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Here's 1 Reason Saia Looks Weak

Margins matter. The more Saia (Nasdaq: SAIA  ) keeps of each buck it earns in revenue, the more money it has to invest in growth, fund new strategic plans, or (gasp!) distribute to shareholders. Healthy margins often separate pretenders from the best stocks in the market. That's why we check up on margins at least once a quarter in this series. I'm looking for the absolute numbers, comparisons to sector peers and competitors, and any trend that may tell me how strong Saia's competitive position could be.

Here's the current margin snapshot for Saia and some of its sector and industry peers and direct competitors.

Company

TTM Gross Margin

TTM Operating Margin

TTM Net Margin

Saia

9.6%

2.1%

0.8%

Old Dominion Freight Line (Nasdaq: ODFL  )

25.1%

10.8%

6.3%

JB Hunt Transport Services (Nasdaq: JBHT  )

17.0%

9.4%

5.4%

Landstar System (Nasdaq: LSTR  )

22.5%

6.3%

3.9%

Source: Capital IQ, a division of Standard & Poor's. TTM = trailing 12 months.

Unfortunately, that table doesn't tell us much about where Saia has been, or where it's going. A company with rising gross and operating margins often fuels its growth by increasing demand for its products. If it sells more units while keeping costs in check, its profitability increases. Conversely, a company with gross margins that inch downward over time is often losing out to competition, and possibly engaging in a race to the bottom on prices. If it can't make up for this problem by cutting costs -- and most companies can't -- then both the business and its shares face a decidedly bleak outlook.

Of course, over the short term, the kind of economic shocks we recently experienced can drastically affect a company's profitability. That's why I like to look at five fiscal years' worth of margins, along with the results for the trailing 12 months (TTM), the last fiscal year, and last fiscal quarter (LFQ). You can't always reach a hard conclusion about your company's health, but you can better understand what to expect, and what to watch.

Here's the margin picture for Saia over the past few years.

anImage

Source: Capital IQ, a division of Standard & Poor's. Dollar amounts in millions. FY = fiscal year. TTM = trailing 12 months.

Because of seasonality in some businesses, the numbers for the last period on the right -- the TTM figures -- aren't always comparable to the FY results preceding them. Here's how the stats break down:

  • Over the past five years, gross margin peaked at 13% and averaged 10.4%. Operating margin peaked at 6.2% and averaged 2.7%. Net margin peaked at 1.9% and averaged -0.6%.
  • TTM gross margin is 9.6%, 80 basis points worse than the five-year average. TTM operating margin is 2.1%, 60 basis points worse than the five-year average. TTM net margin is 0.8%, 140 basis points better than the five-year average.

With recent TTM operating margins below historical averages, Saia has some work to do.

If you take the time to read past the headlines and crack a filing now and then, you're probably ahead of 95% of the market's individual investors. To stay ahead, learn more about how I use analysis like this to help me uncover the best returns in the stock market. Got an opinion on the margins at Saia? Let us know in the comments below.

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Seth Jayson had no position in any company mentioned here at the time of publication. You can view his stock holdings here. He is co-advisor of Motley Fool Hidden Gems, which provides new small-cap ideas every month, backed by a real-money portfolio. The Motley Fool owns shares of Landstar System. Try any of our Foolish newsletter services free for 30 days. We Fools may not all hold the same opinions, but we all believe that considering a diverse range of insights makes us better investors. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy.


Comments from our Foolish Readers

Help us keep this a respectfully Foolish area! This is a place for our readers to discuss, debate, and learn more about the Foolish investing topic you read about above. Help us keep it clean and safe. If you believe a comment is abusive or otherwise violates our Fool's Rules, please report it via the Report this Comment Report this Comment icon found on every comment.

  • Report this Comment On September 07, 2011, at 8:59 PM, swift90503 wrote:

    Only OD is in the same business as Saia. You just tried to compare becthel to lennar. Get the facts before you put pen to paper.

  • Report this Comment On September 27, 2011, at 10:44 AM, jroswick wrote:

    Trucking is as diverse as air travel. Scheduled Airlines, Charter Service, rent a jet, share-a-ride and travel agents. For a good grounding in transportation I would suggest a short course, by looking at the transportation information available at http://www.stifel.com/ (Go to their research section.) You should be able to gain a grasp on the Package (UPS), Truckload (JB Hunt), Less than Truckload, (ODFL) and Brokerage segments of the industry - Trucking..

    As for Gross Margin issues in comparison, I could think of a slug of reasons for lower gross margins, but I am in the business, and some of them may be a reason to……

  • Report this Comment On September 27, 2011, at 11:32 AM, jroswick wrote:

    I checked the link above and it doesn't provide as much info to the "Non Log in" as I thought.. As an analogy think of it this way.. LTL= Scheduled air service, Truckload = Charter Air Service, and Brokerage = Travel Agent. Or by weight 0-100+ lbs = Package; 200 – 20,000 Lbs = LTL: over 20,000 Truckload and Brokerage = “We’ll see if we can get your freight a ride”. That is overly simplistic and a review of Trucking company web sites would be in order.

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