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Dear Apple, Please Ignore This Advice

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Now that Tim Cook is getting comfortable as the new CEO of Apple (Nasdaq: AAPL  ) , analysts and writers have begun to offer their advice. I don't want to be left out, so here's my suggestion for Cook: Don't listen.

A road map for killing the company
Consider the suggestions that MobileTrax analyst Gerry Purdy offered to help Apple remain "insanely great" in his "Open Letter to Tim Cook." At best, his advice is benign, but pointless. At worst, it shows a fundamental misunderstanding of Apple's strategy.

Purdy's first suggestion is to change iTunes' name to iMedia. He argues that the iTunes store has grown beyond its humble beginnings as music store into a fully fledged media outlet, so its name should reflect that change. However, this is simply unnecessary. Consumers know that iTunes offers a rich selection of media and flock to it. During the first half of the year, iTunes held 65.8% of the online movie store market. The second most popular store, Microsoft's (Nasdaq: MSFT  ) Zune Video Marketplace, held only 16.2 %. 

Also in the benign-but-pointless category, Purdy would like to see Apple release a 7-inch iPad. A recent Bernstein Research survey found that fewer than 15% of consumers prefer the 7-inch screen size, while more than half want a 10-incher. Yes, Apple could try to grab that 15%, but I'm not sure it would be worth the time and investment required to launch a new tablet, especially when the original continues to dominate the market.

Moving toward the slightly more destructive end of Purdy's advice, he suggests that Apple make a couple of "holy cow" acquisitions. He specifically recommends that the company purchase TiVo (Nasdaq: TIVO  ) and SanDisk (Nasdaq: SNDK  ) . Neither of these companies would offer Apple something it couldn't develop in-house or find cheaper through a partnership.

What's more, "holy cow" acquisitions often mature into disappointments. Cisco (Nasdaq: CSCO  ) is still recovering from its misguided acquisition spree, and Hewlett-Packard's (NYSE: HPQ  ) acquisition of Palm certainly failed to generate any real value for shareholders. I'd rather Apple continue to wow us with new product announcements and let less capable companies fall into the acquisition trap.

Perhaps the single worst piece of advice Purdy offered was to open iCloud up to all mobile devices. In terms of Apple's strategy, iCloud is meant to help lock costumers into iOS devices. Users who have gotten used to having all of their data synced through the service are more likely to buy another iOS device when the time comes. To win over those users, competing products have to be so good that shoppers don't mind giving up iCloud.

Foolish takeaway
In short, if Apple were to follow Purdy's advice, it would waste time and money rebranding iTunes and releasing a product the market has no interest in while destroying shareholder value and giving up a key competitive advantage. Somehow, I don't think any of that would be good for Apple in the long run.

If you would like to keep an eye on Apple as it enters the post-Steve Jobs era, then add it to your watchlist and stay up to date on all the latest news and analysis.

The Steve Jobs Betrayal
You may already know that in the final year of his life, Jobs revealed a stunning betrayal — and told his biographer, "I will spend my last dying breath... and every penny of Apple's $40 billion in the bank to right this wrong." What was it that made Jobs so irate — and why could it make a few in-the-know investors some major profits over the coming months and years?

Enter your email address below to find out what made Jobs so enraged!

The Motley Fool owns shares of Apple, Cisco, and Microsoft and has created a bull call spread position on Cisco. Motley Fool newsletter services have recommended buying shares of Cisco, Microsoft, and Apple and creating bull call spread positions in Apple and Microsoft. Try any of our Foolish newsletter services free for 30 days. We Fools don't all hold the same opinions, but we all believe that considering a diverse range of insightsmakes us better investors.

Fool contributor Patrick Martin owns no shares of any of the companies mentioned here. You can follow him on Twitter, where he goes by @TMFpcmart03. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy.


Comments from our Foolish Readers

Help us keep this a respectfully Foolish area! This is a place for our readers to discuss, debate, and learn more about the Foolish investing topic you read about above. Help us keep it clean and safe. If you believe a comment is abusive or otherwise violates our Fool's Rules, please report it via the Report this Comment Report this Comment icon found on every comment.

  • Report this Comment On September 18, 2011, at 5:21 PM, KTWalrus wrote:

    My small suggestion would be to license one or more PC makers to make desktop/server Mac models. Apple would need to certify each model the PC makers come up with as to being Mac OS X compatible. The license fee would be $99 per Mac PC to cover the initial OS install.

