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Star Scientific Had a Great 2011

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As 2011 comes to a close, it's a great time to look back at what happened to the stocks that interest you. By making sure you know the important things that a company accomplished -- as well as the setbacks it experienced -- you can make a better decision about whether it's a smart investment for your portfolio.

Today, let's take a look at Star Scientific (Nasdaq: CIGX  ) . Many investors are uncomfortable with profiting from traditional tobacco companies, perceiving them as "sin" stocks. But with Star Scientific looking to emphasize dissolvable tobacco and developing a process to cure tobacco in a non-carcinogenic way, investors could see the stock as the best way to play the industry. Below, I'll take a closer look at the events that moved Star Scientific's shares this year.

Stats on Star Scientific

Year-to-Date Stock Return 18.5%
Market Cap $312 million
Total Revenue, Trailing 12 Months $960,000
Net Loss, Trailing 12 Months ($22.7 million)
1-Year Revenue Growth 24.7%
Cash / Debt $10.4 million / $5.7 million
CAPS Rating *

Source: S&P Capital IQ.

How did Star Scientific do this year?
Star Scientific is a tiny player in a huge industry. Tobacco is dominated by big companies like Altria (NYSE: MO  ) , Reynolds American (NYSE: RAI  ) , and Philip Morris International (NYSE: PM  ) , all of which focus primarily on cigarettes. By contrast, Star Scientific doesn't make cigarettes at all.

But by focusing on alternatives, Star Scientific has actually been ahead of the curve. With smoking becoming a social stigma both in the U.S. and abroad, even the big companies in the industry are looking at smokeless products to help carry profits going forward.

The problem, though, is that Star Scientific hasn't yet found a way to become profitable. For instance, in the company's second-quarter results, revenue dropped 22% -- not a good sign for what's supposed to be a growing company. Even after big cost-cutting measures and moves to create a vastly improved balance sheet, the company is still producing some big losses. Moreover, the threat that Star Scientific's products may well be subject to just as stringent regulation as traditional tobacco looms large over its future prospects.

Investors are clearly hoping for huge growth from Star Scientific in the coming years. For now, though, the big dividends of Lorillard (NYSE: LO  ) , Vector Group (NYSE: VGR  ) , and other big-tobacco stocks look like more of a sure thing.

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The Steve Jobs Betrayal
You may already know that in the final year of his life, Jobs revealed a stunning betrayal — and told his biographer, "I will spend my last dying breath... and every penny of Apple's $40 billion in the bank to right this wrong." What was it that made Jobs so irate — and why could it make a few in-the-know investors some major profits over the coming months and years?

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Fool contributor Dan Caplinger doesn't own shares of the companies mentioned. The Motley Fool owns shares of Altria Group and Philip Morris International. Motley Fool newsletter services have recommended buying shares of Philip Morris International and creating a bear put ladder position in Lorillard. We Fools may not all hold the same opinions, but we all believe that considering a diverse range of insights makes us better investors. The Fool has a disclosure policy.


Comments from our Foolish Readers

Help us keep this a respectfully Foolish area! This is a place for our readers to discuss, debate, and learn more about the Foolish investing topic you read about above. Help us keep it clean and safe. If you believe a comment is abusive or otherwise violates our Fool's Rules, please report it via the Report this Comment Report this Comment icon found on every comment.

  • Report this Comment On December 19, 2011, at 11:09 AM, YankeesWin wrote:

    The company is really looking to revenues from their Anatabloc and CigRx of products, which for some foolish reason is never mentioned. This so called article about Star is more of a loosely veiled attempt at promoting Lorillard and Vector Group. Smokeless products...Hogwash! They are betting the farm on Anatabloc. Even a cursory look at the company's message board on Yahoo! will tell you all you need to know about where Star's efforts are at. You can learn a lot at Anatabloc.com or search it on youtube.

  • Report this Comment On December 19, 2011, at 2:46 PM, philsdock wrote:

    Also no mention of the curing process they have affirmed patents on that all tabacco co will have to pay to use. They can lower the carcinogens, thru the patented curing process, or they can put a picture of half a lung on the pack. I think they will deal with Star. Drive by media, drive by Fool, do your DD if you write an investing article. Nice headline no meat in the article.

  • Report this Comment On December 19, 2011, at 11:31 PM, factfinder101 wrote:

    Evidently, there are VERY few analysts who have done the COMPLETE due diligence with respect to researching what's going on with this company. I am personally aware of only two. Having said that, I am impressed by Mr. Caplinger's recognition of SS as being ahead of the curve by focusing on non-carcinogenic alternatives. True dat! However, it is absolutely mind-boggling to read an article about what Star-Scientific accomplished in 2011... and no mention of their newly launched product line...? ...WHAT?!!! ...WHAT?!!!

    YankeesWin and philsdock, you're both right!

    If Star Scientific NEVER sells another can of the dissolvable fruity snuff, it won't really matter. The forward revenues from CigRx and Anatabloc, which have only JUST hit the market (worldwide, no less), will totally eradicate all profitibilty concerns.

    There is no denying that SS has gone deeper than deep in R&D. However, if one does ALL of their homework, they can only conclude that this company is actually on the brink of HUGE PROFITS! Truthfully, I believe it is one of the most promising ground level opportunities in the market today.

    I think the big trip-factor for analysts is the sector classification for SS. You may have seen the TV news interview that CEO Jonnie Williams did on CBS when Anatabloc was first launched. During the interview he mentioned the possibility of petitioning the SEC to have the company's classification changed from 'Tobacco Industry' to 'Biotech.' At this stage of the game, it would make a lot of sense. It would also bring awareness to both analysts and investors.

    As frustrating as it is that this stock has been relentlessly shorted, I have grown to adopt an appreciation for the prolonged opportunity to accumulate shares at these prices. When awareness becomes more widespread, the ground level opportunity will disappear very rapidly. My guess is by Q2 2012 earnings reports, the secret will be out. That doesn't leave much time to buy cheap!

    Don't fret your long positions, guys. Only buy more shares every time you can scrape a few bucks together. The big payoff is not that far off now. As soon as analysts and Wall Street catch onto this one... IT'S ON!!!

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Related Tickers

5/25/2012 4:00 PM
CIGX $3.98 Down +0.00 +0.00%
Star Scientific, I… CAPS Rating: *
RAI $41.97 Up +0.08 +0.19%
Reynolds American,… CAPS Rating: ****
VGR $16.70 Down -0.01 -0.06%
Vector Group Ltd. CAPS Rating: ***
PM $85.38 Up +0.04 +0.05%
Philip Morris Inte… CAPS Rating: *****
LO $124.84 Down -3.34 -2.61%
Lorillard, Inc. CAPS Rating: *****
MO $32.11 Down -0.15 -0.46%
Altria Group, Inc. CAPS Rating: *****

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