The Super Bowl Reveals an Important Consumer Trend

NPD Group ran a study on the most popular food items consumed during the Super Bowl from 2008 to 2013, as well as the food items which gained the most popularity over that same time-frame. An investment opportunity lies within.

Feb 5, 2014 at 4:35PM

The Super Bowl is the biggest event on television, but it can also display consumer trends. For instance, almost everyone eats during the Super Bowl. That's part of the fun. However, not many people eat pigs in a blanket and Swedish meatballs anymore. Those days are over.

According to NPD Group, chips were the most popular food item consumed during the Super Bowl -- whether at home or away from home -- between 2008 and 2013. For the same time-frame, chicken wing consumption skyrocketed 350%. 

Below, we'll take a look at the most popular food items consumed on Super Bowl Sunday, the food items growing the fastest in terms of popularity on Super Bowl Sunday (which reflects food consumption trends in general), and, of course, how to profit from these trends.

Here's what you ate last Sunday
These results don't include the most recent Super Bowl (Seahawks routed the Broncos). Between 2008 and 2013, approximately 22% of people consumed chips during Super Bowls, followed by pizza (18%), soup (16%), alcohol (13%), candy (8%), chicken wings (6%), cheese (5%), nuts/seeds (5%), and chili (1%). 

Most popular chip brands are owned by Frito-Lay, so this is a positive for PepsiCo (NYSE:PEP). In fact, PepsiCo is extremely diversified with Gatorade, Tropicana, Quaker, Frito-Lay, Sierra Mist, Pepsi, and Aquafina. Therefore, if you're looking to invest in a diversified company with a strong brand name, resiliency to economic downturns, and a decent dividend yield (2.80%), then PepsiCo should be considered.

As far as pizza goes, its popularity never seems to wane in America. Therefore, you might want to look into Domino's Pizza. However, Yum! Brands would be a safer option since it offers diversification with Pizza Hut, Taco Bell, and Kentucky Fried Chicken. 

Foods on the rise
Before we get to chicken wings, let's first take a look at other foods that have increased in popularity for Super Bowl Sunday (and likely overall) since 2008 (through 2013). The biggest gainers are candy (28%), carrots (28%), cheese (38%), chips (40%), soup (42%), pizza (50%), nuts/seeds (59%), alcohol (102%), and chili (150%).  All impressive gains, but nothing compared to chicken wings with a 350% increase.

The rising popularity of chicken wings is exactly why McDonald's (NYSE:MCD) attempted to increase foot traffic with its Mighty Wings. McDonald's was on-trend, which usually works out, but its execution was poor. Several problems existed, one being price. You could order a pack of three or four Mighty Wings for $3.69, a pack of five Mighty Wings for $5.59, or a pack of 10 Mighty Wings for $9.69.

Considering McDonald's target market -- low to middle-income consumers -- this didn't make much sense. Why would someone go to McDonald's for wings when they could spend roughly the same amount of money for better-quality wings somewhere else? Also, Mighty Wings were too spicy for many consumers. McDonald's ended up with 10 million pounds of Mighty Wings in frozen storage. Needless to say, McDonald's isn't the best way to profit off the rise in popularity of chicken wings. 

A better option would be Buffalo Wild Wings (NASDAQ:BWLD). I had been trying to lead readers toward Buffalo Wild Wings since it traded at $104 per share, and it's now trading at $141 per share. This might make it seem as though "you missed it," but Foolish investors look at the long-term prospects for a company. With that in mind, consider management's effectiveness over the past five years, consistently delivering top-line growth that outperforms SG&A expenses:

BWLD Revenue (TTM) Chart

BWLD Revenue (TTM) data by YCharts

This signals effective management. Of course, the rampant top-line growth signals continuous high demand. Buffalo Wild Wings is trading at 40 times earnings, which makes it somewhat expensive. There could be some intermittent hits to the stock price, but if a company is well-run and demand is high, then the long-term outlook is good.

The Foolish bottom line
The Super Bowl reflects American culture, and the foods we eat on Super Bowl Sundays indicate food popularity trends in America. Chicken wings have been growing in popularity at a rapid rate since 2008, and many food establishments are attempting to capitalize on this trend. However, Buffalo Wild Wings is doing this much better than its peers. The company is on-trend, and its management is effective. Please do your own research prior to making any investment decisions. 

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Dan Moskowitz has no position in any stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool recommends Buffalo Wild Wings, McDonald's, and PepsiCo. The Motley Fool owns shares of Buffalo Wild Wings, McDonald's, and PepsiCo. Try any of our Foolish newsletter services free for 30 days. We Fools may not all hold the same opinions, but we all believe that considering a diverse range of insights makes us better investors. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy.

4 in 5 Americans Are Ignoring Buffett's Warning

Don't be one of them.

Jun 12, 2015 at 5:01PM

Admitting fear is difficult.

So you can imagine how shocked I was to find out Warren Buffett recently told a select number of investors about the cutting-edge technology that's keeping him awake at night.

This past May, The Motley Fool sent 8 of its best stock analysts to Omaha, Nebraska to attend the Berkshire Hathaway annual shareholder meeting. CEO Warren Buffett and Vice Chairman Charlie Munger fielded questions for nearly 6 hours.
The catch was: Attendees weren't allowed to record any of it. No audio. No video. 

Our team of analysts wrote down every single word Buffett and Munger uttered. Over 16,000 words. But only two words stood out to me as I read the detailed transcript of the event: "Real threat."

That's how Buffett responded when asked about this emerging market that is already expected to be worth more than $2 trillion in the U.S. alone. Google has already put some of its best engineers behind the technology powering this trend. 

The amazing thing is, while Buffett may be nervous, the rest of us can invest in this new industry BEFORE the old money realizes what hit them.

KPMG advises we're "on the cusp of revolutionary change" coming much "sooner than you think."

Even one legendary MIT professor had to recant his position that the technology was "beyond the capability of computer science." (He recently confessed to The Wall Street Journal that he's now a believer and amazed "how quickly this technology caught on.")

Yet according to one J.D. Power and Associates survey, only 1 in 5 Americans are even interested in this technology, much less ready to invest in it. Needless to say, you haven't missed your window of opportunity. 

Think about how many amazing technologies you've watched soar to new heights while you kick yourself thinking, "I knew about that technology before everyone was talking about it, but I just sat on my hands." 

Don't let that happen again. This time, it should be your family telling you, "I can't believe you knew about and invested in that technology so early on."

That's why I hope you take just a few minutes to access the exclusive research our team of analysts has put together on this industry and the one stock positioned to capitalize on this major shift.

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David Hanson owns shares of Berkshire Hathaway and American Express. The Motley Fool recommends and owns shares of Berkshire Hathaway, Google, and Coca-Cola.We Fools don't all hold the same opinions, but we all believe that considering a diverse range of insights makes us better investors. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy.

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