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Here's 1 Reason Monsanto Looks Weak

Margins matter. The more Monsanto (NYSE: MON  ) keeps of each buck it earns in revenue, the more money it has to invest in growth, fund new strategic plans, or (gasp!) distribute to shareholders. Healthy margins often separate pretenders from the best stocks in the market. That's why we check up on margins at least once a quarter in this series. I'm looking for the absolute numbers, so I can compare them to current and potential competitors, and any trend that may tell me how strong Monsanto's competitive position could be.

Here's the current margin snapshot for Monsanto over the trailing 12 months: Gross margin is 51.1%, while operating margin is 21.6% and net margin is 13.9%.

Unfortunately, a look at the most recent numbers doesn't tell us much about where Monsanto has been, or where it's going. A company with rising gross and operating margins often fuels its growth by increasing demand for its products. If it sells more units while keeping costs in check, its profitability increases. Conversely, a company with gross margins that inch downward over time is often losing out to competition, and possibly engaging in a race to the bottom on prices. If it can't make up for this problem by cutting costs -- and most companies can't -- then both the business and its shares face a decidedly bleak outlook.

Of course, over the short term, the kind of economic shocks we recently experienced can drastically affect a company's profitability. That's why I like to look at five fiscal years' worth of margins, along with the results for the trailing 12 months, the last fiscal year, and last fiscal quarter (LFQ). You can't always reach a hard conclusion about your company's health, but you can better understand what to expect, and what to watch.

Here's the margin picture for Monsanto over the past few years.

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Source: S&P Capital IQ. Dollar amounts in millions. FY = fiscal year. TTM = trailing 12 months.

Because of seasonality in some businesses, the numbers for the last period on the right -- the TTM figures -- aren't always comparable to the FY results preceding them. Here's how the stats break down:

  • Over the past five years, gross margin peaked at 57.9% and averaged 52.8%. Operating margin peaked at 31.1% and averaged 23.0%. Net margin peaked at 17.9% and averaged 14.3%.
  • TTM gross margin is 51.1%, 170 basis points worse than the five-year average. TTM operating margin is 21.6%, 140 basis points worse than the five-year average. TTM net margin is 13.9%, 40 basis points worse than the five-year average.

With recent TTM operating margins below historical averages, Monsanto has some work to do.

If you take the time to read past the headlines and crack a filing now and then, you're probably ahead of 95% of the market's individual investors. To stay ahead, learn more about how I use analysis like this to help me uncover the best returns in the stock market. Got an opinion on the margins at Monsanto? Let us know in the comments below.

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Seth Jayson had no position in any company mentioned here at the time of publication. You can view his stock holdings here. He is co-advisor of Motley Fool Hidden Gems, which provides new small-cap ideas every month, backed by a real-money portfolio. Motley Fool newsletter services have recommended creating a synthetic long position in Monsanto. Try any of our Foolish newsletter services free for 30 days. We Fools may not all hold the same opinions, but we all believe that considering a diverse range of insights makes us better investors. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy.


Comments from our Foolish Readers

Help us keep this a respectfully Foolish area! This is a place for our readers to discuss, debate, and learn more about the Foolish investing topic you read about above. Help us keep it clean and safe. If you believe a comment is abusive or otherwise violates our Fool's Rules, please report it via the Report this Comment Report this Comment icon found on every comment.

  • Report this Comment On January 26, 2012, at 12:47 PM, ajkmsteph wrote:

    This is a great example why this type of story from The Fool is not useful. Monsanto's profit peaked in 2009 or so due to an extraordinary event - massive sales of RoundUp while the seed and traits were growing. This was hit (and the stock price) by massive Chinese subsidized generic imports that caused MOn to reduce their price on RoundUp - now this has stabilized and with sedds and traits growing margins will now move upwards - also quarterley analysis is useful for an ag company which in an extreme loses money in the Sept to Dec timeframe - they have all eth costs of producing in the summer and fall and no sales until spring. So margins would look negative even sometimes and then excessivel;y high - the average is what matters and they will be going up if you believe 99% of analysts for the basic business status of the company. A robotic analysis of a company is not helpful

  • Report this Comment On February 04, 2012, at 12:59 PM, Rightstuff9 wrote:

    How will those margins hold with a growing resentment against GMO's? Already there are concrete coverup scandals to conceil the agressive tactics of Monsanta and negative European testresults . It's iron grip on her farmers results in numerous lawsuites. Recently the Uk and China were lost for Monsanta. In the US it's products are untested and unlabeled.

    Monsanto carries a high risk profile .

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Related Tickers

5/25/2012 4:01 PM
MON $73.56 Down -0.38 -0.51%
Monsanto Company CAPS Rating: ****

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