When earnings season rolls around, it's all about expectations. That's why Google sunk 8% last Friday after reporting sales that grew 25% year over year while Microsoft saw its shares rise 5% on the day despite revenue gains of only 5% over last year.
While long-term investing success isn't built by guessing which companies will beat their earnings estimates by a couple of pennies per share here and there, in the short term, that's what drives the market.
With a mixed bag of earnings and no companies significantly outperforming expectations, the Dow Jones Industrial Average
Great earnings, but no love from the markets
McDonald's
Not-so-great earnings, and a mixed bag from the market
Other earnings from Dow companies weren't quite as optimistic as the numbers seen at McDonald's. Both Verizon
Despite that earnings fall-off, Johnson & Johnson is flat today while Verizon is slumping; off 2%. In J&J's case, the company has faced years of recalls, which has led to tremendous amounts of uncertainty, yet the company appears to be moving past some of these worries. Less uncertainty will always be cheered by Wall Street.
In Verizon's case, aside from its pension losses, the quarter raises issues with the increasing costs the company must bear to subsidize top-line smartphones like Apple's iPhone. Carriers like Verizon will sell iPhones for a couple of hundred dollars to customers while "eating" the full price, which ranges around $650 for the iPhone. The hope is that Verizon will make up those costs with monthly data fees, but its subsidy on the iPhone is higher than on other smartphones. That means continuing success from Apple could weigh on Verizon for years to come.
Putting it all together: Another win for emerging markets
Aside from the three Dow companies mentioned above, DuPont and Travelers
All in all, while an astonishing 17% of all of the Dow reported this morning, the companies did little more than reinforce what we already knew. McDonald's continues seeing outsize growth thanks in large part to overseas expansion, while Johnson & Johnson saw revenue fall 3% in America but jump 10% in international markets. The key takeaway: America and Europe remain a mixed bag while foreign markets are powering corporate earnings forward.
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