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Can Amazon.com Conquer the World?

In today's world, most companies span several regions and sell across the world. As Foolish colleague Morgan Housel notes, 10 years ago, less than a third of S&P 500 revenue came from abroad. Today, that makes up more than half of the S&P 500's growth.

And that number is growing. The truth is, investors regularly underestimate how much demand comes from abroad. More importantly, for large, multinational corporations that have already established a presence in their home markets, much of their future growth comes from abroad.

With that in mind, today we're looking at Amazon.com (Nasdaq: AMZN  ) . We'll examine not only where its sales and earnings come from, but also how its sales abroad have changed over time.

Where Amazon's sales were five years ago
Five years ago, Amazon collected 55% of its sales from the United States, while foreign markets kicked in  remaining 45%.  

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Source: S&P Capital IQ.

Where Amazon's sales are today
Today, the situation hasn't changed ... at all. America still kicks in 55% of Amazon's total sales.  

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However, these figures hide the incredible growth Amazon has seen both the United States and abroad.

Region 5-Year Total Sales Growth
United States 297%
International 310%

Source: S&P Capital IQ.

It's not that Amazon hasn't been doing impressively internationally that's keeping its international sales at the same level while other American companies see a growing percentage of sales abroad; it's that Amazon is also executing so exceptionally in America. Another key factor in Amazon's success is that it saw the international opportunity and expanded so aggressively in its infancy.

In most of Amazon's markets, it already enjoys market leadership. Of the International markets Amazon has expanded to -- Germany, the United Kingdom, France, Japan, Italy, Canada, and China -- one country presents not only the largest challenge, but the greatest opportunity.

Of course, I'm talking about China. Amazon purchased Joyo.com in 2004 for $75 million and has been ramping its Chinese operations up since. While Amazon doesn't disclose foreign sales by country, estimates placed China at 8.6% of Amazon's foreign sales in 2009, which is only about 4% of companywide sales.

However, the future opportunity of e-commerce in China is something that can't be overlooked. The country is home to an underdeveloped conventional retail sector but has nearly 500 million Internet users who have grown up with the idea of the Internet as a means of commerce. These lucrative dynamics could have China leapfrogging the United States as the largest e-commerce market in the world by 2015.

Amazon faces plenty of completion from a whole host of rivals, including E-Commerce Dangdang (NYSE: DANG  ) and Chinese selling site Taobao -- which is building out a new e-commerce platform -- so success isn't assured. However, with its expertise and vast resources, Amazon could be at the forefront of a massive market opportunity.

Competitor checkup
One last point to check is how Amazon's footprint compares with some of its Internet peers and industry rivals.

Company

Geography With Most Sales

Percent of Sales

Amazon United States 55%
eBay (Nasdaq: EBAY  ) United States 46%
Wal-Mart (NYSE: WMT  ) United States 72%*
Mercadolibre (Nasdaq: MELI  ) Brazil 57%

Source: S&P Capital IQ.
*Includes author estimates for Sam's Club sales.

Relative to its largest peer, Wal-Mart, Amazon has a strong International reach. However, like Amazon, Wal-Mart is also making an international push.

The inclusion of Mercadolibre brings up an interesting point -- Amazon's lack of presence in Latin America. Many other commerce and Internet companies have moved to South America and have seen strong growth rates in the region. Without further expansion, Amazon isn't set to benefit from the region's growth.

Keep searching
If you're looking to stay updated on Amazon or any other companies listed above, make sure to add them to our free watchlist service, My Watchlist. It's free, and it helps you constantly stay updated on news and analysis on your favorite companies.

The Steve Jobs Betrayal
You may already know that in the final year of his life, Jobs revealed a stunning betrayal — and told his biographer, "I will spend my last dying breath... and every penny of Apple's $40 billion in the bank to right this wrong." What was it that made Jobs so irate — and why could it make a few in-the-know investors some major profits over the coming months and years?

Enter your email address below to find out what made Jobs so enraged!