    Apple has no interest in really competing in the desktop/server market now that its focus is purely mobile. Limiting licensing to just non-mobile Macs could be a way for Apple to take back significant share from Microsoft in the enterprise.

  • Report this Comment On September 18, 2011, at 6:00 PM, ConstableOdo wrote:

    For a company that designs and sells its own hardware, it better not be licensing out OSX to run on other PC vendor's computers. It might be a way for Apple to grow faster, but even as a shareholder I'm not that greedy. Apple can design and build it's own stuff so there is no reason to get another company to do it. Why compete against itself. Apple should also stay away from the server business since it really doesn't need it. Apple is already the wealthiest public company on the stock market. It has tens of millions of devices going to consumers every quarter. Almost 350 retail stores. It's already the biggest buyer of semiconductors in the tech/computer industry. Apple is about the break the floodgates for the iPhone in China. How much more does Apple have to do for people to be satisfied with the company's performance?

    I just want Apple to work hard to have the best cloud services possible for Apple device users and I'd also like to see Apple do a streaming service, for Apple device users only. That's it.

  • Report this Comment On September 18, 2011, at 10:47 PM, Chilaw wrote:

    On the 7-inch ipad, I remember Jobs deriding the idea a year or two ago. He claimed that Apple had done tons of private research and found that the touch functionality is severly limited when you go down to 7-inch. Jobs is publicly committed against the 7-inch so as long as his heart beats . . .

  • Report this Comment On September 18, 2011, at 11:00 PM, gslusher wrote:

    @ KTWalrus:

    Why do you think that Apple has "no interest" in the desktop market? They continually improve the iMac and the Mac Mini--and even the Mac Pro, though not as often. Apple recently added Thunderbolt ports to the iMac, for example.

    It also wouldn't make sense from a purely economic standpoint. Why would Apple give up the profit it makes on selling iMacs, Mac Minis and Mac Pros? The iMac starts at $1199. Do you think that Apple's margins are less than 9%? That's what they'd have to be for Apple to make no more than $99 on each sale.

    Also, remember, in re licensing: Apple has been there, done that, and ran away from it as fast as they could once Steve Jobs took over because it was costing them money.

  • Report this Comment On September 18, 2011, at 11:09 PM, baldheadeddork wrote:

    Apple had a window (no pun intended) to hugely grow their PC market share a few years ago when Microsoft was on the ropes after launching Vista. If they had attacked then the world might be a lot different today, but if they did it now they'd just cannibalize their own hardware sales without significantly growing their market share. Consumers like Windows 7 and, if anything, Apple has lost its mojo in the desktop OS market. It's been a long time since anyone described a release of OS-X as "insanely great".

    Which brought a foolish question to my mind: Should Apple spin off its desktop/laptop business? I don't think anyone can say with a straight face that the Mac is what Apple does best today and it's the least-profitable part of the company. Does anyone think that Apple as a pure mobile company wouldn't be stronger than it is today?

    I haven't read the advice articles linked in this piece, because I think they're a waste of time for everyone who comes in contact with them. But one thing is true: Tim Cook has to make a large, bold move to get Apple past the Jobs era. If he acts just as a caretaker and allows the company to run on WWSD?, they will drift and falter. He has to make a break and it has to be something no one could imagine Steve Jobs doing.

    Thoughts?

  • Report this Comment On September 18, 2011, at 11:43 PM, baldheadeddork wrote:

    @gslusher - "Why do you think that Apple has "no interest" in the desktop market?"

    I wouldn't say that Apple has "no interest" in desktops/laptops, but "afterthought" might not be too strong.

    The first clue is that OS-X is ten years old. It launched six months before Windows XP. It hit its peak with Leopard and that was four years ago. Lion is to Apple what Windows ME was to Microsoft.

    They've been going through the motions on desktops for years. Mac Pro is a very expensive joke. It's last constituency was professional video editors and they screwed the pooch on that with the Final Cut Pro X debacle. The iMac has been forgotten. It started as Apple's signature design statement and been allowed to become conservative and boring.

    (Thunderbolt is an answer to a question no one asked. Wait, I take that back. Maybe someone at Apple asked how do they come up with a way to sell new proprietary cables at prices that would make Monster blush. That would explain it.)

