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Does Intel Pass Buffett's Test?

We'd all like to invest like the legendary Warren Buffett, turning thousands into millions or more. Buffett analyzes companies by calculating return on invested  capital (ROIC) to help determine whether a company has an economic moat -- the ability to earn returns on its money above that money's cost. 

ROIC is perhaps the most important metric in value investing. By determining a company's ROIC, you can see how well it's using the cash you entrust to it and whether it's actually creating value for you. Simply, ROIC divides a company's operating profit by how much investment it took to get that profit. The formula:

ROIC = Net operating profit after taxes / Invested capital

(You can read more on the nuances of the formula.)

This one-size-fits-all calculation cuts out many of the legal accounting tricks, such as excessive debt, that managers use to boost earnings numbers, and it provides you with an apples-to-apples way to evaluate businesses, even across industries. The higher the ROIC, the more efficiently the company uses capital.

Ultimately, we're looking for companies that can invest their money at rates that are higher than the cost of capital, which for most businesses is between 8% and 12%. We prefer to see ROIC above 12% at a minimum, along with a history of increasing returns, or at least steady returns, which indicate some durability to the company's economic moat.

Let's look at Intel (Nasdaq: INTC  ) and three of its industry peers, to see how efficiently they use cash. Here are the ROIC figures for each company over a few periods.

Company

TTM

1 Year Ago

3 Years Ago

5 Years Ago

Intel 28.5% 35.6% 25% 18.1%
Applied Materials (Nasdaq: AMAT  ) 39.3% 24.2% 15.7% 30%
Texas Instruments (NYSE: TXN  ) 17.9% 35.6% 28.6% 29.5%
Advanced Micro Devices (NYSE: AMD  ) 20.1% 33.6% (8.9%)* 16%

Source: S&P Capital IQ.
*Because AMD did not report an effective tax rate, we used its 5% effective tax rate from five years ago.

Intel has increased its returns on invested capital over the past five years, as have two of the other companies. The ROIC at Applied Materials looks particularly good. Texas Instruments' ROIC, on the other hand, has declined more than 10 percentage points from five years ago.

Businesses with consistently high ROIC show that they're efficiently using capital. They also have the ability to treat shareholders well, because they can then use their extra cash to pay out dividends to us, buy back shares, or further invest in their franchise. And healthy and growing dividends are something Warren Buffett has long loved.

So for more successful investments, dig a little deeper than the earnings headlines to find the company's ROIC. Add these companies to your Watchlist:

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Jim Royal, Ph.D., owns no shares of any company mentioned here. The Motley Fool owns shares of Intel and Texas Instruments and has bought calls on Intel. Motley Fool newsletter services have recommended buying shares of and creating a bull call spread position in Intel. Try any of our Foolish newsletter services free for 30 days. We Fools don't all hold the same opinions, but we all believe that considering a diverse range of insights makes us better investors. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy.


Comments from our Foolish Readers

Help us keep this a respectfully Foolish area! This is a place for our readers to discuss, debate, and learn more about the Foolish investing topic you read about above. Help us keep it clean and safe. If you believe a comment is abusive or otherwise violates our Fool's Rules, please report it via the Report this Comment Report this Comment icon found on every comment.

  • Report this Comment On November 20, 2011, at 12:48 PM, WackySCharacter wrote:

    If I'm reading this, I guess I'm supposed to be sophisticated enough to know this, but is it to much to ask that you define acronyms when you use them? What is a TTM, and how does it relate to ROIC?

  • Report this Comment On November 20, 2011, at 4:42 PM, stretcho44 wrote:

    The cost of captial is very different for the individual companies. Intel just placed $5bil notes with an average cost of 3.8% which is far below the 8% - 12% range you use.

    You also must be careful when you cross industry boundaries like you did when you included AMAT and possibly AMD after the Global Foundary spin off.

    Intel and TI will be building wafer fabrication plants at a cost of $5bil to $10bil per plant where AMD (after Global spin off) and AMAT don't do.

    Motley Fool commentary has become increasingly frequent and many times down right silly. Is the Fool raising visibility while preparing to go public? Good time for an IPO.

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Related Tickers

5/25/2012 4:00 PM
INTC $25.74 Up +0.09 +0.35%
Intel Corp CAPS Rating: *****
TXN $28.94 Up +0.05 +0.17%
Texas Instruments,… CAPS Rating: ****
AMAT $10.54 Up +0.16 +1.54%
Applied Materials,… CAPS Rating: ****
AMD $6.22 Up +0.20 +3.32%
Advanced Micro Dev… CAPS Rating: **

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