Could This New Found Demand for Space Lead to Even Larger Gains?

It wasn't too long ago – last year – that many were calling Best Buy (NYSE: BBY  ) the next Circuit City. But after restructuring much of its business, seeing significant e-commerce growth, and its new mini-store concept has pushed shares higher by 200% this year. At one point, investors thought Best Buy's 40,000 square foot stores were a liability, but now they appear to be great assets.

Why such a great asset?
Last year, roughly 600 million people walked into one of Best Buy's 1900 stores, and another one billion visited the company's online site. In a market where advertising revenue has created billions for the likes of Facebook and Google, Best Buy is now using its large space and volume as a way to attract consumers and corporations.

Apple (NASDAQ: AAPL  ) was the first to use a small space within Best Buy stores to showcase Macs and its iPads. Samsung followed suit, as Best Buy announced mini-stores in 1,400 Best Buy locations, with an average 460 square feet per store to showcase Samsung products.

Samsung is attempting to improve their market share in the U.S. The company currently controls 40% of the global smartphone market, but just 21% in the U.S. as of April 2013, compared to Apple's 38% share.

An estimated 70% of the U.S. population lives within a 10 mile radius of a Best Buy store, which gives reason to believe the Best Buy experience could bolster Samsung's market share, which is not good for Apple.

Still, 460 square feet is relatively small compared to the overall size of Best Buy stores. With that said, Microsoft made the biggest Best Buy splash back in June. Microsoft (NASDAQ: MSFT  ) struck a deal to open mini-stores in 500 U.S. stores and another 100 Future Shop locations in Canada. These mini-stores range from 1,500-2,500 square feet, by far the largest piece of real estate of the three tech giants.

The biggest deal yet
Throughout the mini-store makeover, we have seen that deals have grown larger for Best Buy, as tech companies have shown a continued interest in acquiring space in the retail giant's stores. However, the latest rumors involving Google (NASDAQ: GOOGL  ) make the Apple, Samsung, and Microsoft deals look puny.

According to Robert Scoble, a well-known author, blogger, and technology evangelist, who often breaks technology news, Google is planning to rent 6,000 square feet at every Best Buy to promote Google Glass. Clearly, this would be the largest deal yet, renting 13%-30% of store space.

Google has taken a big bet on Google Glass, and Scoble has been very supportive. One of the primary problems that analysts believe Glass could encounter is a lack of customer interaction with the device. However, 6,000 square feet of testing space would sure quiet this concern, and because of Chromebook's partnership with Best Buy, it does seem reasonable that Google is exploring this possibility.

A fundamental impact
While we do not know the amount of revenue that Best Buy receives for the noted deals, we do know the basics of supply and demand. As supply runs short, demand increases, thus giving Best Buy a fundamental edge to increase pricing for its space.

Hardware companies such as Apple and Samsung might notice a fundamental impact related to square footage. Samsung's assumed mini-store goal is to increase share, and with larger space, it has more room to showcase its products. Apple might then elect to use a larger space.

The same can be said for software companies like Microsoft and Google, who also compete in some hardware offerings. If Google is successful with 6,000 square feet, and consumers begin to purchase Google Glass over iPads, Surfaces, and Samsung TVs, then we might see a shift in rented space, allowing Best Buy the leverage to increase its price.

With that said, I don't see how the demand for space does not fundamentally benefit Best Buy. It not only gets the hottest technology products front and center in its store, but also creates competition among those who sell products in the stores. Simply put, it is a genius idea.

Also, there are other companies who are yet to step up and rent space within company's store. BlackBerry, Dell, Hewlett-Packard, etc. are all possibilities, and we could also see the same from home appliance companies who sell their products in Best Buy stores.

As a result, this practice and competition among companies allows Best Buy to maximize its revenue. The company can rid itself of declining product categories such as home telephones, stereo systems, etc. and use that space for the hottest brands and gadgets of the moment.

Final thoughts
Of the three noted deals, and the one rumored deal, what I find most impressive is the rate of growth. Companies have progressively opted to rent larger spaces to promote their products, which indicates to me that Best Buy's mini-store strategy has been a success.

Essentially, demand is rising, and why wouldn't it? Best Buy has tremendous volume, large stores, and consumers are naturally drawn to larger spaces (i.e. 2,000 square feet is more noticeable than 500 square feet). Due to this fact, I think Best Buy, and the company willing to spend the most, become very attractive.

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Help us keep this a respectfully Foolish area! This is a place for our readers to discuss, debate, and learn more about the Foolish investing topic you read about above. Help us keep it clean and safe. If you believe a comment is abusive or otherwise violates our Fool's Rules, please report it via the Report this Comment Report this Comment icon found on every comment.

  • Report this Comment On September 10, 2013, at 5:29 PM, Falcon1963 wrote:

    If you are going to mention Robert Scoble post, you should also mention, Google’s Chris Dale, who runs comms for Google Glass. He flat out denied the rumor.

    Best Buy is not the only player in town. Google could also use Radio Shack.

  • Report this Comment On September 10, 2013, at 6:25 PM, BrianNichols wrote:

    Radio Shack? Why would Google use a company that can't get people in their stores? Google might as well use Circuit City!

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