Wall Street Gets Punk'd

Recs

0

Is Google (Nasdaq: GOOG) really Ashton Kutcher in disguise? For the third straight quarter in its brief publicly traded life, the online powerhouse has been able to trick analysts into what seemed like reasonably aggressive profit targets, only to blast those numbers to smithereens with even better results.

Wall Street, you've been Punk'd.

Google's quarter was a thing of beauty. Earnings more than quintupled to $1.29 a share for the period, while revenues soared by 93% to hit $1.3 billion. Even if you back out certain favorable one-time charges, earnings still clocked in at a market-thumping $1.12 per share.

Free cash flow during the March quarter came in at $387 million. That is already more than half of the free cash flow that Google generated all of last year.

Then again, while analysts may be flummoxed -- they were looking for the company to earn just $0.92 a share for the quarter -- you probably weren't as surprised. On Wednesday, when Yahoo! (Nasdaq: YHOO) produced a healthy quarter on the strength of its paid-search business, we wrote that the report was "good news for Yahoo! and it's even better news for Google" because Google is more reliant on the contextual advertising dollar than Yahoo! is.

While Google and Yahoo! are the two giants worth watching in paid search, let's not forget that many others like InfoSpace (Nasdaq: INSP), Time Warner's (NYSE: TWX) AOL.com, and Microsoft's (Nasdaq: MSFT) MSN.com are all thriving on that front.

These companies are too gargantuan to be considered for our growth-investing Rule Breakers newsletter service, but it's clear that paid search has revolutionized the online-content providers by arming sponsors with qualified leads for as little as a nickel. The sheer volume of relevant and targeted pages that the online giants are producing has made it a win-win situation.

So why is it that market analysts are getting Punk'd by Google? Well, the company has refused to provide financial guidance. That has left analysts with little choice but to toil away on their own earnings models, which have clearly erred on the conservative side. You would think that after coming up brutally short all three times, gun-shy professional Google watchers would tweak their optimism. A batter who swings late on every pitch would adjust. A skeet shooter who perpetually misses to the left would adjust. Wall Street? Nope. Not yet.

More of our recent thoughts on Google:

Longtime Fool contributor Rick Munarriz is a satisfied Google user. However, he does not own shares in any of the companies mentioned in this story. The Fool has a disclosure policy. Rick is also part of the Rule Breakers newsletter research team, seeking out tomorrow's ultimate growth stocks a day early.

Comments from our Foolish Readers

Help us keep this a respectfully Foolish area! This is a place for our readers to discuss, debate, and learn more about the Foolish investing topic you read about above. Help us keep it clean and safe. If you believe a comment is abusive or otherwise violates our Fool's Rules, please report it via the Report this Comment Report this Comment icon found on every comment.

Be the first one to comment on this article.

Compare Brokers

TD AMERITRADE
more info
ShareBuilder
more info
Power E*Trade

more info
Scottrade
more info
Fool Disclosure

DocumentId: 491701, ~/articles/ArticleHandler.aspx, 7/6/2009 6:30:40 PM

Keep Reading:

“Wall Street Gets Punk'd”

We will use your email address only to keep you informed about updates to our web site and about other products and services that we think might interest you. The Motley Fool respects your privacy. Please read our Privacy Statement

.

Report This Comment

Use this area to report a comment that you believe is in violation of the community guidelines. Our team will review the entry and take any appropriate action.

Sending report...

What Fools Are Saying

Get involved! »

Most Recent

Jul 6 at 4:01 PM

Market Summary

DJIA 8,324.87 +44.13 +0.53%
S&P 500 898.72 +2.30 +0.26%
NASD 1,787.40 -9.12 -0.51%
Sponsored by:

Related Tickers

Google, Inc.

CAPS Rating 3/5 Stars

$409.61

+1.12 (+0.27%)

Outperform12180

Underperform2508

Rate This Stock