Crumbs Cupcakes Crumbles, Alcoa Kicks Off Earnings Season, and Small-Biz Optimism Dips

The three things you need to know on July 9.

Jul 8, 2014 at 11:00PM
It's hard to tell who took a worse beating on Tuesday: Wall Street or the tear-soaked fans of Brazilian soccer. After hitting 17,000 points for the first time ever last week, the Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJINDICES:^DJI) dropped 118 on Tuesday as investors worry about the start of corporate earnings season.
1. Crumbs Cupcake stock crumbles as all stores close
You can have ice cream for dessert tonight, but you're not having a Crumbs Cupcake. The struggling 600-calorie (yep, that much) chain baker officially shut all stores on Tuesday to focus on options such as bankruptcy. Crumbs shares were officially de-listed on the Nasdaq stock exchange last week, but the stock fell over 73% to just pennies after this announcement.

Bright blue frosting, artificial cake flavor, and sprinkles are fun, but they're not scalable. Cupcake enthusiasm prompted by Sex and the City (the MarketSnacks team prefers Sprinkles Cupcakes ... obvi) was as much a trend as Carrie's purses. And with over-expansion to over 50 stores in 10 states, Crumbs posted a nearly $20 million loss last year.

For sweet-toothed historians out there, the cupcake chain that began in 2003 on Manhattan's Upper West Side began tasting bad immediately after its June 2011 IPO. A month later, sales had fallen 6%, and by September, the stock that had started above $13 was below $4 per share. Then the CEO resigned.

The takeaway is that Crumbs tried everything to save itself. It knocked off the "Cronut" with a croissant-doughnut-cupcake hybrid and offered (shockingly) gluten-free options. It even finally diversified product offerings with mediocre coffee. Now all you probably care about is who will bid $250 on eBay to buy the last Crumbs cupcake ever made.

2. Alcoa starts second-quarter earnings season with a bang
Like the dinner bell for to a hungry hound, the earnings report from Alcoa (NYSE:AA) means the beginning of a glorious thing -- earnings season. The former Dow Jones Industrial Index member (till it got kicked out in ignominy like Brazil for losing) announced its second-quarter earnings on Tuesday with a refreshing helping of profits. Cost-cutting and selling more specialized alloys paid off for the American aluminum company, as profits jumped from negative $119 million to positive $138 million.

Lawsuits will get to you. But so does pre-lawyering up, which is what has destroyed Alcoa's profits the past three quarters. It's been on a cost-cutting binge and fired lots of people, which cost the company huge "restructuring costs" (paying people severance and pensions and whatnot so they don't sue), and a foreign subsidiary got the real thing with a major lawsuit payout. But that pain is all over, and now it's about profits (cue the blue steel look).

The takeaway is that this is what a restructuring is supposed to look like. When demand for aluminum declined and supply blew up, aluminum prices dropped and Alcoa suffered (more than just the tears of getting ousted from the prestigious 30-member Dow club last year). The stock price jumped 1.3% in after-market trading. Now ice up and get ready for bigger names to report later this week.

3. Small-biz "optimism" surprisingly slows
We love summer, but apparently the neighborhood bodega doesn't. That's because according to the poll by the National Federation of Independent Businesses, optimism among small business owners surprisingly dropped last month after three straight monthly gains.

The takeaway is that mom-'n'-pop shops are worried about whether the economic recovery can get back on track after winter weather slowed things down in the first quarter. But despite the "Debbie Downer" attitude, analysts point out that a growing number of small businesses are hiring.

As originally published on

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4 in 5 Americans Are Ignoring Buffett's Warning

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Jun 12, 2015 at 5:01PM

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David Hanson owns shares of Berkshire Hathaway and American Express. The Motley Fool recommends and owns shares of Berkshire Hathaway, Google, and Coca-Cola.We Fools don't all hold the same opinions, but we all believe that considering a diverse range of insights makes us better investors. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy.

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