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2 Positive Signs for Overseas Shipholding

Overseas Shipholding Group (NYSE: OSG  ) carries $88 million of goodwill and other intangibles on its balance sheet. Sometimes goodwill, especially when it's excessive, can foreshadow problems down the road. Could this be this be the case with Overseas Shipholding?

Before we answer that, let's look at what could go wrong.

AOL blows up
In early 2002, AOL Time Warner was trading for $66.27 per share.

It had $209 billion of assets on its balance sheet, and $128 billion of that was in the form of goodwill and other intangible assets. Goodwill is simply the difference between the price paid for a company during an acquisition and the net assets of the acquired company. The $128 billion of goodwill in this case was created when AOL and Time Warner merged in 2000.

The problem with inflating your net assets with goodwill is that it can -- being intangible after all -- go away if the acquisition or merger doesn't create the amount of value that was expected. That's what happened in AOL Time Warner's case. It had to write off most of the goodwill over the next few months, and one year later that line item had shrunk to $37 billion. Investors punished the stock along the way, sending it down to $27.04 -- or nearly a 60% loss.

In his fine book It's Earnings That Count, Hewitt Heiserman explains the AOL situation and how two simple metrics can help minimize your risk of owning a company that may blow up like this. Let's see how Overseas Shipholding holds up using his two metrics.

Intangible assets ratio
This ratio shows us the percentage of total assets made up by goodwill and other intangibles. Heiserman says he views anything over 20% as worrisome, "because management might be overpaying for the acquisition or acquisitions that gave rise to the goodwill."

Overseas Shipholding has an intangible assets ratio of 2%.

This is well below Heiserman's threshold, and a sign that any growth you see with the company is probably organic. But we're not through; let's also take a look at tangible book value.

Tangible book value
Tangible book value, which is simply what remains after subtracting goodwill and other intangibles from shareholders' equity (also known as book value, see box). If this is not a positive value, Heiserman advises you to run away because such companies may "lack the balance sheet muscle to protect themselves in a recession or from better-financed competitors."

Overseas Shipholding's tangible book value is $2 billion, so no yellow flags here.

Foolish bottom line
Overseas Shipholding Group appears to be in good shape in terms of the intangible assets ratio and tangible book value. You can never base an entire investment thesis on one or two metrics, but there are no yellow flags here. If any companies you're researching do fail one of these checks, make sure you understand the business model and management's objectives. I'll help you keep a close eye on these ratios over the next few quarters by updating them soon after each earnings report.

Keep up with Overseas Shipholding Group, including news and analysis as it's published, by adding the company to your free, personalized watchlist.

The Steve Jobs Betrayal
You may already know that in the final year of his life, Jobs revealed a stunning betrayal — and told his biographer, "I will spend my last dying breath... and every penny of Apple's $40 billion in the bank to right this wrong." What was it that made Jobs so irate — and why could it make a few in-the-know investors some major profits over the coming months and years?

Enter your email address below to find out what made Jobs so enraged!

Rex Moore owns none of the companies mentioned in this article. Try any of our Foolish newsletter services free for 30 days. We Fools may not all hold the same opinions, but we all believe that considering a diverse range of insights makes us better investors. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy.


Comments from our Foolish Readers

Help us keep this a respectfully Foolish area! This is a place for our readers to discuss, debate, and learn more about the Foolish investing topic you read about above. Help us keep it clean and safe. If you believe a comment is abusive or otherwise violates our Fool's Rules, please report it via the Report this Comment Report this Comment icon found on every comment.

  • Report this Comment On January 18, 2012, at 1:38 PM, psl8er wrote:

    OSG has gone up 50%+ this month while the tanker industry continues to lose money. Just look at Euronav for example.

    You give OSG a Tangible book value of $2bn yet its market cap is now $450m up from $300m a few weeks ago. Its balance sheet is full of overpriced ships and it needs to take a big write down in its asset values,

    Q4 will be a large loss again 11 Qs in a row.

  • Report this Comment On January 20, 2012, at 12:53 PM, Arbitrageur007 wrote:

    OSG WILL IN FACT TANK AND DROP TO A SINGLE DIGIT PRICE TAG WITHIN THE NEXT FEW WEEKS AND REMAIN THERE FOR A SIGNIFICANT PERIOD OF TIME, MEANING GREATER THAN THE SUM OF 2012. WHY DO YOU THINK STANDARD & POORS DOWN GRADED OSG AND MOST OF THE ANALYST COVERAGE IS NEGATIVE AND SKEPTICAL?? You're positive comments about dividends and annual returns does not predict the future of this company, which is bleak, and those positive comments are almost irresponsible... kind of like the crew of that italian Cruise Ship telling it's passengers "Everything is OK" while they themselves and the captain vacate the sinking vessel.

    Congratulations Motley Fool, you're living up to your name.

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Related Tickers

5/25/2012 4:03 PM
OSG $11.75 Up +1.04 +9.71%
Overseas Shipholdi… CAPS Rating: **

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