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Here's 1 Reason EnCana Looks Weak

Margins matter. The more EnCana (NYSE: ECA  ) keeps of each buck it earns in revenue, the more money it has to invest in growth, fund new strategic plans, or (gasp!) distribute to shareholders. Healthy margins often separate pretenders from the best stocks in the market. That's why we check up on margins at least once a quarter in this series. I'm looking for the absolute numbers, comparisons to sector peers and competitors, and any trend that may tell me how strong EnCana's competitive position could be.

Here's the current margin snapshot for EnCana and some of its sector and industry peers and direct competitors.

Company

TTM Gross Margin

TTM Operating Margin

TTM Net Margin

EnCana

60.8%

9.5%

3.1%

EOG Resources (NYSE: EOG  )

73.6%

16.7%

12.1%

Chesapeake Energy (NYSE: CHK  )

42.3%

18.3%

11.9%

Anadarko Petroleum (NYSE: APC  )

79.9%

27.5%

(17.2%)

Source: S&P Capital IQ. TTM = trailing 12 months.

Unfortunately, that table doesn't tell us much about where EnCana has been, or where it's going. A company with rising gross and operating margins often fuels its growth by increasing demand for its products. If it sells more units while keeping costs in check, its profitability increases. Conversely, a company with gross margins that inch downward over time is often losing out to competition, and possibly engaging in a race to the bottom on prices. If it can't make up for this problem by cutting costs -- and most companies can't -- then both the business and its shares face a decidedly bleak outlook.

Of course, over the short term, the kind of economic shocks we recently experienced can drastically affect a company's profitability. That's why I like to look at five fiscal years' worth of margins, along with the results for the trailing 12 months, the last fiscal year, and last fiscal quarter. You can't always reach a hard conclusion about your company's health, but you can better understand what to expect, and what to watch.

Here's the margin picture for EnCana over the past few years.

anImage

Source: S&P Capital IQ. Dollar amounts in millions. FY = fiscal year. TTM = trailing 12 months.

Because of seasonality in some businesses, the numbers for the last period on the right -- the TTM figures -- aren't always comparable to the FY results preceding them. To compare quarterly margins to their prior-year levels, consult this chart.

anImage

Source: S&P Capital IQ. Dollar amounts in millions. FQ = fiscal quarter.

Here's how the stats break down:

  • Over the past five years, gross margin peaked at 68.7% and averaged 63.1%. Operating margin peaked at 47% and averaged 33.1%. Net margin peaked at 33.9% and averaged 24.7%.
  • TTM gross margin is 60.8%, 230 basis points worse than the five-year average. TTM operating margin is 9.5%, 2,360 basis points worse than the five-year average. TTM net margin is 3.1%, 2,160 basis points worse than the five-year average.

With recent TTM operating margins below historical averages, EnCana has some work to do.

If you take the time to read past the headlines and crack a filing now and then, you're probably ahead of 95% of the market's individual investors. To stay ahead, learn more about how I use analysis like this to help me uncover the best returns in the stock market. Got an opinion on the margins at EnCana? Let us know in the comments below.

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Seth Jayson had no position in any company mentioned here at the time of publication. You can view his stock holdings here. He is co-advisor of Motley Fool Hidden Gems, which provides new small-cap ideas every month, backed by a real-money portfolio. Motley Fool newsletter services have recommended buying shares of Chesapeake Energy. Try any of our Foolish newsletter services free for 30 days. We Fools may not all hold the same opinions, but we all believe that considering a diverse range of insights makes us better investors. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy.


Comments from our Foolish Readers

Help us keep this a respectfully Foolish area! This is a place for our readers to discuss, debate, and learn more about the Foolish investing topic you read about above. Help us keep it clean and safe. If you believe a comment is abusive or otherwise violates our Fool's Rules, please report it via the Report this Comment Report this Comment icon found on every comment.

  • Report this Comment On November 03, 2011, at 11:38 AM, Matt4444 wrote:

    Sometimes I'm disappointed in the quality of analysis that is presented in the Motley Fool. Focusing strictly on margins doesn't tell the story of Encana. You will note that total revenues dropped from $22 Billion in 2008 to $8 Billion in 2010. The company restructured in 2009 splitting natural gas and oil divisions. Shareholders were given shares of Cenovus - the division focused on oil exploration and production. Meanwhile Encana has continued in the natural gas business. Natural gas prices have been challenged over the past few years with all the shale discoveries and new production sources added. Encana has responded by divesting of some of its assets and attempting to form partnerships. But the facts remain that there is a lot of natural gas currently available at relatively low prices. This is the reason that margins are being threatened. Additionally, much of Encana's natural gas is dry so they are not able to benefit from the relatively high prices attributed to "rich" gas and the corresponding liquids that are produced.

    It would be good to get the story right - the recent performance is due to a number of factors: restructuring, larger proportion of lean gas, and efforts to rationalize the business.

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Related Tickers

5/25/2012 4:01 PM
ECA $20.50 Up +0.24 +1.18%
EnCana Corp (USA) CAPS Rating: *****
EOG $101.75 Up +0.96 +0.95%
EOG Resources, Inc… CAPS Rating: ****
CHK $15.81 Up +0.23 +1.48%
Chesapeake Energy… CAPS Rating: ****
APC $63.08 Down -0.57 -0.90%
Anadarko Petroleum… CAPS Rating: ****

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