    They have a little more interest in laptops, but if anything the news there is even more depressing. The original MacBook Air was a real breakthrough in laptop design, and you can make a solid case that the MacBook Pro is the best laptop you can buy today. But despite that, the Air has been a sales flop and the MBP hasn't captured any significant market share.

    After a decade with their best OS and hardware ever, when Microsoft has been as weak as it's ever been, Apple is still struggling to hit a 10% market share in the desktop/laptop market.

    One last tell: When was the last time you saw an ad for Apple that wasn't about the iPhone or iPad?

  • Report this Comment On September 18, 2011, at 11:56 PM, cfrdog wrote:

    I tend to agree buying up Sandisk would be a good move. Its cheap, some is Tivo for that matter. Sandisk would increase margins as they would have cheap flash pricing for years to come. Apple is also better off w/ Tivo and including a traditional solution for TV viewing with their Apple TV / combining the internet, etc. I think both would be good buys for Apple and barely in a drop in the bucket for them both.

  • Report this Comment On September 19, 2011, at 1:57 AM, deasystems wrote:

    @ baldheadeddork: "...OS-X...hit its peak with Leopard...Lion is to Apple what Windows ME was to Microsoft."

    Not hardly. Lion is yet another significant advance in the Mac OS X that integrates and provides iOS techniques and technologies to Apple's desktop and portable computers.

    Regarding your other assertions, the iMac remains the top-rated desktop system on the market and just received a significant update within the last four months. NPD reports that Apple's U.S. Mac sales are up 22% year-over-year for the the first two months of the third calendar quarter of 2011, *driven primarily by the new MacBook Air models*, which comprise approximately 40% of Apple's notebook sales. In fact, according to both IDC and Gartner, Apple had--by far--the highest growth rate of any of the major PC vendors in Q2 of this year!

    Apple's share of the U.S. computer market has been growing continuously for at least the past three years and currently stands at over 15% share. In fact, Apple's computer business is both bigger and growing faster than ever.

    These facts are all easily and freely verifiable, baldheadeddork. Why makes thing up?

  • Report this Comment On September 19, 2011, at 2:24 PM, KTWalrus wrote:

    Let me clarify just a bit...

    In suggesting Apple license desktop/servers for $99 a piece, I was really thinking that Apple needs to put all its energies in the laptop/mobile area. The average PC sells for something like $700 with many desktop options available for under $500. Apple has no path to sell Macs under $500 (for an individual, buying a laptop every few years, paying $1200 isn't too much to ask, but for most businesses, where the desktop PCs are commodities, they won't even consider the $1200 option when there are adequate $500 choices).

    I'd go so far as to say Apple should exit the desktop Mac business altogether and license Mac OS X for these systems. $99 a pop would go almost entirely to the bottom line and I bet they could make a big dent in their enterprise market share.

  • Report this Comment On September 19, 2011, at 5:31 PM, SimchaStein wrote:

    Totally agree - ignore pundits. They put Apple in the headline to get attention, or meet a deadline.

    Holy cow acquisitions? No way. No credibility, Mr. P.

  • Report this Comment On September 19, 2011, at 6:19 PM, baldheadeddork wrote:

    @deasystems - Making stuff up? Eff you.

    Mac OS-X market share as of August 2011: 7.3%. Took me all of two seconds to verify that.

    http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Usage_share_of_operating_system...

  • Report this Comment On September 20, 2011, at 2:00 AM, deasystems wrote:

    @ baldheadeddork: Thanks for your reply. The statistic you cited was for Web usage/Web clients, not market share. (See your cited wikipedia article's "Web Clients" heading.)

    In your posting to which I responded, you stated, "Apple is still struggling to hit a 10% market share in the desktop/laptop market." That is not true. In fact, Apple hit 10.7% U.S. market share in Q211 according to both IDC and Gartner. And far from "struggling," Apple has the fastest growing market share in computers among the major manufacturers:

    http://macdailynews.com/2011/07/13/idc-apple-mac-took-10-7-s...

    http://www.businessinsider.com/munster-apples-mac-sales-comi...

    http://tech.fortune.cnn.com/tag/market-share/

    I trust this discussion and the articles cited here disabuse you of your mistaken notions regarding Apple's computer systems business.

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