Has Sotheby's Become the Perfect Stock?

Don't let it get away!

Keep track of the stocks that matter to you.

Help yourself with the Fool's FREE and easy new watchlist service today.

Every investor would love to stumble upon the perfect stock. But will you ever really find a stock that provides everything you could possibly want?

One thing's for sure: You'll never discover truly great investments unless you actively look for them. Let's discuss the ideal qualities of a perfect stock, then decide if Sotheby's (NYSE: BID  ) fits the bill.

The quest for perfection
Stocks that look great based on one factor may prove horrible elsewhere, making due diligence a crucial part of your investing research. The best stocks excel in many different areas, including these important factors:

  • Growth. Expanding businesses show healthy revenue growth. While past growth is no guarantee that revenue will keep rising, it's certainly a better sign than a stagnant top line.
  • Margins. Higher sales mean nothing if a company can't produce profits from them. Strong margins ensure that company can turn revenue into profit.
  • Balance sheet. At debt-laden companies, banks and bondholders compete with shareholders for management's attention. Companies with strong balance sheets don't have to worry about the distraction of debt.
  • Money-making opportunities. Return on equity helps measure how well a company is finding opportunities to turn its resources into profitable business endeavors.
  • Valuation. You can't afford to pay too much for even the best companies. By using normalized figures, you can see how a stock's simple earnings multiple fits into a longer-term context.
  • Dividends. For tangible proof of profits, a check to shareholders every three months can't be beat. Companies with solid dividends and strong commitments to increasing payouts treat shareholders well.

With those factors in mind, let's take a closer look at Sotheby's.


What We Want to See


Pass or Fail?

Growth 5-Year Annual Revenue Growth > 15% (1.4%) Fail
  1-Year Revenue Growth > 12% (14.7%) Fail
Margins Gross Margin > 35% 56.4% Pass
  Net Margin > 15% 15.5% Pass
Balance Sheet Debt to Equity < 50% 48.4% Pass
  Current Ratio > 1.3 1.45 Pass
Opportunities Return on Equity > 15% 12.3% Fail
Valuation Normalized P/E < 20 20.52 Fail
Dividends Current Yield > 2% 1% Fail
  5-Year Dividend Growth > 10% (6.2%) Fail
  Total Score   4 out of 10

Source: S&P Capital IQ. Total score = number of passes.

Since we looked at Sotheby's last year, the company has seen its score drop two points. Plunging revenue is largely to blame, and even though the share price fell about 5% in the past year, earnings multiples have moved up considerably, signaling weak earnings as well.

It's been very much an up-and-down year for Sotheby's. That's not terribly surprising, given that the auction business tends to be extremely cyclical, and a lot depends on which items happen to come to market in any given year. Late last year, for instance, the company had an excellent series of sales that included the original contract signed in 1976 by Apple (Nasdaq: AAPL  ) co-founders Steve Jobs, Steve Wozniak, and Ronald Wayne. The contract fetched $1.59 million at auction last December, more than 10 times the $150,000 pre-auction estimate.

But all those gains reversed themselves earlier this year, when earnings results weren't as good. In its first-quarter report, Sotheby's missed on earnings-per-share estimates, posting a modest loss for the quarter.

The bigger concern long-term is that the once-invulnerable luxury sector has started to crater. Among high-end retailers, both Coach (NYSE: COH  ) and Tiffany (NYSE: TIF  ) have suffered big losses from their highs earlier this year, as slowdowns in Asia and extreme weakness in Europe have contributed to worsening results. One of the hardest-hit companies was Fossil (Nasdaq: FOSL  ) , which lost more than half its value after reporting disappointing results. Nothing says luxury more than million-dollar auctions, so it's not surprising to see Sotheby's join this group of poor-performing stocks.

For Sotheby's to improve, it needs the economy to get jump-started somehow. If that happens, then its earnings could finally catch up with its valuation. Otherwise, it could be a long time before anyone bids Sotheby's up toward perfection.

Keep searching
No stock is a sure thing, but some stocks are a lot closer to perfect than others. By looking for the perfect stock, you'll go a long way toward improving your investing prowess and learning how to separate the best investments from the rest.

Sotheby's is doing OK, but Apple has some amazingly good prospects. Get the whole story from our top tech analysts with their views on Apple.

Click here to add Sotheby's to My Watchlist, which can find all of our Foolish analysis on it and all your other stocks.

Fool contributor Dan Caplinger doesn't own shares of the companies mentioned. The Motley Fool owns shares of Apple, Coach, Tiffany, and Fossil. Motley Fool newsletter services have recommended buying shares of Fossil, Coach, Sotheby's, and Apple, as well as creating a bull call spread position in Apple. A separate service has recommended shorting Fossil and Tiffany. We Fools may not all hold the same opinions, but we all believe that considering a diverse range of insights makes us better investors. The Fool has a disclosure policy.

Read/Post Comments (0) | Recommend This Article (1)

Comments from our Foolish Readers

Help us keep this a respectfully Foolish area! This is a place for our readers to discuss, debate, and learn more about the Foolish investing topic you read about above. Help us keep it clean and safe. If you believe a comment is abusive or otherwise violates our Fool's Rules, please report it via the Report this Comment Report this Comment icon found on every comment.

Be the first one to comment on this article.

Compare Brokers

Fool Disclosure

Sponsored Links

Leaked: Apple's Next Smart Device
(Warning, it may shock you)
The secret is out... experts are predicting 458 million of these types of devices will be sold per year. 1 hyper-growth company stands to rake in maximum profit - and it's NOT Apple. Show me Apple's new smart gizmo!

DocumentId: 1995178, ~/Articles/ArticleHandler.aspx, 6/1/2016 1:59:08 AM

Report This Comment

Use this area to report a comment that you believe is in violation of the community guidelines. Our team will review the entry and take any appropriate action.

Sending report...

Today's Market

updated 4 hours ago Sponsored by:
DOW 17,787.20 -86.02 -0.48%
S&P 500 2,096.96 -2.10 -0.10%
NASD 4,948.06 14.55 0.29%

Create My Watchlist

Go to My Watchlist

You don't seem to be following any stocks yet!

Better investing starts with a watchlist. Now you can create a personalized watchlist and get immediate access to the personalized information you need to make successful investing decisions.

Data delayed up to 5 minutes

Related Tickers

5/31/2016 4:04 PM
BID $29.90 Down -0.05 -0.17%
Sotheby's CAPS Rating: ***
AAPL $99.86 Down -0.49 -0.49%
Apple CAPS Rating: ****
COH $39.42 Down -0.18 -0.45%
Coach CAPS Rating: ****
FOSL $27.87 Up +0.16 +0.58%
Fossil CAPS Rating: ***
TIF $61.96 Down -0.58 -0.93%
Tiffany & Co. CAPS Rating: ***