McDonald's: Dividend Dynamo, or the Next Blowup?

Dividend investing is a tried-and-true strategy for generating strong, steady returns in economies both good and bad. But as corporate America's slew of dividend cuts and suspensions over the past few years has demonstrated, it's not enough simply to buy a high yield. You also need to make sure those payouts are sustainable.

Let's examine how McDonald's (NYSE: MCD  ) stacks up in four critical areas to determine whether it's a dividend dynamo or a disaster in the making.

1. Yield
First and foremost, dividend investors like a large forward yield. But if a yield gets too high, it may reflect investors' doubts about the payout's sustainability. If investors had confidence in the stock, they'd be buying it, driving up the share price and shrinking the yield.

McDonald's yields 3%, quite a bit better than the S&P 500's 2.2%.

2. Payout ratio
The payout ratio might be the most important metric for judging dividend sustainability. It compares the amount of money a company paid out in dividends last year to the earnings it generated. A ratio that's too high -- say, greater than 80% of earnings -- indicates that the company may be stretching to make payouts it can't afford, even when its dividend yield doesn't seem particularly high.

McDonald's has a comfortable payout ratio of 48%.

3. Balance sheet
The best dividend payers have the financial fortitude to fund growth and respond to whatever the economy and competitors throw at them. The interest coverage ratio indicates whether a company is having trouble meeting its interest payments -- any ratio less than 5 is a warning sign. Meanwhile, the debt-to-equity ratio is a good measure of a company's total debt burden.

McDonald's has a moderately high debt-to-equity ratio of 82%, but its interest coverage rate is 17.

4. Growth
A large dividend is nice; a large growing dividend is even better. To support a growing dividend, we also want to see earnings growth.

Let's examine how McDonald's stacks up next to its peers.

Company

5-Year Earnings-per-Share Growth

5-Year Dividends-per-Share Growth

McDonald's 19% 20%
Yum! Brands (NYSE: YUM  ) 12% 31%
Wendy's (NYSE: WEN  ) N/A* (14%)
Jack in the Box (NYSE: JBX  ) (2%) 0%

Source: S&P Capital IQ.
*Negative earnings.The Foolish bottom lineMcDonald's exhibits a strong dividend bill of health. It has a moderate yield, a modest payout ratio, a reasonable debt burden, and excellent long-term growth. To stay up to speed on the top news and analysis on McDonald's, or any other stock, add it to your stock watchlist. If you don't have one yet, you can create a free, personalized watchlist of your favorite stocks.

Ilan Moscovitz doesn't own shares of any company mentioned. You can follow him on Twitter , where he goes by @TMFDada. The Motley Fool owns shares of Yum! Brands. Motley Fool newsletter services have recommended buying shares of Yum! Brands and McDonald's. Try any of our Foolish newsletter services free for 30 days. We Fools don't all hold the same opinions, but we all believe that considering a diverse range of insights makes us better investors. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy.


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  • Report this Comment On October 29, 2011, at 8:24 PM, nicknorcio wrote:

    Some people are screaming that MCD is overbought. I disagree completely. With huge worldwide growth and consumers looking to cut back on sit down dining, I believe MCD has a great short and long term future in sight. The dividend has been increased year after year. This company is a cash cow!!!!! Keep in mind that most stores are franchised, so the rising food costs are the operators hassle, not the companies. MCD takes a % of the TOP LINE sales of said stores. With a P/E ratio of just over 18, I think there is still $10-$15 per share to go.

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