Track the companies that matter to you. It's FREE! Click one of these fan favorites to get started: Apple; Google; Ford.



A Second Chance to Capitalize on Organic Food

The market for organic and natural foods continues to gain strength, and this trend will only get stronger as the economy continues to rebound. As more people find jobs, they'll have more money to spend. Part of that increased income is likely going to go toward eating fresh and natural products.

Adding validation to the movement, Wal-Mart has announced plans to enter the organic foods market. Many investors missed the tremendous move in Whole Foods Market   (NASDAQ: WFM  ) shares over the last five years. But there could be another organic food retailer poised for a similar run. That company is The Fresh Market (NASDAQ: TFM  ) .

The Fresh Market growth story
The Fresh Market is still early in its expansion opportunities. Whole Foods has 375 stores compared to The Fresh Market's 150 store base. It plans to add a record number of stores this year, with the long-term goal of hitting 500 stores. Its other top competitor, Sprouts Farmers Market (NASDAQ: SFM  ) , also has around 150 stores. The key for The Fresh Market is to expand beyond its core market. Nearly half of its stores are located in three states: Florida, North Carolina, and Georgia.

The Fresh Market is opening its stores earlier to try and take traffic away from Whole Foods and others. Most of its locations will now be open nine additional hours per week. This move could boost The Fresh Market's comparable-store sales. Both Family Dollar and Dollar General extended their hours back in 2009--as a result, they saw 100 to 150 basis point growth in their comparable-store sales.

The organic foods market
The beauty of the organic foods industry is that its higher cost and quality products help insulate companies from weak economic conditions. The higher cost products attract a higher-income customer who is less likely to trade down when the economy weakens.

Whole Foods shares have been in free fall this year. The organic foods retailer posted comparable-store sales that were weaker than expected last quarter. It blamed intensifying competition, where its stores are seeing overlapping from the likes of The Fresh Market and Sprouts Farmers Market.

Then there's Sprouts, which recently had a strong quarter. This was despite the competitive pressures that Whole Foods felt. Its most recent quarter showed that earnings per share beat consensus by 15%. Comparable-store sales were up 12.8%, which was well above what Whole Foods posted. And while Whole Foods lowered its guidance, Sprouts increased its outlook.

How shares stack up
The Fresh Market trades at a P/E ratio of 18 based on next year's earnings estimates. That's lower than either Whole Foods or Sprouts Farmers, which trade at 23 and 33, respectively. When you factor in Wall Street's growth estimates, The Fresh Market has a P/E to growth (PEG) ratio of 1.2. That's well below Whole Foods' 1.8 and Sprouts Farmers' 1.6.

On the plus side for investors of Whole Foods, the company offers a 1.2% dividend yield, while The Fresh Market does not. Whole Foods also has virtually no debt compared to The Fresh Market's debt-to-equity ratio of 20% and Sprouts Farmers' at 76%.

Bottom line
The organic foods market is still a young growth story. One of the companies at the forefront of the growth story is The Fresh Market. It still has plenty of store expansion opportunities and the potential to improve comparable-store sales. For investors looking to gain exposure to the organic and natural foods market, The Fresh Market is worth a closer look.

Your credit card may soon be completely worthless
The plastic in your wallet is about to go the way of the typewriter, the VCR, and the 8-track tape player. When it does, a handful of investors could stand to get very rich. You can join them -- but you must act now. An eye-opening new presentation reveals the full story on why your credit card is about to be worthless -- and highlights one little-known company sitting at the epicenter of an earth-shaking movement that could hand early investors the kind of profits we haven't seen since the dot-com days. Click here to watch this stunning video.


Read/Post Comments (0) | Recommend This Article (3)

Comments from our Foolish Readers

Help us keep this a respectfully Foolish area! This is a place for our readers to discuss, debate, and learn more about the Foolish investing topic you read about above. Help us keep it clean and safe. If you believe a comment is abusive or otherwise violates our Fool's Rules, please report it via the Report this Comment Report this Comment icon found on every comment.

Be the first one to comment on this article.

Sponsored Links

Leaked: Apple's Next Smart Device
(Warning, it may shock you)
The secret is out... experts are predicting 458 million of these types of devices will be sold per year. 1 hyper-growth company stands to rake in maximum profit - and it's NOT Apple. Show me Apple's new smart gizmo!

DocumentId: 2969595, ~/Articles/ArticleHandler.aspx, 8/28/2015 6:10:21 AM

Report This Comment

Use this area to report a comment that you believe is in violation of the community guidelines. Our team will review the entry and take any appropriate action.

Sending report...

Marshall Hargrave

Serial entrepreneur, startup junkie, registered investment adviser

Today's Market

updated 8 hours ago Sponsored by:
DOW 16,654.77 369.26 2.27%
S&P 500 1,987.66 47.15 2.43%
NASD 4,812.71 115.17 2.45%

Create My Watchlist

Go to My Watchlist

You don't seem to be following any stocks yet!

Better investing starts with a watchlist. Now you can create a personalized watchlist and get immediate access to the personalized information you need to make successful investing decisions.

Data delayed up to 5 minutes

Related Tickers

8/27/2015 4:00 PM
SFM $20.60 Up +0.79 +3.99%
TFM $20.18 Up +0.27 +1.36%
The Fresh Market CAPS Rating: ***
WFM $33.14 Up +0.74 +2.28%
Whole Foods Market CAPS Rating: ****