Eric Bleeker owns shares of no companies listed above. You can follow him on Twitter to see all of his technology and market commentary. The Motley Fool owns shares of Wal-Mart Stores. Motley Fool newsletter services have recommended buying shares of eBay, Amazon.com, Mercadolibre, and Wal-Mart Stores and creating a diagonal call position in Wal-Mart Stores. Try any of our Foolish newsletter services free for 30 days. We Fools don't all hold the same opinions, but we all believe that considering a diverse range of insights makes us better investors. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy.


Comments from our Foolish Readers

Help us keep this a respectfully Foolish area! This is a place for our readers to discuss, debate, and learn more about the Foolish investing topic you read about above. Help us keep it clean and safe. If you believe a comment is abusive or otherwise violates our Fool's Rules, please report it via the Report this Comment Report this Comment icon found on every comment.

  • Report this Comment On October 30, 2011, at 9:28 PM, dealmastergee wrote:

    How is Amazon a leader over eBay? Amazon's Revenue this QTR was only 10.88B, eBay's comparable Marketplaces GMV (excluding Vehicles) was 14.7B Remember eBay has a different business model, a much more profitable one. eBay moved almost a 1/3 more volume of Merchandise through their site than Amazon did, yet this Author calls them a leader?

    He seems to miss that point entirely. Yes, Amazon has experienced growth the past few years that eBay did in the early 00's, but they are also starting to slow down just like eBay did. Will they ever catch eBay's GMV? That remains to be seen. They certainly can't make a profit like eBay does. I don't see that ever happening therefore I don't get the Market valuation at all. How can eBay be worth less than 1/2 Amazon and still crush Amazon in volume of Merchandise sold and in profits QTR after QTR? It makes NO sense...

  • Report this Comment On October 30, 2011, at 10:06 PM, WallstreetKnight wrote:

    ^ because the market is looking far ahead of you.

    Ebay is an auction site, Amazon is a retailer. Amazon will easily surpass Ebay in the next 1-2 years...

  • Report this Comment On October 30, 2011, at 11:16 PM, phoebe44 wrote:

    E-bay's biggest mistake was trying to become an Amazon. E-bay *used to be* an auction site but not anymore. They've made it quite clear they don't want the individual sellers anymore - I used to be one until the competition from larger companies ate us alive. E-bay wants the Targets, Wal-marts, Toys R Us, etc. and they are "Buy It Now" items for the most part.

    Big mistake for E-bay - Amazon is going to take them to the cleaners.

    How is Amazon a leader over E-bay? Look at the stock prices -

    AMZN $217.32

    EBAY $ 33.25

    These are the result of analysts projections and the general analysis of business stability and management -

  • Report this Comment On October 31, 2011, at 4:27 AM, dealmastergee wrote:

    WallStreetKnight, with Amazon's growth starting to shrink and their profits dismal, what exactly will they pass eBay in? Certainly not Profit, seems the Market is looking for Miracles as per usual, a some point there will be a Big correction.

    Phoebe, the fact that you put stock price up and not Market valuation tells me that really don't understand much. With Shrinking growth Projections mean little, especially when your business model barely profits...

  • Report this Comment On November 01, 2011, at 12:05 AM, phoebe44 wrote:

    dealmastergee -- your comment about stock price and not market valuation tells me that you aren't watching what happens to stock prices when earnings are reported very well at all.

    Over the past year, we've had many companies that have reported earnings with several misses and the stock price rises BECAUSE there are more and more people buying however many shares there are - ask a few short sellers how that has played against market valuation this past year! Along the same lines, we've had many companies that have had excellent earnings reported only to see their stock drop BECAUSE people are selling shares.

    Here's a quote from MDP regarding valuation - and I subscribe to it 100%. I wonder if you are really a Motley Fool?

    "Valuation is an inexact science, especially for a dynamic growth company like 123 (I changed the name of the company). So think of the "value" in valuation as the thought process that goes into estimating the inputs to our models, as well as the factors and possible scenarios that affect them."

  • Report this Comment On November 01, 2011, at 12:51 PM, dealmastergee wrote:

    Phoebe44,

    Don't get your point at all. If eBay has split 3 times and Amazon once, then what does Stock Price have to do with it? Seems your a little short of a $...

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