver lining here is that the Chinese dot-com is still expected to post a healthy 32% year-over-year pop in revenue.

Inventory hiccups and softness in China have stung Finisar lately. It's been a dramatic reversal for the optical networking company that was one of last year's hottest stocks. After more than tripling in price through 2010, Finisar is now trading at a little more than a third of its February highs.

Finally we have Zale. Pushing high-priced jewelry isn't a very compelling retailing niche these days, but should Zale's losses be widening during this seasonally sleepy quarter? Its larger rivals didn't have a problem posting healthy profitability earlier this month.   

Why the long face, short-seller?
These seven companies have seen better days. The market has rewarded many of these stocks with reasonable gains over the past year, but they still haven't earned those upticks.

The good news here is that Wall Street already expects these companies to deliver shrinking bottom lines. In other words, the bad news is already baked into the shares.

The more I think about it, the less worried I become.

Take the Motley Poll

Which way do you think the market will go next week?

The Steve Jobs Betrayal
You may already know that in the final year of his life, Jobs revealed a stunning betrayal — and told his biographer, "I will spend my last dying breath... and every penny of Apple's $40 billion in the bank to right this wrong." What was it that made Jobs so irate — and why could it make a few in-the-know investors some major profits over the coming months and years?

Enter your email address below to find out what made Jobs so enraged!

The Motley Fool owns shares of SAIC. Try any of our Foolish newsletter services free for 30 days. We Fools may not all hold the same opinions, but we all believe that considering a diverse range of insights makes us better investors. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy.

Longtime Fool contributor Rick Munarriz wonders if his contrarian heart will ever be happy. He does not own shares in any of the companies in this story. He is also part of the Rule Breakers newsletter research team, seeking out tomorrow's ultimate growth stocks a day early.


Comments from our Foolish Readers

Help us keep this a respectfully Foolish area! This is a place for our readers to discuss, debate, and learn more about the Foolish investing topic you read about above. Help us keep it clean and safe. If you believe a comment is abusive or otherwise violates our Fool's Rules, please report it via the Report this Comment Report this Comment icon found on every comment.

  • Report this Comment On August 26, 2011, at 7:27 PM, addikt06 wrote:

    It doesn't matter, unless the hurricane is devastating the market will only go higher until the next FOMC meeting in September... and afterwards it will crash. I mean this massive rally today had nothing to do with the Fed... if anything Bernanke said Fed pretty much has given up and fiscal policy must now support the economy. The "tools" Fed has has no special meaning ... the only real "tool" it had was bond buying and he specifically did not mention it in the speech unlike last year.

    The "investors" have really been "buying low and selling high"... expect euphoria for a month and reality will hit back.

  • Report this Comment On August 26, 2011, at 10:21 PM, MichaelHamilton wrote:

    With BGCP yielding 11.5% who cares. Just keep buying!!!

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Related Tickers

12/31/1969 7:00 PM
SNDA $0.00 Down +0.00 +0.00%
Shanda Interactive… CAPS Rating: ***
WINN $0.00 Down +0.00 +0.00%
Winn-Dixie Stores,… CAPS Rating: ***
ZLC $2.66 Up +0.20 +8.13%
Zale Corp CAPS Rating: *
SAI $10.62 Up +0.09 +0.85%
SAIC, Inc. CAPS Rating: ***
CISG $7.00 Down -0.07 -0.99%
CNInsure CAPS Rating: *
FNSR $14.59 Up +0.24 +1.67%
Finisar Corp CAPS Rating: ***
IMMU $3.37 Up +0.07 +2.12%
Immunomedics, Inc. CAPS Rating: ***

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